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国金证券:电力设备板块经营业绩稳健 关注新兴下游及出海
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 06:59
Core Viewpoint - The power equipment industry is expected to maintain a favorable outlook in the first half of 2025, driven by sustained global grid investment, emerging demands from data centers, and a recovery in the scale and pricing of ultra-high voltage and distribution equipment tenders [1] Financial Analysis - The power equipment sector's key companies achieved a revenue of 170.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13%, with contributions from domestic, overseas, and external demands [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year, primarily due to the increased share of high-profit overseas business from leading companies [2] - In Q2 2024, revenue was 99.4 billion yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year, with net profit of 8.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 13% year-on-year growth [2] - The overall gross margin and net margin for key companies in the sector improved to 21.2% and 8.6%, respectively, with Q2 2025 margins rising to 22% and 9% [2] Operational Capability - Accounts receivable increased by 9% year-on-year, while inventory rose by 18% in the first half of 2025, indicating stable cash collection efficiency and inventory management [3] - The overseas segment saw accounts receivable and inventory grow by 18% and 35% year-on-year, respectively, with a decline in turnover rate likely due to longer settlement cycles for overseas projects [3] - Capital expenditure for key companies remained stable, with a 21% year-on-year increase in the overseas segment, reflecting ongoing expansion of overseas capacity [3] Holdings Analysis - The market capitalization of the power equipment industry reached 1.2 trillion yuan in Q2 2025, marking an 8% year-on-year increase [4] - The proportion of public fund holdings in the power equipment sector decreased to 0.6% of total holdings, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Companies such as Dongfang Cable, Siyuan Electric, and Hongfa Co. are favored by institutions, focusing on overseas expansion and leading segments [4] Export Segment - The export of high-voltage equipment continues to grow significantly, with transformer and isolator exports from China increasing by 37% and 30% year-on-year, respectively, in the first seven months of 2025 [5] - Major international players like Hitachi and Siemens Energy are optimistic about their order reserves, particularly in the North American data center market [5] Domestic Main Network and Distribution - The actual completion of grid construction investment reached 331.5 billion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, a 13% year-on-year increase [6] - The first three batches of tenders for transmission and transformation equipment amounted to 54.1 billion yuan, up 25% year-on-year, with expectations for ultra-high voltage equipment tenders to exceed 50 billion yuan for the year [6] - Leading companies in the sector are experiencing steady growth in domestic network business while gradually realizing international expansion [6]
板块经营业绩稳健,关注新兴下游及出海 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-09-01 06:34
Core Viewpoint - The electric power equipment sector shows steady growth in revenue and profit, driven by increased demand both domestically and internationally, with key companies benefiting from high profitability in overseas markets [1][2][3]. Financial Analysis - In the first half of 2025, key companies in the sector achieved revenue of 170.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14 billion yuan, up 14% [1][2]. - In Q2 2024, revenue reached 99.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 14% year-on-year growth, with net profit of 8.9 billion yuan, a 13% increase [2]. - The overall gross margin and net margin for key companies improved to 21.2% and 8.6%, respectively, with Q2 2025 margins further increasing to 22% and 9% [2]. Operational Capability - Accounts receivable increased by 9% year-on-year, while inventory rose by 18%, indicating stable cash flow and inventory management [3]. - The overseas segment saw accounts receivable and inventory grow by 18% and 35%, respectively, reflecting a longer settlement cycle for overseas projects [3]. Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for key companies remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 6% in cash flow, while the overseas segment's capital expenditure grew by 21% due to expanded overseas capacity [3]. Industry Overview - By Q2 2025, the market capitalization of the electric power equipment industry reached 1.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% [4]. - The industry's market capitalization accounted for 1.2% of the total A-share market, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Company Insights - Companies such as Dongfang Cable, Siyuan Electric, and Macro-Fa have gained favor among institutional investors, particularly in overseas and leading segments [4]. Export Dynamics - The overseas segment is experiencing long-cycle prosperity, with high growth in high-voltage equipment exports and strong demand from North American data centers [5]. - Domestic exports of transformers and isolating switches showed significant growth rates of 37% and 30%, respectively, from January to July 2025 [5]. Domestic Network Developments - The actual completion of grid infrastructure investment reached 331.5 billion yuan from January to July 2025, a 13% year-on-year increase [6]. - The first three rounds of bidding for transmission and transformation equipment totaled 54.1 billion yuan, reflecting a 25% year-on-year increase [6]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to maintain high prosperity, with emerging demands diversifying, particularly in global grid investments and data centers [7]. - Recommended investment directions include AIDC, transformer exports, main grid construction, and ultra-high voltage projects [7].