Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is a "buy" rating for Ninebot Company (689009.SH) based on strong performance expectations for electric scooters and lawnmowers in Q2 2025 [2] - Continued high growth trends for lawnmowers and sustained outperformance in the electric scooter segment are highlighted as key drivers for the positive outlook [2] - The report notes that scale effects are driving an increase in gross margin, while the appreciation of the Euro has led to a decrease in financial expense ratio for Q2 [2] Group 2 - Long-term profit elasticity remains for electric scooters, and the company has significant channel and cost advantages in the lawnmower segment [2] - There is a focus on the performance of E-Bikes as a potential area of growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 1.824 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.0%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 150 million yuan, up 47.2% year-on-year. This growth is attributed to the successful implementation of a globalization strategy and the positive sales impact of new product launches [1][2]. Revenue Growth and Product Matrix - Q1 2025 revenue growth accelerated to 42.0%, an increase of 13.5 percentage points compared to Q4 2024, primarily driven by new product introductions. The company enhanced its product matrix through increased R&D investment, launching new products such as high-power GaN fast chargers, second-generation NAS cloud storage products, and TWS headphones [2][3]. - At the CES event in January 2025, the company showcased new products including AI NAS and Nexode 500W GaN chargers, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth in the current year [2]. Profitability and Financial Metrics - In Q1 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 38.0%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a higher proportion of lower-margin storage products and increased shipping costs. The net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year to 8.2% [3]. - The company reported financial expenses of -7.813 million yuan in Q1 2025, compared to -0.512 million yuan in Q1 2024, primarily due to foreign exchange gains from currency fluctuations [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 672 million yuan, 859 million yuan, and 1.081 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.62, 2.07, and 2.60 yuan. The acceleration of the globalization strategy and the expansion of product categories are expected to enhance revenue and profit growth [4]. - As of April 28, the average PE ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is projected to be 29 times. The company is assigned a target PE of 40 times for 2025, corresponding to a target price of 64.80 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][2]. Core Views - The company's profits are under short-term pressure due to negative factors such as retail challenges, rising expense ratios, and unclear subsidy expectations. However, the current position shows defensive value, with expectations for profit elasticity as retail improves in the future. The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 530 million, 610 million, and 690 million yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 11, 9, and 8 times [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenues, net profit attributable to the parent company, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 5.15 billion, 490 million, and 440 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of -2%, -29%, and -28%. In Q4, the company achieved revenues, net profit attributable to the parent company, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.62 billion, 80 million, and 80 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +2%, -44%, and -37% [4][2]. Profitability Analysis - The Q4 gross margin decreased by 1.5 percentage points to 63.4%, while the annual gross margin slightly increased by 0.3 percentage points to 65%. The Q4 net profit margin decreased by 4.1 percentage points year-on-year to 4.9%, and the annual net profit margin decreased by 3.7 percentage points to 9.6% [4][2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company's main business shows steady growth with profit elasticity trending upwards. In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 370 million yuan, up 16.0% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a reduction in molasses costs, which will enhance profitability. The gross profit margin in Q1 2025 increased by 1.3 percentage points to 26.0%, primarily due to a higher proportion of high-margin yeast business and lower molasses costs [2]. - The company aims for a revenue growth rate of over 10% in 2025, with a strong domestic market position and continued expansion in international markets [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues of 3.79 billion yuan, with the yeast and deep processing/sugar/packaging/other segments generating revenues of 2.77/0.16/0.10/0.76 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of +13.2%/-60.7%/-4.4%/+44.1% respectively [1]. - The company’s net profit margin improved to 10.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from the rising gross profit margin [2]. Profitability Outlook - The report anticipates that the profit elasticity will be more fully released starting Q2 2025, as molasses cost reductions are expected to positively impact profits, and shipping costs have already begun to decline [2]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.60 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.22 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.5%, 17.4%, and 18.2% [3]. Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18, 16, and 13 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating that the valuation is at a historical low [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Views - The company's main business shows steady growth with profit elasticity trending upwards, as evidenced by a 8.9% year-on-year revenue increase to CNY 3.79 billion in Q1 2025, and a 16.0% increase in net profit to CNY 370 million [1][2] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth rate of over 10% year-on-year for 2025, with strong performance in both domestic and international markets [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenues of CNY 37.9 billion, with a breakdown of CNY 27.7 billion from yeast and deep processing, CNY 1.6 billion from sugar, CNY 1.0 billion from packaging, and CNY 7.6 billion from other businesses [1] - The gross profit margin increased by 1.3 percentage points to 26.0%, attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin yeast business and a decrease in molasses costs [2] - The net profit margin improved by 0.7 percentage points to 10.2% in Q1 2025 [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of CNY 1.6 billion, CNY 1.9 billion, and CNY 2.2 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.5%, 17.4%, and 18.2% [3][5] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18, 16, and 13 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating that the valuation is at a historical low [3][5]