美元指数 在美元指数的表现上，上周五美元指数呈现出下跌的态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至98.81的位置，最低则下探至97.529位置，最终以 97.697的价格收 盘。回顾上周五市场表现，在早盘期间价格短线受撑于前一日凌晨回撤的低点位置上涨，之后再创出当日高点后再度承压，欧盘开盘后价格持续压制，并且 美盘后受到鲍威尔讲话影响价格出现快速下跌，并且最终收盘在低位。 从多周期分析，周线级别来看近期价格在周线支撑上下盘整，本周重点关注98.10位置站稳，一旦站稳则中期多头将延续上行。在日线级别上，在日线上看 黄金目前价格在低位持续震荡运行，虽然目前价格在日线阻力下方，但是整体还是需要关注日线阻力98.10位置得失，价格后续还是需要关注站稳表现。从 四小时上看，四小时上是我们一直强调短期价格走势的关键，目前四小时阻力于98.20区域，价格在站稳此位置前先谨慎对待，待后续站稳后再关注进一步 延续。从一小时上看，针对上周五大幅下跌后，目前市场有进一步向上的表现，所以对于美指的空谨慎追单，重点关注后续进一步上涨的表现。 美指98.10-20为多空分水岭 黄金 黄金方面，上周五黄金价格总体呈现上涨的状态，当日价格最高上涨至 ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, stating that having trading principles is crucial for success [1] - It highlights the significance of not holding onto losing positions, advocating for a strict stop-loss approach [1] Group 2 - The analysis of gold prices indicates that the key resistance levels are at 3345 and 3366, with potential for further upward movement if these levels are breached [3][6] - The commentary on silver suggests a strong upward trend, with a focus on shorting opportunities above the 38.2 resistance level [5] - The dollar index is expected to continue its bullish trend, with caution advised for potential short-term pullbacks [6][9] Group 3 - The report on crude oil suggests a bullish outlook, with targets set between 69 and 70, while also advising on strict stop-loss measures [6][8] - The S&P futures are being monitored for short positions, with a target range of 6120 to 6000, indicating a bearish sentiment in the medium term [6][9]

Group 1 - The Trump administration's recently passed trillion-dollar tax and spending bill adds uncertainty to the gold market, with a projected increase of $3.4 trillion in federal debt over the next decade [2] - The bill aims to stimulate economic growth through fiscal expansion by solidifying 2017 tax cuts, expanding corporate tax deductions, and cutting spending on healthcare and renewable energy projects [2] - However, the administration's anti-growth policies, including mass immigration deportations and new tariffs on Chinese goods, raise concerns about supply chain restructuring [2] Group 2 - The labor market shows signs of weakening, with 130,000 workers voluntarily exiting the job market in June, and long-term unemployment rising to 1.647 million, extending the average unemployment duration from 9.5 weeks to 10.1 weeks [2] - Defensive strategies among companies reflect cautious sentiment in the job market, with a record high of companies prioritizing existing employees for reassignment, and hiring freezes becoming mainstream [2] - The ISM survey indicates that structural unemployment risks may become more pronounced due to these defensive measures [2] Group 3 - Gold futures are currently trading around 775.26 yuan per gram, down 0.45%, with a short-term outlook leaning towards a volatile trend [1] - Technical analysis suggests that gold is in a corrective phase, with key support levels at $3,250-$3,400, and a critical support level at $3,247 [3] - The short-term support is identified at $3,310-$3,300, while the mid-term key support is at $3,247, which is crucial for determining the medium-term adjustment trend [3] Group 4 - Key resistance levels for gold are set at $3,350-$3,360 in the short term and $3,400-$3,432 in the mid-term, which includes significant historical price points [5]

Group 1 - The article discusses the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its implications for market trends, particularly focusing on the bullish sentiment among investors [1] - It highlights the importance of monitoring key levels that could serve as a dividing line between bullish and bearish market conditions [1]

Group 1 - The surge in silver prices has triggered a frenzy of capital replenishment, indicating a potential end to the consolidation phase and the release of a spring effect [1] - The technical breakthrough at $35 is seen as just the beginning, suggesting further upward momentum in silver prices [1] - Increased volatility is expected within the month, with short-term technical indicators potentially concealing bullish traps [1] Group 2 - Attention is drawn to trend projections and hedging strategies as the market dynamics evolve [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, indicating that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake [1] - The recent trading day for gold showed fluctuations, with a closing price of 3287, marking the first three consecutive daily declines since May [1][3] - The international trade court in Manhattan has blocked Trump's "liberation day" trade measures, negatively impacting gold prices, which have been influenced by tariff policies [3] Group 2 - Silver trading strategies are advised to follow gold movements without independent analysis [4] - Crude oil prices have shown a significant increase after hitting a double bottom at 55, with a short-term resistance at 65 [6][9] - The Shanghai gold and Rongtong gold markets are experiencing high volatility, with a focus on short-selling opportunities as international gold prices decline [7]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market experienced a significant drop, with prices falling over $50, raising concerns for bullish investors as the market approaches a critical support level [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The recent decline in gold prices has been attributed to various market factors, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [1] - The key support level for gold is being closely monitored, as its breach could lead to further declines and impact bullish positions [1] Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Bullish investors are facing a critical moment, as the market's direction will heavily depend on the upcoming price movements around the identified support level [1] - The volatility in gold prices reflects broader economic uncertainties, influencing investor behavior and market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing fluctuations in gold prices, indicating a potential resumption of a downward trend or continued volatility [1] - It emphasizes the importance of identifying key support and resistance levels within a single trading day to navigate market movements effectively [1] - The analysis suggests that traders should closely monitor market conditions to make informed decisions on following the prevailing trends [1]

Core Viewpoint - The market is focusing on the upcoming details of the trade agreement between the US and the UK, leading to a decrease in risk-averse sentiment and a significant test for gold as a key indicator of market sentiment [1] Group 1 - The anticipation of the US-UK trade agreement is influencing market dynamics, with traders closely monitoring the developments [1] - The reduction in risk-averse sentiment suggests a shift in investor confidence, potentially impacting asset allocation strategies [1] - Gold is being highlighted as a critical point of contention, serving as a barometer for market sentiment during this period of uncertainty [1]