12月31日，港股今日半日市，早间开盘受压，恒指低开0.21%，国企指数低开0.23%，恒生科技指数低 开0.22%。恒生指数早盘走低，恒生ETF（159920）现跌近1%。持仓股跌多涨少，其中携程集团、网 易、泡泡玛特、中升控股、创科实业等跌幅靠前，紫金矿业、舜宇光学科技、中国宏桥、百度集团等涨 幅靠前。 中信证券认为，近期人民币汇率升值，利好人民币权益资产表现。央行下阶段政策工具使用更加灵活， 重视内需目标。展望2026年，宏观金融条件稳定指向银行经营环境稳定，预计银行息差见底，实体部门 风险缓释中，收入与盈利修复。行业绝对收益逻辑来自于，银行系统性风险再评估带来的估值修复，同 时稳定权益回报特征驱动资金流入板块预计2026年板块将继续演绎估值提升方向。 银河证券认为，国内外货币政策宽松背景下，外资和南向资金均有望继续保持净流入趋势。在加快科技 创新、新一轮供给侧改革、扩大内需等利好政策带动下，港股上市公司盈利水平有望实现实质性提升， 市场将迎来盈利与估值均上涨的格局，2026年港股总体有望震荡上行。 值得关注的标的： 聚焦港股中国企业发展：恒生国企ETF（159850）。 AI+平台经济：恒生科技指数E ...

12月19日，港股开盘向好，恒指高开0.53%，国企指数高开0.58%，恒生科技指数高开0.81%。热门ETF 方面，恒生ETF（159920）、恒生国企ETF（159850）早盘持续攀升，现均涨超1%。 消息面上，美国11月核心CPI同比上涨2.6%，创2021年以来新低。通胀超预期放缓，强化了市场对美联 储明年降息的预期。交易员目前普遍预计2026年将降息两次、共50个基点，其中3月启动降息的概率已 大幅提升。 中信建投认为，从大周期看，港股本轮牛市"已行至中段位置"。流动性周期自2023年全球央行开启降息 后持续领先，估值水平在修复后已达历史中上分位，恒生指数PE在10-11之间震荡。然而，港股"处于盈 利修复启动初期"——港股整体的盈利修复斜率预计较为平缓，目前主要的盈利修复集中在结构性景气 板块，整个港股盈利修复仍处于早期启动阶段。 值得关注的标的： 港股核心宽基：恒生ETF（159920）； AI+平台经济：恒生科技指数ETF（513180）； 聚焦港股中国企业发展：恒生国企ETF（159850）。 ...

12月11日，美联储如期宣布降息25个基点，并暗示未来将暂缓进一步降息，隔夜美股集体收涨。港股三 大指数今日集体高开，恒指涨0.66%，国指涨0.58%，恒生科技指数涨0.55%。科技股普遍上涨，白银价 格持续大涨创新高，黄金、铜等有色金属股继续强势，苹果概念股、航空股、保险股普涨，而电信运营 股走低。港股消费板块高开后略有震荡，现涨幅有所收窄，港股消费ETF（513230）盘中一度涨近 1%，现小幅微涨。其持仓股中，古茗、哔哩哔哩-W、思摩尔国际、新秀丽、创科实业等涨幅靠前，巨 子生物、统一企业中国、中国飞鹤、安踏体育等跌幅靠前。 消息面来看，北京时间周四凌晨，美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）发布了最新的利率决议，宣布 降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间降至3.50%~3.75%，符合市场"鹰派降息"预期。 美联储降息打 开估值空间，并通过真实资金流入显著改善"分子端"的流动性与盈利预期，叠加南向资金与政策红利形 成合力，港股有望迎来新一轮上行周期。 港股核心宽基：恒生ETF（159920） AI+平台经济：恒生科技指数ETF（513180） 交银国际认为，2025年消费小幅回暖，展望2026年，消 ...

12月4日，港股三大指数盘初转跌后快速拉升回暖，恒生科技指数一度涨超1.1%，午间收涨0.58%，恒 生指数、国企指数分别上涨0.19%及0.38%。大型科技股涨跌不一，机器人概念股爆发，药品类股集体 拉升回暖，创新药概念股方向涨幅明显，内银股多数活跃。热门ETF方面，恒生ETF（159920）现小幅 微涨，持仓股中，药明生物、小米集团、携程集团、药明康德、中芯国际、吉利汽车等涨幅居前。 AI+平台经济：恒生科技指数ETF（513180）； 聚焦港股中国企业发展：恒生国企ETF（159850）。 华泰证券指出，当前市场或已接近"利空出尽"状态，前期压制的核心风险点如贸易摩擦、海外流动性宽 松交易回摆及"外卖大战"对互联网板块盈利的冲击已在回调过程中释放相对充分，因此当前市场点位下 行空间或相对有限。平安证券认为，南下资金保持规模净流入，11月份港股通合计净流入1219亿港元。 低估高股息板块仍然是港股较具吸引力的资金布局方向。科技自立自强仍是未来港股演绎的核心主线之 一，相关板块龙头公司有望迎来中长期发展机遇。 值得关注的标的： 港股核心宽基：恒生ETF（159920）； ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a notable decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling below the 26,000-point mark, influenced by internal policy focus and expectations for a year-end rally [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index opened down 0.44%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.51% [1] - Popular ETFs such as the Hang Seng ETF (159920) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises ETF (159850) also saw slight declines of around 0.5% [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The market is shifting focus from external factors to internal policies, particularly looking forward to the Central Economic Work Conference in mid-December [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to be further detailed, setting the tone for fiscal measures leading up to 2026 [1] Group 3: Global Economic Influences - The U.S. labor market showed significant cooling in September, with the unemployment rate reaching 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [1] - Expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December have increased, which may improve market sentiment in Hong Kong [1] - A decrease in global risk-free interest rates is anticipated to release more liquidity, potentially attracting overseas funds back to the Hong Kong market [1] - The decline of the U.S. dollar index is expected to support the appreciation of the Renminbi, benefiting Hong Kong's Renminbi-denominated assets [1] Group 4: Notable Investment Targets - Key investment targets include the core broad-based Hang Seng ETF (159920), the AI and platform economy-focused Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180), and the Hang Seng China Enterprises ETF (159850) [2]

Group 1: Index Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index Company announced its semi-annual index adjustment results, affecting major indices including the Hang Seng Index, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and the Hang Seng Tech Index [1] - China Telecom, JD Logistics, and Pop Mart were included in the Hang Seng Index, with respective weights of 1.44%, 0.51%, and 0.22%, increasing the total number of constituent stocks to 88 [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index included Pop Mart with a weight of 2.10%, while J&T Express was removed, which had a weight of 0.71%, keeping the total number of constituents at 50 [1] - No adjustments were made to the Hang Seng Tech Index, maintaining its count at 30 constituents [1] - The adjustments will take effect on September 8, 2025, with the adjustment list for the Stock Connect to be published on September 5 [1] Group 2: ETF Market Developments - Huaxia Fund's Hong Kong stock ETFs surpassed 100 billion yuan in total scale, becoming the first fund manager in the market to achieve this milestone [2] - Huaxia Fund's Hong Kong stock ETFs not only have the largest scale but also the most comprehensive layout, with 14 funds covering broad-based, technology, healthcare, dividend, and consumer sectors [2] Group 3: Related Securities - Core broad-based Hong Kong stock: Hang Seng ETF (159920) [3] - AI and platform economy: Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) [3] - Focus on the development of Chinese enterprises in Hong Kong: Hang Seng China Enterprises ETF (159850) [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights that Xiaomi Group reported record-high revenue and profit for Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching RMB 111.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47.4% [1] - In terms of business segments, the revenue from the mobile and AIoT division was RMB 92.7 billion, up 22.8% year-on-year, while the revenue from the smart electric vehicle and AI innovation division was RMB 18.6 billion [1] - The adjusted net profit for the quarter was RMB 10.7 billion, marking a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 64.5% [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities predicts that macroeconomic factors, AI developments, and market structure will drive a continued reversal in the Hong Kong stock market in the second half of the year [1] - The report notes that the revenue share of Hong Kong-listed companies from the Americas has dropped to 1.8% in 2024, with a higher weight in real estate and consumer sectors, making it more attractive compared to A-shares amid domestic economic recovery [1] - The performance of Hong Kong tech giants is expected to exceed profit expectations in the second half of the year, similar to the post-ChatGPT release performance in the US stock market [1] Group 3 - Notable investment targets include the Hang Seng ETF (159920), Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180), and Hang Seng Consumer ETF (513230), among others [2]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market indices opened significantly higher, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.38% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 2.15% [1] - Consumer sector showed strong performance, with the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index rising 1.66% [1] - A recent government announcement introduced a comprehensive financial policy package aimed at stabilizing the market and economy, focusing on both total and structural policies [1] Policy Impact - Total policies aim to activate capital markets, reduce financing costs, and release real estate demand [1] - Structural policies focus on upgrading the technology industry, promoting consumption, boosting the stock market, stabilizing the real estate market, and supporting troubled enterprises [1] - Positive statements regarding quasi-stabilization funds are expected to solidify the lower end of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, enhancing risk appetite for Greater China assets [1] Investment Opportunities - Huatai Securities suggests that Hong Kong stocks may still offer relative returns, particularly in the import substitution sector [1] - Key points include: 1. Low market capitalization in export chains and midstream manufacturing sectors that are sensitive to tariffs [1] 2. Improved policy environment likely to boost risk appetite [1] 3. Attractive valuations in Hong Kong tech and consumer sectors supported by policies [1] 4. Weakening hard data from the US economy may increase global capital reallocation demand [1] Notable Investment Targets - Core broad-based Hong Kong stock: Hang Seng ETF (159920) [2] - AI and platform economy: Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) [2] - Core assets in Hong Kong consumption: Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) [2] - Global pharmaceutical industry representation: Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) [2] - Chinese AI technology concept companies: Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) [2]