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零跑汽车(09863):中报点评:2025Q2净利转正,规模提振加速盈利释放
Guohai Securities· 2025-08-21 14:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][11]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant revenue increase in Q2 2025, with a revenue of 142.3 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 165.5% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 42.0%. The gross margin reached 13.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 10.8 percentage points [7]. - The company reported a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, marking its first positive net profit in a half-year period [5][10]. - The company has signed a carbon credit transfer agreement with Stellantis, which is expected to enhance its performance further [7]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 242.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 174.1%, and a net profit of 0.3 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [5][7]. Sales and Delivery - The company delivered 134,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 151.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.2%. The annual sales target has been raised to 580,000 to 650,000 vehicles [7]. Product Development - The company launched new models based on the LEAP 3.5 technology architecture, with significant sales from the B10 SUV and B01 sedan. Upcoming models are expected to drive further growth [7][8]. International Expansion - The company exported 20,000 vehicles in the first half of 2025, leading among new car manufacturers. It has established over 600 sales outlets globally, with plans for local assembly in Malaysia and a production base in Europe by 2026 [8][10]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 641.9 billion yuan, 1,002.6 billion yuan, and 1,281.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 9.4 billion yuan, 44.1 billion yuan, and 64.1 billion yuan [10][11].