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绷不住的先是美国!中美经济较量:中国产能硬到美元霸权顶不住
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-02 06:26
Group 1 - The global focus is on the economic competition between China and the US, with countries adapting their strategies accordingly [1] - Southeast Asia is receiving orders from the US supply chain while simultaneously relying on China for over 60% of electronic components [1] - Europe claims to seek alternative sources, but Chinese small appliances still dominate the market due to quality issues with substitutes [1] - Middle Eastern oil traders maintain a steady supply to China, recognizing its reliability as a customer [1] Group 2 - China is expanding its market presence in emerging economies, with a significant share of air conditioners and washing machines in Africa coming from Chinese manufacturers [3] - Domestic consumption in China is thriving, driven by initiatives like "old-for-new" appliance exchanges and the popularity of new energy vehicles [3] Group 3 - The decline of US manufacturing, from nearly 50% of global value added post-WWII to about 8.5% today, has led to increased reliance on imports for even high-end materials [5] - The US's strategy of offshoring low-end manufacturing while focusing on high-tech has backfired, revealing a lack of capable alternatives [5] - The US dollar's dominance is weakening, with countries increasingly opting for local currencies in trade, reducing reliance on the dollar [5] Group 4 - The interdependence between the US and China is evident, as US industries cannot easily detach from Chinese supply chains for critical components [6] - American consumers face challenges in accessing quality goods, with rising prices and limited availability of products [7] Group 5 - Efforts to bring manufacturing back to the US have faced significant delays and cost issues, with local production often being more expensive than imports from China [8] - The outcome of the economic tug-of-war will likely hinge on the US's acknowledgment of the irreplaceability of the Chinese supply chain [8]