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泉峰控股(02285.HK):短期压力或随顺周期缓释 越南产能或提升确定性
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 11:54
Group 1 - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, lowering them to $1.4 billion, $1.6 billion, and $2.2 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.9%, 18.7%, and 35.3% [1] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was $910 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, driven by a 22.8% increase in OPE, while electric tools saw a decline of 2.5% [1][2] - The company expects a conservative revenue guidance for H2 2025 due to high base effects from H2 2024 and cautious customer orders amid macro uncertainties, but net profit may remain resilient due to stable gross margins and strict cost control [2] Group 2 - The adjusted operating net profit for H1 2025 was $750 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.3%, benefiting from a 0.4 percentage point increase in gross margin to 33.3% [2] - By the end of 2025, the company plans to meet 60% of U.S. market demand through existing leased facilities, with expectations to cover 80-90% by the end of 2026 through new production areas and self-built factories [2] - The company has made significant progress with ACE Hardware, achieving over 90% store penetration for the EGO brand, and online sales growth continues to outpace other channels [2]
泉峰控股(02285):港股公司信息更新报告:短期压力或随顺周期缓释,越南产能或提升确定性
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-01 03:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][12] Core Views - The company is expected to show resilience in the first half of 2025, with revenue growth driven by improved gross margins and effective cost control. The relocation of production capacity is anticipated to enhance performance certainty [5][6] - Despite cautious customer orders in Q3 2025, the company is projected to benefit from a stable gross margin and strict expense management, leading to resilient profit performance [7] - The company’s revenue for H1 2025 reached USD 910 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, with a notable contribution from the core brand EGO [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to USD 140 million, USD 160 million, and USD 220 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.9%, 18.7%, and 35.3% [5] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected revenue of USD 1.85 billion in 2025, with a net profit of USD 138.2 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.9% [8] - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 10.6, 9.0, and 6.6 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [8]