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地缘缓和与宏观施压沪金应声回落
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-10 03:11
今日周五(10月10日)亚盘时段,黄金期货目前交投于918附近,截至发稿,黄金期货暂报904.88元/ 克,跌幅0.90%,最高触及921.40元/克,最低下探898.06元/克。目前来看,黄金期货短线偏向看跌走 势。 打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 在贵金属市场历经较长一段时间的支撑后,地缘政治紧张局势如今暂时有所缓和。值得关注的是,以色 列与哈马斯成功达成协议,计划释放所有在加沙地带被扣押的人员,这一举措被视为朝着结束双方持续 两年之久的冲突迈出的关键一步。该协议是在美、埃、卡、土四方的共同斡旋下,于埃及沙姆沙伊赫通 过多轮间接协商最终敲定的。根据协议条款,以色列方面将释放一定数量的巴勒斯坦囚犯,同时增加对 加沙地区的人道主义援助物资供给,并有序将军队撤离至加沙边境的缓冲区域。此消息一经传出,市场 的避险情绪显著减弱,进而给金银价格带来了短期的下行压力。 与此同时,外部宏观环境也对贵金属走势形成了不利影响。美元指数强势攀升至九周以来的最高点位, 而美国10年期国债收益率则稳定保持在4.13%附近。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 今日沪金期货需重点关注的关键阻力位区间为920元/克至940元/克 ...
美联储降息大消息,纽约期金史上首次触及4000美元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-07 02:22
刚刚, 纽约期金历史首次触及4000美元/盎司整数大关,年内大涨逾50%。现货黄金报3976.94美元/盎司,同样创下历史新高。 随后,美参议院对共和党提出的临时拨款法案进行了投票表决。投票结果仍然未达通过门槛,法案未获通过。随着法案被否决,美国政府"关门"将继续。 而在降息方面,虽然市场普遍预测美联储将在10月份再度降息,不过,堪萨斯城联储主席施密德周一表示,他倾向于不进一步降息,称当美联储在政策过 紧和过宽松的双重风险之间寻找平衡时,应该继续关注通胀过高的风险。施密德支持美联储9月将利率下调25个基点的决定,称这是在劳动力市场降温背 景下的适当风险管理。但他指出,各类指标显示整体就业市场仍然健康,而通胀依然过高,服务业通胀近几个月稳定在约3.5%,远高于美联储2%的通胀 目标。 而近几日黄金走强主要源自 美国政府持续关门带来的不确定性加剧以及降息预期升温。 当地时间10月6日,美国国会参议院对民主党提出的旨在结束政府"关门"的拨款法案进行表决,最终以45票赞成、50票反对,法案未获通过。 | ( W | COMEX黄金 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
爆了!金饰克价涨至1136元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 06:26
智通财经10月4日消息,COMEX黄金期货收涨1.14%,报3912.1美元/盎司,本周累计上涨3.23%;COMEX白银期货收涨3.45%,报47.97美 元/盎司,本周累计上涨3.46%。 10月4日,国内多个金饰品牌金饰克价再创新高。 周生生足金饰品每克1136元,周大福每克1129元,老凤祥每克1131元。 截图自周生生官网 尽管金价持续飙涨,但市场对黄金后续走势仍表示看好。近期,BMO资本市场的商品分析师发布了第四季度价格预测,对黄金和白银价 格进行了大幅上调。分析师指出,过去三年地缘政治和经济动荡加剧是推动黄金史无前例上涨的重要因素。这种波动很大程度上可以追 溯到美国政府债务水平不可持续的增长,对美国债务的担忧正在成为焦点。 该机构预计,2025年最后三个月黄金平均价格将达到每盎司3900美元,较此前预测上调8%;2026年黄金平均价格将达到每盎司4400美 元,较之前的预测上调26%。 瑞银近期发布报告称,黄金市场目前倾向于看涨行情,预计到2026年年中金价将升至每盎司4200美元。瑞银认为,美元走弱、央行大举 购买黄金以及ETF投资增加等因素对金价构成利好,同时建议黄金在投资组合中的配置比例为 ...
金价爆发背后的真相 意味着什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-01 11:47
Market Performance and Data - Recent surge in international gold prices, with futures prices rising significantly within weeks, indicating a rare one-sided upward trend [1] - Increased trading volume in both futures and spot markets, reflecting a substantial influx of market capital [3] Global Economic Uncertainty - Heightened global economic uncertainties, including geopolitical conflicts and slowing economic growth, have driven investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset [4] - Major economies showing signs of contraction, with declining manufacturing PMI and lowered growth forecasts from the IMF [4] Monetary Policy Easing Expectations - Global central banks signaling a shift towards looser monetary policies, with expectations of paused interest rate hikes and potential rate cuts [5] - Increased liquidity and risk of currency depreciation make gold more attractive as a non-currency asset [5] Inflation Expectations - Divergence in inflation expectations, with some economists predicting a return to low inflation while others foresee persistent inflation due to previous monetary easing [6] - Gold's role as an inflation hedge is emphasized, leading to increased investment in gold to mitigate inflation risks [6] Impact on Financial Markets - Gold price surge positively affecting related stocks, particularly in the gold mining and jewelry sectors, while also boosting prices of other precious metals [8] - Interaction between rising gold prices and bond market dynamics, with potential capital shifts from bonds to gold [8] Impact on the Gold Industry - Gold mining companies experiencing significant profit increases due to high gold prices, with some previously unprofitable mines becoming viable [9] - Increased exploration and development activities in the gold sector as companies seek to capitalize on favorable market conditions [9] Investor Implications - Opportunities for investors to engage in gold-related assets, such as futures and ETFs, to benefit from rising prices [10] - Need for investors to maintain a rational approach and consider their risk tolerance when investing in volatile gold markets [10] Future Price Outlook - Continued uncertainty in gold price trends, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and expectations of monetary easing [11] - Potential factors that could suppress gold prices include unexpected economic recovery and strengthening of the dollar [11]
美韩摊牌韩国拒付天价沪金突破860
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-29 03:01
Group 1 - Gold futures are currently trading around 861.30 yuan per gram, with a rise of 0.74%, reaching a high of 865.28 yuan and a low of 855.56 yuan [1] - The short-term outlook for gold futures appears bullish [1] Group 2 - A South Korean official stated that the proposal for South Korea to pay $350 billion in cash to the U.S. for tariff reductions is unrealistic [3] - The South Korean government prefers to use loans and bilateral currency swaps to alleviate financial pressure, as the proposed amount exceeds 80% of its foreign exchange reserves [3] - The South Korean finance minister announced that discussions on exchange rates have concluded and details will be released, indicating that currency swaps are a separate issue [3] Group 3 - Key resistance levels for gold futures are identified between 865 yuan per gram and 880 yuan per gram, while important support levels are between 760 yuan per gram and 800 yuan per gram [4]
黄金,还在涨!再创历史
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 02:15
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting is underway, with concerns about the impact of recent personnel changes on interest rate decisions, leading to a cautious market sentiment [1] - Major U.S. stock indices experienced declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.27%, S&P 500 down 0.13%, and Nasdaq down 0.07%, while Chinese concept stocks rose, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up nearly 1.8% [1] Group 2 - Following the Federal Reserve meeting, there is a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, estimated at 96%, with further cuts in October and December also likely at over 70% [4] - International gold prices surged, with London spot gold prices breaking the $3,700 per ounce mark, and New York December gold futures closing at $3,725.1 per ounce, up 0.16% [4] Group 3 - Analysts expect a larger-than-expected decrease in U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories, supported by geopolitical tensions and a weakening dollar, which bolstered international oil prices [7] - New York light crude oil futures closed at $64.52 per barrel, up 1.93%, while November Brent crude oil futures closed at $68.47 per barrel, up 1.53% [7] Group 4 - U.S. retail sales for August increased by 0.6% month-on-month, exceeding expectations, driven by strong online retail, clothing, and sports goods sales, likely influenced by back-to-school shopping [10] - Despite economic challenges, strong consumer spending may influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [10] Group 5 - European stock indices fell as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with banking stocks under pressure [12] - The UK's unemployment rate remained high, and average wage growth showed a decline, raising concerns among investors and contributing to the downward trend in European indices, with the FTSE 100 down 0.88%, CAC40 down 1%, and DAX down 1.77% [12]
中美贸易摩擦新焦点 comex黄金多空战势明
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-16 02:17
Group 1 - Short-term futures traders engaged in profit-taking after recent gold price increases, leading to pressure on prices [1] - December gold futures rose by $17 to $3703.4 per ounce during trading [1] Group 2 - U.S. and Chinese trade officials held high-level talks in Madrid, focusing on trade issues and global economic conditions [3] - China announced an investigation into the U.S. semiconductor industry, citing NVIDIA for potential antitrust violations [3] - Fitch Ratings downgraded France's credit rating from AA- to A+ due to rising public debt and political instability [3] - Fitch warned that France's fiscal consolidation policy space will be constrained as the 2027 presidential election approaches, predicting a fiscal deficit above 5% of GDP from 2026 to 2027 [3] Group 3 - Global financial markets are focused on the upcoming FOMC meeting, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut [4] - This would mark the first easing of monetary policy since November 2024, in response to signs of economic weakness [4] - The latest economic outlook report is expected to show weakening growth momentum and rising unemployment [4] Group 4 - From a technical perspective, December gold futures bulls have a strong advantage, with the next target above $3750 per ounce [6] - The first resistance level is at $3700 per ounce, followed by a weekly contract high of $3715.2 per ounce [6] - The first support level is at the overnight low of $3662.8 per ounce, then $3650 per ounce [6]
沪金期货本月吸金超百亿元 机构继续看好金价后市表现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 22:29
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market, particularly gold, has been experiencing significant price increases, reaching historical highs due to various factors including concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and rising expectations for interest rate cuts [1][2][5]. Price Trends - International gold prices have surged since late August, with London spot gold reaching a peak of $3674.48 per ounce and COMEX futures hitting $3715.2 per ounce on September 9 [2]. - As of September 11, the prices were reported at $3630.075 per ounce for London gold and $3666 per ounce for COMEX [2]. - In the domestic market, Shanghai gold futures also saw a notable rise, with the main contract peaking at 840.82 yuan per gram on September 10, marking a 5.82% increase for the month [2]. Market Sentiment and Investment Behavior - The increase in funds in Shanghai gold futures indicates a growing interest in gold trading, driven by external market changes [3]. - Investors are shifting their focus towards gold's monetary and anti-inflation properties, reflecting a long-term investment perspective despite current high prices [3][5]. Fundamental Support - The international gold market has shown a robust performance this year, with London gold prices rising over $1000 per ounce, a 38% increase since the beginning of the year [4]. - Factors contributing to this trend include heightened investor anxiety over international trade and inflation concerns, alongside expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve [4][5]. Long-term Investment Outlook - The demand for gold's monetary and anti-inflation attributes is expected to continue driving its price in the long run [5]. - Despite potential price increases in the remaining months of the year, the growth rate may not match the earlier part of the year due to ongoing economic uncertainties [5]. Investment Recommendations - For futures investors, it is crucial to monitor U.S. macroeconomic indicators and market sentiment closely due to the fast-paced nature of the market [6]. - For those investing in physical gold, the long-term benefits in terms of inflation protection and asset diversification remain significant, although short-term price volatility may pose risks [7].
‌墨拟征亚洲车加征50%关税 沪金窄幅波动
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-11 02:20
Group 1 - The Mexican government, led by Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, plans to increase tariffs on cars imported from Asia to a maximum of 50% to protect local jobs, with an estimated 320,000 jobs directly related to the trade of these products [3] - This tariff increase is part of the "Mexican Plan" aimed at revitalizing domestic manufacturing, targeting countries that do not have trade agreements with Mexico [3] Group 2 - Current gold futures are trading around 834.32 yuan per gram, with a slight increase of 0.11%, and have fluctuated between a high of 836.62 yuan and a low of 833.00 yuan [1] - Key resistance levels for gold futures are identified between 840 yuan and 860 yuan per gram, while important support levels are between 802 yuan and 850 yuan per gram [3]
纽约金低开低走,特朗普豁免多个关键领域商品关税
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-08 00:10
Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump signed an executive order on September 5, adjusting the scope of import tariffs, which will take effect on September 8 [5] - The executive order exempts various metals, including tungsten and uranium, from the global tariff system, as well as all forms of gold [5] - The order also states that zero tariffs will apply to products that cannot be grown, mined, or produced in sufficient quantities in the U.S. [5] Group 2 - OPEC announced on October 7 that eight major oil-producing countries will increase production by 137,000 barrels per day starting in October [6] - The countries involved include Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, who held an online meeting to discuss the international oil market [6] - The decision to adjust production is based on stable global economic expectations and low oil inventory levels [6]