Group 1 - The prediction made by Zhang Zhaojun in 2016 about Trump potentially being the first president to lower the US economy from the top position is being validated by recent statements from former officials [1][3] - Trump's policies, particularly the "reciprocal tariff" policy, have led to increased costs for American consumers and businesses, affecting the overall economy [6][10] - The depreciation of the US dollar by over 11% since Trump's presidency has diminished its status as a safe-haven currency, impacting economic stability [8] Group 2 - The US economy's issues were already present before Trump, but his administration acted as an accelerator for these problems, with national debt surpassing $38 trillion by 2025 [16][18] - The trend of "deindustrialization" in the US has been ongoing for decades, with significant shifts in manufacturing jobs and economic structure [19][23] - Trump's trade protectionism has become a systemic risk, adversely affecting domestic consumption and production, contributing to economic decline [25] Group 3 - China's economic rise is characterized by sustained growth in manufacturing, with the country holding the top position globally for 15 consecutive years [27] - Significant investments in research and development have allowed China to break through technological barriers in critical sectors [29] - China's comprehensive industrial chain and infrastructure development have enhanced its economic efficiency and resilience against external pressures [31][33] Group 4 - China's approach to open cooperation and resource integration contrasts with the protectionist policies of other nations, showcasing a forward-looking strategy [35] - The economic surpassing of China over the US is seen as an inevitable outcome of current global trends towards multipolarity [37]