（文章来源：人民日报） 中日两国一衣带水，互为重要近邻。中日经济利益和产业链供应链深度交融，为促进两国及地区和平、 发展、繁荣、稳定发挥了积极作用。然而，近期日本现职领导人公然发表涉台错误言论，粗暴干涉中国 内政，破坏中日关系政治根基，性质极其恶劣，影响极其严重，令原本疲弱的日本经济雪上加霜。 结构矛盾叠加短期冲击令日本经济内外交困。日本经济复苏之路本就艰难脆弱，内需疲软、创新乏力、 老龄化少子化等深层问题难以破解；政府债务规模高达国内生产总值（GDP）的2.5倍左右、常年居主 要经济体首位，挤压宏观政策空间；受关税冲击影响，2025年三季度日本不变价GDP环比折年下降 2.3%，再度亮起"红灯"。日本现职领导人错误言论引发中日关系紧张，更是加剧各方面对日本经济悲观 预期。机构预测，仅旅游业所受影响就将导致日本未来一年经济损失约2.2万亿日元（约合142亿美 元）、GDP减少0.36%。对于日本内阁批准21.3万亿日元（约合1374亿美元）的经济刺激方案，市场并 不认可，日本国债收益率屡创新高、日元汇率明显走低、日经225指数一度抹去新任首相上任以来的全 部涨幅，股市、债市、汇市"三杀"局面令"抛售日本"预期 ...

Core Viewpoint - Former Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stated that it is impossible for Japan to economically suppress China, emphasizing the interdependence of the two economies [1]. Group 1 - Ishiba questioned Japan's ability to survive economically without China, drawing a parallel to Japan's past conflict with a much stronger United States [1]. - He argued that mere rhetoric is insufficient for Japan to determine how to coexist with China [1]. Group 2 - Ishiba has criticized Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi for making erroneous comments regarding Taiwan, indicating a need for more careful diplomatic language [2].

日本法政大学政治学教授白鸟浩表示，高市言论无视中日重要经济关系，引起各界担忧。 日本法政大学政治学教授 白鸟浩：股价持续下跌，反映了市场对中日关系恶化的担忧。对日本而言， 中国是不可或缺的，是最大的贸易伙伴国。日本首相却发表了如同完全无视这一重要关系的言论。从市 场反应来看，也能看出海外对此的担忧。 高市早苗涉台错误言论的负面影响正在多个领域逐渐显现，尤其是经济领域。日本投资者担忧中日两国 关系恶化，日本旅游及消费股大跌。 ...

日本学者：若未来一年中国游客大减，日本或将损失2.2万亿日元 中新网11月17日电 综合报道，中国文化和旅游部11月16日发布赴日旅游提示，建议中国游客近期避免 前往日本旅游。日本学者表示，若中国游客减少，将影响日本经济。 当地时间11月17日，日本野村综合研究所研究员木内登英在文章中表示，若未来一年访日中国游客大幅 减少，将拉低日本全年实际国内生产总值0.36个百分点。初步计算经济损失将达2.2万亿日元，约合人民 币1011.6亿元。 木内登英称，考虑到日本经济后续走势以及国内民众正面临的物价上涨压力，访日中国游客的大幅减 少，无疑为日本经济增长增添了新的隐忧。 公开资料显示，中国是日本最大贸易伙伴、第二大出口对象国和最大进口来源国。2024年中日贸易总额 3083亿美元，其中中国出口额1520.1亿美元，进口额1562.5亿美元。 资料图：日本民众穿过涩谷车站前的交叉路口。 中新社记者 吕少威 摄 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：徐世明 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming election for the president of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is expected to be a contest primarily between current Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, Shinjiro Koizumi, and former Minister of Economic Security, Sanae Takaichi, with predictions indicating that political instability will persist regardless of the outcome [2][3][4]. Group 1: Political Dynamics - The resignation of former LDP president and Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba, after internal party pressure highlights the ongoing political instability in Japan, characterized by frequent changes in leadership [4][5]. - Since Shinzo Abe's second term, Japan has experienced a pattern of "one prime minister per year," indicating a lack of political continuity and stability [5][6]. - The internal factional struggles within the LDP are expected to continue, making it difficult for any new leader to maintain a stable government [6][7]. Group 2: Economic Policy Challenges - The absence of clear economic policies among the LDP candidates is a significant issue, as previous leaders failed to revitalize the economy, leading to public disillusionment [6][12]. - The impact of U.S. tariffs on Japanese exports is a pressing concern, with estimates indicating that Trump's tariffs could reduce Japan's GDP by 0.4% and lead to a decline in consumer spending and corporate profits [15][16]. - The candidates have not proposed a coherent strategy to address the economic challenges posed by U.S. trade policies, which could further hinder Japan's economic recovery [17][18]. Group 3: Sino-Japanese Relations - Despite political tensions, economic relations between Japan and China remain stable, with bilateral trade figures showing a slight increase over the years [22][23]. - The new LDP president is unlikely to change the confrontational stance towards China, as candidates have continued to emphasize national security concerns and the need to address perceived threats from China [21][22]. - The duality of maintaining economic ties with China while adopting a politically adversarial stance is a defining characteristic of Japan's current political landscape [22][23].