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美联储降息打开估值空间,叠加南向资金与政策红利形成合力,港股有望迎来新一轮上行周期
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-11 02:28
12月11日,美联储如期宣布降息25个基点,并暗示未来将暂缓进一步降息,隔夜美股集体收涨。港股三 大指数今日集体高开,恒指涨0.66%,国指涨0.58%,恒生科技指数涨0.55%。科技股普遍上涨,白银价 格持续大涨创新高,黄金、铜等有色金属股继续强势,苹果概念股、航空股、保险股普涨,而电信运营 股走低。港股消费板块高开后略有震荡,现涨幅有所收窄,港股消费ETF(513230)盘中一度涨近 1%,现小幅微涨。其持仓股中,古茗、哔哩哔哩-W、思摩尔国际、新秀丽、创科实业等涨幅靠前,巨 子生物、统一企业中国、中国飞鹤、安踏体育等跌幅靠前。 消息面来看,北京时间周四凌晨,美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)发布了最新的利率决议,宣布 降息25个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间降至3.50%~3.75%,符合市场"鹰派降息"预期。 美联储降息打 开估值空间,并通过真实资金流入显著改善"分子端"的流动性与盈利预期,叠加南向资金与政策红利形 成合力,港股有望迎来新一轮上行周期。 港股核心宽基:恒生ETF(159920) AI+平台经济:恒生科技指数ETF(513180) 交银国际认为,2025年消费小幅回暖,展望2026年,消 ...
政策组合拳落地,聚焦消费板块布局机会,港股消费ETF(513230)涨幅超1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 03:16
Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market indices opened significantly higher, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.38% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 2.15% [1] - Consumer sector showed strong performance, with the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index rising 1.66% [1] - A recent government announcement introduced a comprehensive financial policy package aimed at stabilizing the market and economy, focusing on both total and structural policies [1] Policy Impact - Total policies aim to activate capital markets, reduce financing costs, and release real estate demand [1] - Structural policies focus on upgrading the technology industry, promoting consumption, boosting the stock market, stabilizing the real estate market, and supporting troubled enterprises [1] - Positive statements regarding quasi-stabilization funds are expected to solidify the lower end of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, enhancing risk appetite for Greater China assets [1] Investment Opportunities - Huatai Securities suggests that Hong Kong stocks may still offer relative returns, particularly in the import substitution sector [1] - Key points include: 1. Low market capitalization in export chains and midstream manufacturing sectors that are sensitive to tariffs [1] 2. Improved policy environment likely to boost risk appetite [1] 3. Attractive valuations in Hong Kong tech and consumer sectors supported by policies [1] 4. Weakening hard data from the US economy may increase global capital reallocation demand [1] Notable Investment Targets - Core broad-based Hong Kong stock: Hang Seng ETF (159920) [2] - AI and platform economy: Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) [2] - Core assets in Hong Kong consumption: Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) [2] - Global pharmaceutical industry representation: Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) [2] - Chinese AI technology concept companies: Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) [2]