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财经随笔记:黄金走势推演与后市机会分析(2025.12.28)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-28 07:59
Group 1: Market Overview - Gold prices exhibited a strong upward trend this week, breaking previous highs and closing with a solid bullish candle on the weekly chart, indicating strong upward momentum [1] - The trading strategy showed mixed results from Monday to Tuesday, but achieved five consecutive wins on Wednesday, establishing a solid foundation for weekly profits [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting minutes on December 30 will be closely watched for clues on future interest rate cuts and policymakers' concerns about inflation [2] - Key economic data to be released next week includes the U.S. November pending home sales index and EIA crude oil inventory [2][3][4][5] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Gold prices have broken through previous resistance levels, entering an accelerated upward phase, with the current wave structure indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend [9][10][12] - The internal structure of the current wave suggests it is in the final stages of a bullish phase, with a focus on the continuation of the upward trend [10] - The market is advised to monitor key trend lines for support and resistance, as well as the overall bullish channel [12]
美法案刺激撞上关税壁垒 沪金维持震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-04 02:52
Group 1 - The Trump administration's recently passed trillion-dollar tax and spending bill adds uncertainty to the gold market, with a projected increase of $3.4 trillion in federal debt over the next decade [2] - The bill aims to stimulate economic growth through fiscal expansion by solidifying 2017 tax cuts, expanding corporate tax deductions, and cutting spending on healthcare and renewable energy projects [2] - However, the administration's anti-growth policies, including mass immigration deportations and new tariffs on Chinese goods, raise concerns about supply chain restructuring [2] Group 2 - The labor market shows signs of weakening, with 130,000 workers voluntarily exiting the job market in June, and long-term unemployment rising to 1.647 million, extending the average unemployment duration from 9.5 weeks to 10.1 weeks [2] - Defensive strategies among companies reflect cautious sentiment in the job market, with a record high of companies prioritizing existing employees for reassignment, and hiring freezes becoming mainstream [2] - The ISM survey indicates that structural unemployment risks may become more pronounced due to these defensive measures [2] Group 3 - Gold futures are currently trading around 775.26 yuan per gram, down 0.45%, with a short-term outlook leaning towards a volatile trend [1] - Technical analysis suggests that gold is in a corrective phase, with key support levels at $3,250-$3,400, and a critical support level at $3,247 [3] - The short-term support is identified at $3,310-$3,300, while the mid-term key support is at $3,247, which is crucial for determining the medium-term adjustment trend [3] Group 4 - Key resistance levels for gold are set at $3,350-$3,360 in the short term and $3,400-$3,432 in the mid-term, which includes significant historical price points [5]