Core Insights - The power crisis triggered by the surge in AI computing power is creating new opportunities for public funds to explore Chinese power equipment assets overseas [1] - Public funds are intensively reallocating their portfolios, prioritizing the power equipment sector as a key investment area [2] Group 1: Investment Trends - Major public funds such as Ping An Fund, Debon Fund, and others are increasing their positions in smart distribution and gas turbine sectors, with companies like Yingliu Co., Jereh, and Dongfang Electric becoming core holdings [2] - New ETFs focused on power equipment and energy infrastructure are being launched by institutions like Invesco Great Wall and Huabao Fund, indicating a strong interest in this sector [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The ongoing power gap in North America has led fund managers to recognize the critical role of traditional power sources, with Morgan Stanley raising the projected power shortfall for U.S. data centers from 44 GW to 47 GW [3] - The International Energy Agency warns that global data center power demand will exceed 900 TWh by 2030, with NVIDIA's GPU clusters alone consuming 150-200 GW of power [3] Group 3: Market Performance - The power equipment sector saw an overall increase of over 40% in 2025, with specific segments like smart distribution and gas turbine components rising over 60% [5] - Companies like Siyuan Electric have seen their stock prices soar, with a cumulative increase of 14 times since 2020, benefiting from the upgrade of power grids and overseas demand [4] Group 4: Strategic Insights - The consensus that "AI's end is electricity" is driving public funds to focus on power equipment, as the demand for stable power sources in data centers is increasing [6] - Fund managers emphasize the importance of energy as a hard asset in the context of the AI revolution, highlighting the need for rapid upgrades in power infrastructure to meet growing energy demands [6][7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Insights - The State Grid's "14th Five-Year Plan" investment is projected to reach 4 trillion yuan, representing a growth of over 40% compared to the previous plan, with an average annual investment compound growth rate of approximately 7% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [9] - The focus remains on UHV (Ultra High Voltage) and power transmission, with a target to enhance cross-regional transmission capacity by over 30% by the end of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [9] - There is optimism regarding investment opportunities in distribution networks and smart technologies, particularly in urban and rural areas, to support zero-carbon initiatives and meet the demand for charging facilities [9] - The report highlights the potential for domestic power equipment companies to expand into North America due to a shortage of electricity, which is expected to drive both volume and price increases [9] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - Investment suggestion: The implementation of the State Grid's 4 trillion yuan investment plan is expected to sustain high prosperity in the domestic power equipment industry, with additional demand from North America and new technology requirements [3] - Key targets include: - UHV-related companies: Pinggao Electric (600312), XJ Electric (000400), China West Electric (601179) [3] - Companies related to power equipment exports and SST solid-state transformers: Jinpan Technology (688676), Siyuan Electric (002028), Sifang Co. (601126), Igor (002922), Anke Zhidian (300617) [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities predicts that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the investment scale in the power grid may reach around 1 trillion yuan annually, with significant growth expected in the investment from State Grid and Southern Grid in 2026 [1] Group 1: Investment Outlook - The total fixed asset investment by State Grid is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan," a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, while Southern Grid's investment is projected to be around 1 trillion yuan [1] - The anticipated investment amounts for State Grid and Southern Grid in 2026 are 700 billion yuan and 189 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 7.6% and 8.0% [1] Group 2: High Voltage and Main Network - By the end of 2025, State Grid plans to complete 42 high-voltage projects, with expectations for further approvals and construction of additional projects in 2026 [2] - The demand for core equipment in the power system is increasing, with a projected tender amount for State Grid's transmission and transformation equipment reaching 91.88 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.3% [2] Group 3: Distribution Network and Metering - The distribution network is expected to see significant growth, with a total tender amount of 124.57 billion yuan in 2025, driven by the demand for smart upgrades [3] - The new standards for metering equipment are expected to lead to a recovery in prices, with 2026 anticipated to be a year of simultaneous volume and price increases [3] Group 4: Global Trends and AI Demand - North America is facing a significant electricity shortfall, with AI data center (AIDC) demand projected to increase electricity consumption from 176 TWh in 2023 to between 325-580 TWh by 2028 [4] - Global electricity and grid investment is expected to reach new highs, with projections of $1.5 trillion in 2024 and over $3.3 trillion by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2025 to 2035 [4] Group 5: Export Opportunities - The overseas supply of power equipment is expected to face shortages, with delivery times for transformers and high-voltage cables in Europe and the U.S. nearly doubling [5] - In the first 11 months of 2025, exports of transformers, meters, and other electrical equipment showed significant growth, indicating a continued upward trend in 2026 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The power grid equipment sector in China is experiencing a sustained high level of activity, with significant investments and structural changes expected in 2026, driven by domestic demand and overseas expansion opportunities [1][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance and Investment - China Xidian (601179.SH) recently won a bid for a power transmission project worth over 1.4 billion yuan, marking a strong start to the year [1][2]. - The stock price of China Xidian approached its historical high of 11.08 yuan, reflecting positive market sentiment [1][3]. - The overall power grid equipment index rose by 33% in 2025, reaching a historical peak, supported by increased investments from the State Grid [2][5]. Group 2: Structural Changes and Growth Drivers - The power grid equipment industry is entering a phase of stable growth with structural differentiation, where domestic transmission and transformation and overseas power equipment exports are expected to be the main growth engines [1][6]. - The total market size for domestic power grid equipment is projected to exceed 2 trillion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15% [3][4]. - The bidding amount for transmission and transformation equipment reached 91.9 billion yuan in 2025, a 26% increase year-on-year, indicating strong demand [4][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - In 2026, the approval of four key direct current lines is anticipated, which will further enhance the project pipeline for related companies [6][7]. - The demand for solid-state transformers is expected to rise significantly, with efficiency improvements over traditional transformers, marking 2026 as a critical year for their introduction [7]. - The ongoing structural changes in the power grid investment landscape are expected to provide a solid foundation for the performance of leading companies in the sector [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Huaming Equipment with a "Buy" rating, assigning a target price of 29.5 RMB based on a 30.4x PE for 2026 [3][8][15]. Core Views - Huaming Equipment ranks first in the domestic transformer tap changer industry and second globally, with a robust growth outlook driven by overseas expansion, maintenance services, and ultra-high voltage (UHV) business [3][15]. - The global power grid investment is entering an upward cycle, which is expected to boost the company's performance significantly, with a projected CAGR of 18.7% for net profit from 2025 to 2027 [3][15]. - The company is transitioning from a "device manufacturer" to a "full lifecycle service provider," leveraging its high installed base for maintenance services, which presents substantial growth potential [5][18]. Summary by Sections Investment Outlook - The report highlights that global power grid investments are on the rise, with significant constraints on overseas power equipment supply. The company’s export scale is expected to grow, with direct and indirect exports projected at 3.4 billion, 4.9 billion, and 3.1 billion RMB for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 61.9%, 42.6%, and 45.3% [4][16]. - The company is actively exploring opportunities in Europe, Southeast Asia, and North America, with a focus on localized layouts and customized solutions [4][16]. Ultra-High Voltage and Maintenance Services - The domestic ultra-high voltage market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the company expected to capture a 60% market share, translating to an additional revenue of 2.2 billion RMB during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5][17]. - The maintenance business is projected to reach a potential revenue scale of 7 billion RMB, with a significant increase in orders expected in the coming years [18]. Competitive Advantages - The company maintains a high gross margin, consistently above 55% since 2019, attributed to its strong market position and R&D capabilities, which create substantial barriers to entry for competitors [6][19]. - Huaming Equipment's comprehensive manufacturing capabilities, with 80% of components produced in-house, enhance its cost control and supply chain stability, particularly advantageous during periods of overseas market tightness [6][19]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts net profits of 7.30 billion, 8.66 billion, and 10.28 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.81, 0.97, and 1.15 RMB [7][12]. - The company’s overall revenue is expected to grow from 2.32 billion RMB in 2024 to 3.29 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [12][13].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the **electric power industry** and **electric equipment sector** in both domestic (China) and international markets, particularly the **North American power system** [1][2][5]. Key Points and Arguments North American Power System Challenges - **Electricity Demand Growth**: The U.S. electricity demand growth has rebounded to **3%**, expected to continue until **2030**. Factors include AI infrastructure, cryptocurrency mining, and re-industrialization [2][5]. - **Supply-Side Issues**: A significant wave of power plant retirements is anticipated, with over **100 GW** expected to retire by **2034**, primarily coal-fired plants [2][3]. - **Reliability Concerns**: New renewable energy projects, mainly solar and storage, are less reliable under extreme weather conditions, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances [2][4]. - **Transmission Line Construction**: The long construction cycle (4-10 years) for transmission lines reveals system vulnerabilities, with an estimated average load gap of **30 GW** from **2025-2030** [2][4]. Measures Taken by U.S. Government and Enterprises - **Delaying Retirements**: The U.S. government is delaying the retirement of coal plants and promoting more reliable energy sources like gas and SOFC [3][4]. - **Infrastructure Projects**: Numerous transmission and transformation projects have been approved, but many remain in planning due to land and funding issues [4]. Investment Outlook - **Domestic Investment**: China is expected to invest over **4 trillion RMB** in the power grid during the **14th Five-Year Plan**, significantly higher than the previous plan [5]. - **International Market**: The U.S. market is experiencing a tight supply-demand relationship, leading to increased orders for transformers and other equipment [5][8]. Future Investment Trends - **Focus on Smart Distribution**: Future investments will prioritize the smart transformation of distribution networks, driven by the rise of electric vehicles and distributed energy [6][7]. - **Improving Industry Fundamentals**: Changes in bidding standards and pricing are expected to enhance product quality and improve order and profit outlooks for companies [6][7]. Electric Equipment Export Opportunities - **Strong Global Demand**: The global demand for electric equipment is robust, with Chinese companies benefiting from cost advantages and quick service response [8][9]. - **Export Growth**: From January to September **2025**, China's electric equipment exports grew by **24%**, with transformers up **42%** [8][9]. Performance of Major Overseas Manufacturers - **Strong Earnings**: Major overseas manufacturers like Hitachi Energy and GE have reported significant revenue growth, with expectations for stable long-term growth in demand [11][12]. - **Order Backlogs**: The backlog of orders remains high, indicating strong future demand, particularly in North America [11][12]. Recommendations for A-Share Market - **Key Companies**: Recommendations include companies like **Siyuan Electric** and **Samsung**, which are expected to perform well due to their current low valuations and potential for earnings growth [19]. Other Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The records highlight the competitive pressure from Chinese companies in the electric meter market, with foreign firms losing market share [17]. - **Valuation Trends**: High valuations for foreign stocks reflect optimism about long-term demand and performance [18]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call records, focusing on the electric power industry and its dynamics in both domestic and international contexts.

Core Viewpoint - The company Jinbei Electric (金杯电工) is recognized as a leader in flat electromagnetic wire, focusing on transformers, inverters, and reactors, and has established a strong competitive edge in the market due to product quality, customer accumulation, and scale effects [2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Jinbei Electric has received widespread recognition from domestic and international clients, including China Electric Equipment Group, TBEA, Siemens Energy, Hitachi Energy, and Igor [2]. - The company emphasizes the importance of expanding its overseas market presence, having already exported directly to regions such as Europe, Japan, Southeast Asia, Central Asia, India, the Middle East, and South America [2]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Jinbei Electric has selected Europe as the primary location for its capacity expansion, planning to establish an intelligent production base with an annual capacity of 20,000 tons of electromagnetic wire [2].

Summary of Conference Call on Power Equipment Industry Industry Overview - The conference focused on the power equipment industry, specifically high-voltage direct current (HVDC) and distribution networks, with insights into company performance and market trends [1][2][3]. Key Points on HVDC - **Approval Progress**: The approval rate for HVDC lines is expected to accelerate in Q4 compared to the first three quarters of the year. The total number of approved HVDC lines for the year is projected to exceed last year's figures [1][2]. - **Expected Approvals**: In Q4, one direct current line from Shaanxi to Henan is anticipated to be approved, along with efforts to approve four alternating current lines [2]. - **Tender Amounts**: The expected tender amount for the approved direct current lines is approximately 13 billion yuan, representing a 140% increase compared to last year's 5.5 billion yuan for two lines [2][3]. - **Equipment Demand**: The demand for G4 equipment is expected to rise significantly, with over 85 intervals needed for the five alternating current projects, a 70% increase from last year [3][4]. Company Performance Insights - **Pinggao Electric**: - Anticipates a doubling of HVDC G4 deliveries from 10 intervals this year to 20 next year. - Expected revenue from direct current control and protection will increase from 800 million yuan to 1.6 billion yuan [5][6]. - **XJ Electric**: - Orders have increased by 8-7% in the first three quarters, with a significant uptick in revenue recognition in Q3. - Expected revenue from control and protection will also double next year [10][11]. - **China XD Electric**: - Orders remained stable, but domestic orders are expected to accelerate in Q3. - Revenue growth is projected at around 20% for the next two years [11][12]. International Market Trends - **North America**: High demand for data center construction is driving the need for transformers and switchgear. Companies are focusing on expanding their presence in this market [12][13]. - **Europe**: Significant investments are planned for grid upgrades, particularly in countries like Spain, Germany, and Italy, with a focus on replacing aging equipment [13][14]. Distribution Network Insights - **Investment Trends**: Starting in 2027, there will be an increased focus on investment in distribution networks, with a need for hardware and software upgrades to improve reliability and accommodate distributed energy resources [20][21]. - **Company Performance**: Companies like Sifang and Dongfang Electronics are expected to see profit growth of around 15% over the next two years, driven by strong performance in distribution network projects [22][23]. Conclusion - The power equipment industry is poised for growth, particularly in HVDC and distribution networks, with companies expected to benefit from increased approvals and investments in infrastructure. The international market presents additional opportunities, especially in North America and Europe, where demand for modernized equipment is high [24].

Group 1: AIDC Power Equipment and Grid Industry - The AIDC power equipment sector has seen a general increase in the past two weeks, with the top three performers being uninterruptible power supplies (UPS) at +21.0%, high voltage direct current (HVDC) at +20.7%, and battery backup power (BBU) at +15.9% [1] - Recommendations for investment focus include four key areas: transformers and switchgear, UPS and HVDC, active power filters (APF), and server power supplies, with specific companies suggested such as Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, Hezhong Electric, Shenghong Co., and Weilan Lithium [1] - For the grid sector, the national power engineering investment completion amount in July 2025 was 65.3 billion yuan, down 8.9% year-on-year, while the cumulative investment from January to July was 428.8 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Wind Power Industry - In July 2025, China's newly installed wind power capacity was 2.28 GW, a decrease of 44.0% year-on-year, while the cumulative new capacity from January to July reached 53.67 GW, an increase of 79.4% year-on-year, totaling 574.87 GW, which accounts for 15.7% of total installed capacity [1] - The wind power sector has also experienced a general increase in the past two weeks, with the top three performing segments being bearings at +14.9%, complete machines at +12.5%, and blades at +11.7% [1] Group 3: Offshore Wind and Onshore Wind Developments - Major projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong for offshore wind are set to commence in the first half of 2025, with expectations for planning, competitive allocation, bidding, and policies to be implemented in the second half of the year [2] - The annual average offshore wind installation during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to exceed 20 GW, significantly surpassing the previous plan's levels [2] - The onshore wind industry is projected to reach 100 GW of installed capacity in 2025, marking a historical high, with component manufacturers experiencing simultaneous increases in volume and price, leading to substantial growth in annual performance [2] Group 4: Public Utilities and Environmental Protection - In August, the industrial power generation volume increased by 1.6% year-on-year, totaling 936.3 billion kWh, while the cumulative generation from January to August was 6419.3 billion kWh, reflecting a 1.5% year-on-year growth [3] - The Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission and Energy Bureau released a plan to deepen the market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid pricing, with existing project pricing set at 0.453 yuan per kWh [3]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the power equipment sector in the first half of 2025 shows steady growth, with revenue increasing by 12.1% year-on-year and net profit excluding non-recurring items rising by 9.3% [2][3]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the revenue of the power equipment sector increased by 12.1% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items grew by 9.3% [2]. - By segment, the growth rates are as follows: primary equipment (+27.2%), secondary equipment (+7.7%), digital grid (+5.4%), and smart distribution (-9.6%) [2][3]. Investment Trends - From January to July 2025, the total investment in national grid projects reached 331.5 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, with the fixed asset investment scale of the State Grid reaching a historical high for the same period [3]. - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for grid investment is expected to remain around 10% from 2024 to 2026, driven by strong demand for ultra-high voltage and main distribution network construction [3]. Segment Performance Outlook - Primary Equipment: Benefiting from both domestic ultra-high voltage products and high-margin overseas products, with an optimistic outlook for the second half of the year due to accelerated approvals for ultra-high voltage projects and strong overseas demand [3]. - Secondary Equipment: Increased bidding amounts for main network protection equipment, with expectations for steady growth in domestic business and accelerated expansion into renewable energy, storage, and data center markets [3]. - Smart Distribution: Performance varies among companies, with domestic meter deliveries under pressure; future focus will be on the impact of new meter standards and stable growth in meter exports [3]. - Digital Grid: Benefiting from a recovery in State Grid bidding and accelerated power market construction, with a strong order backlog and improved operational quality expected to enhance performance in the second half of the year [3]. Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks in the ultra-high voltage segment include: Pinggao Electric (600312.SH), Guodian NARI (600406.SH), China XD Electric (601179.SH), and XJ Electric (000400.SZ) [4]. - For power equipment exports: Sifang Electric (002028.SZ), Huaming Equipment (002270.SZ), Weisheng Holdings (03393), and others [4]. - In the distribution network and grid intelligence sector: Sifang Co., Ltd. (601126.SH), Guoneng Rixin (301162.SZ), and others [4].