产能增量释放
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紫金矿业:铜金价格托举业绩,产能增量释放再启新章-20250413
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-13 12:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zijin Mining [2][4] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 reached 78.928 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.76%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.167 billion yuan, up 62.39% year-on-year and 32.15% quarter-on-quarter, driven by rising copper and gold prices along with increased investment income [1] - The report highlights a robust production increase, with copper production at 287,600 tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.49%, and gold production at 19.07 tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.45% [1] - The average selling prices for copper and gold products saw significant increases, with gold ingot prices rising by 40% year-on-year and copper concentrate prices increasing by 17.55% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 40.729 billion yuan, 45.715 billion yuan, and 50.102 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.2, 10.0, and 9.1 [2][3] - The company expects to produce 1.15 million tons of copper and 85 tons of gold in 2025, indicating a solid growth trajectory [1] - The average selling cost for copper concentrate in Q1 2025 was 21,032 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.40% [1] Production Guidance - The company has set production guidance for 2025, targeting 1.15 million tons of copper, 85 tons of gold, and 44 million tons of zinc (lead) [1] - Key projects such as the expansion of the Kamoa mine and the second phase of the Giant Dragon project are expected to contribute to production growth [1]