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国泰海通·对话专家|地产:当前地产市场现状解读及趋势展望
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-11 14:48
Group 1 - The relationship between new and second-hand housing markets is currently under discussion, particularly regarding the smoothness of the replacement chain and the impact of the launch of fourth-generation residential properties on the second-hand market [1] - The phenomenon of second-hand housing prices being lower than new housing prices in some hot cities raises questions about the divergence in price trends between the two markets and whether this indicates a potential crisis in the second-hand market [1] - In Shanghai's land market during the first quarter of this year, several high-premium plots were observed, prompting an analysis of common characteristics among these plots and their potential impact on the new housing market [1] Group 2 - The luxury housing market in Shanghai remains robust, leading to inquiries about the sustainability of this trend and whether future urban renewal in core areas will reignite the luxury market [1] - Predictions regarding the future price trends in Shanghai's housing market suggest potential differentiation among various segments, including first-time buyers, upgrades, and different urban rings [1] - Key factors influencing homebuyers' decisions are identified, with a focus on whether first-time buyers should consider purchasing during a price decline and how to assess if prices in their city have reached a bottom [1]