Workflow
乏燃料处理
icon
Search documents
通用设备行业深度(R3):核电拐点已至,景气度有望持续
Caixin Securities· 2025-08-08 09:33
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the general equipment industry, marking its first rating change [2]. Core Insights - The nuclear power sector is at a turning point, with a sustained high level of activity expected due to continuous approvals exceeding expectations. The number of approved nuclear power units from 2021 to 2025 is projected to be 5, 10, 10, 11, and 10 respectively, totaling 46 units during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [6][18]. - The investment in nuclear power construction is expected to reach a historical high, with 146.9 billion yuan completed in 2024, an increase of 52 billion yuan from the previous year, reflecting a growth rate of 54.79% [6][25]. - The domestic nuclear power industry is shifting towards self-sufficiency, with significant progress in the localization of key equipment, particularly in the midstream sector, where core equipment is increasingly being replaced by domestic alternatives [6][44]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Nuclear Power Growth Potential - The nuclear power sector is entering a rapid development phase, with the government emphasizing the need for safe and orderly growth. The target for operational nuclear capacity is set to reach 70 million kW by 2025 [11][14]. - The long-term outlook suggests that by 2060, nuclear power capacity could reach 400 million kW, necessitating an average annual addition of approximately 9.4 million kW over the next 36 years [14][15]. Section 2: Sustained Nuclear Power Demand - The demand for nuclear power is expected to remain robust, driven by the need for stable and clean energy sources amid increasing reliance on renewable energy [11][12]. - The "Hualong One" technology has matured, and the domestic nuclear equipment manufacturing process is accelerating, with a significant portion of the supply chain now localized [32][44]. Section 3: Key Companies in the Sector - Jiangsu Shentong is highlighted as a key player focusing on nuclear valves, with a strong outlook for growth supported by recent capital increases [6][7]. - Other notable companies include Zhongke Technology, which specializes in nuclear fuel transportation containers, and Jingye Intelligent, which focuses on nuclear industrial robots, both benefiting from the domestic demand for nuclear fuel processing [6][7][8]. Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with established delivery capabilities in the nuclear sector, such as Jiangsu Shentong, Zhongke Technology, and Jingye Intelligent, as they are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing domestic market [6][7][8].