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有友食品(603697):收入利润保持高增 西南等区域恢复增长 鸡爪价格保持低位成本红利有望延续
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 06:34
Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 474 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 65 million yuan, up 44.79% year-on-year [1] - The poultry products segment continues to experience rapid growth, with Q3 2025 meat product revenue reaching 446 million yuan, a 34.74% increase year-on-year, and poultry products revenue at 418 million yuan, up 36.12% year-on-year [1] - The Southeast region showed significant growth with Q3 2025 revenue of 270 million yuan, a 59.6% increase year-on-year, while the Southwest region also saw recovery with 166 million yuan, an 8.8% increase [1] Financial Performance - Gross margin decreased to 26.95%, down 1.95 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to channel structure impacts [2] - Operating expense ratio improved to 11.20%, down 1.71 percentage points year-on-year, with sales expense ratio at 8.32% and management expense ratio at 2.69% [2] - Net profit margin increased to 13.78%, up 1.15 percentage points year-on-year, driven by fair value changes contributing to net profit margin improvement [2] Product and Channel Strategy - The company maintains a strong market position in traditional large single products, with significant room for national expansion and new product launches like chicken feet tendons [2] - The company is leveraging strong product innovation capabilities to expand in membership stores, and increasing investments in snack wholesale and e-commerce channels for rapid growth [2] - The decline in chicken feet prices this year is expected to enhance profit elasticity if low price levels persist into next year [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.675 billion, 2.058 billion, and 2.366 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 41.66%, 22.84%, and 14.98% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are 229 million, 281 million, and 317 million yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 45.70%, 22.76%, and 12.60% [3] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are 22.0, 17.9, and 15.9 times, maintaining a "recommended" rating [3]