Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who buy shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to assist in visualizing market movements and potential price actions [1]

There's relatively few technical gems on CT these days, but Mercury is one of them that has been really bang-on for a large part of the last 18 months.He's extremely principled...and very good at making money. ETH looking good here today. Another 50% rally would be 🤌🤌🤌Mercury (@TraderMercury):$ETH at 4H 200MAs againlast time was at $3,300 - which resulted in a 50% rallytrend still intact, yet people trying to convince you to panicunprofitable behavior. https://t.co/4qU2JN22u5 ...

RT JuanGalt.com (@JuanSGalt)Bitcoin Closes August Bearishly — Eyes Now on $100K SupportShout out to @AnalysisFeral for the technical analysis of the week!https://t.co/TUmlWZMp1G via @bitcoinmagazine ...

Market Trends & Analysis - Yields are rangebound, indicating a neutral stance from an intermediate and long-term perspective [2] - The 10-year Treasury yield has support around 42% and resistance around 44% [3] - A breakout from the yield range would suggest higher yields, while a breakdown could lead to secondary support around 40% [4] - Small caps, represented by the Russell 2000, show strong upside momentum in both the intermediate and short term [6] - The Russell 2000 exhibits a cup and handle formation, suggesting a potential lift to new highs [6] - Consolidation is expected for small caps, aligning with seasonal influences and overbought conditions [7] - Large cap indices are losing upside momentum, potentially impacting the Russell 2000 [8] - The VIX is above its 50-day moving average, indicating expanding volatility inversely correlated to the S&P 500 [9] Crude Oil Analysis - Crude oil prices are still in a secular downtrend, requiring a substantial upside move to reverse [9] - There are indications on the monthly chart of WTI suggesting a major low in March/April, based on long-term oversold readings [10] Energy Sector - The energy sector shows signs of life, with some MLPs lifting out of prolonged consolidation phases [11] - Phillips 66 (PSX) shows a potential inverse head and shoulders formation, indicating constructive technical action despite long-term downside momentum [11]

Core Insights - Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH) is experiencing strong investor confidence, closing at $66.19, near its 52-week high of $67.33, indicating potential for further price appreciation [1] - The stock has shown solid upward momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $60.42 and $56.49, respectively [1] Performance Metrics - BFH shares have rallied 8.4% year-to-date, outperforming the industry's growth of 5.4% [2] - The stock has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in three of the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 32.01% [2] Valuation - BFH shares are trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 7.71X, significantly lower than the industry average of 24.8X, the Finance sector's 17.32X, and the S&P 500 Composite's 22.8X, earning a Value Score of A [3] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BFH's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, with revenues projected at $3.88 billion, reflecting a 1.1% improvement [7] - Analysts have raised estimates for 2025 earnings by 4.3% and for 2026 by 0.2% over the past 30 days [8] Analyst Sentiment - The average price target for BFH is $70.14 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 5.9% from the last closing price [10] Financial Health - BFH's return on invested capital in the trailing 12 months was 9.7%, outperforming the industry average of 5.1%, indicating efficient fund utilization [13] - The company is focused on strengthening its balance sheet, lowering debt, and has shown impressive free cash flow conversion [17] Strategic Initiatives - BFH expects credit sales growth driven by strong consumer spending, new partnerships, and holiday demand, with strategic investments in digital innovation and marketing [6][16] - The company plans to pay down $100 million in remaining 2026 bonds this year to improve leverage [17] Shareholder Value - BFH is committed to returning value to shareholders through share repurchases and intends to focus on mergers and acquisitions [18] - The company has a favorable VGM Score of A, indicating attractive value, growth, and momentum compared to peers [19]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

So the weekly closes in and let's just be honest, it was not good. So last night we talked about the levels that we needed to close over. We did not get that which means yes, we could see a little bit more bearish price action in the market.This is why we always focus on TA. I know a lot of people don't like TA. They don't think that it matters at all, but let's just be honest here.TA is crucial in this space. If you're looking at the long term and you don't really care about TA and you're just holding and ...

Summary of North American Precious Metals Weekly Industry Overview - The report focuses on the North American Precious Metals sector, particularly gold and silver prices, and their performance relative to the S&P 500 Index [1][3]. Key Points Gold Price Analysis - Gold prices are currently in a narrowing range, with a potential breakout target of $3,618 per ounce if it surpasses $3,420 per ounce [1][2]. - The current support levels for gold are at $3,285, $3,132, and $3,050, while resistance levels are at $3,350, $3,420, and $3,500 [2][15]. - The price of gold has fluctuated recently, ending the week at $3,372 per ounce, up 1.1% from the previous week [12]. Performance of Precious Metals Equities - The S&P/TSX Global Gold Index has increased by 82% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which is up only 10% [3][26]. - Fresnillo, a silver-focused producer, has seen its share price nearly triple, up 194% year-to-date, driven by a 35% increase in silver prices [3][26]. - Senior gold producers, such as Gold Fields (+136%), Kinross Gold (+111%), and Newmont (+90%), have outperformed smaller and mid-tier producers [3][26]. Technical Analysis Insights - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are forming a triangle pattern, with a breakout likely to occur soon [2][15]. - The report suggests that the market is currently more favorable for larger, senior gold producers compared to smaller peers [3][26]. Valuation Metrics - North American precious metal stocks are trading at an average of 2.03x NAV, which is within the historical range of 1.0-2.0x NAV [29][36]. - The report provides detailed valuation comparables for various gold producers, indicating their market cap, EPS, and P/NAV ratios [30][41]. Macroeconomic Indicators - The report notes the impact of macroeconomic factors, including US real rates and the strength of the US dollar, on gold prices [10][12]. - Recent market movements have been influenced by expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policies, particularly regarding interest rates [12]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of monitoring technical levels and macroeconomic indicators for making informed investment decisions in the precious metals sector [2][12]. - The performance of precious metals equities is closely tied to the underlying commodity prices, with significant outperformance noted in the current year [3][26]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the North American Precious Metals Weekly report, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the gold and precious metals market.

#Bitcoin – What’s Next?The Big Sunday Report: Everything You Need to Know🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: This Sunday report is a direct follow-up to last week’s edition. At $116k, I made it very clear: I started to take profits and scale into shorts step by step. One week later, Bitcoin is already down 8%, exactly as anticipated and the coming weeks will be far more brutal. Last week’s Sunday report remain intact, so if you haven’t studied that report, do it. Ignorance is not an excuse when the market ...

RT Kraken Pro (@krakenpro)How do traders visualize price action with precision❓🕯️ Candlestick charts are essential tools for understanding how prices move, not just where they land.Each candlestick tells a full story: where the price opened, where it closed, and how far it moved in between.💡 Used by technical traders across all markets, these charts provide real-time visual clarity that raw data can’t match. ...