Group 1 - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, lowering them to $1.4 billion, $1.6 billion, and $2.2 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.9%, 18.7%, and 35.3% [1] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was $910 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, driven by a 22.8% increase in OPE, while electric tools saw a decline of 2.5% [1][2] - The company expects a conservative revenue guidance for H2 2025 due to high base effects from H2 2024 and cautious customer orders amid macro uncertainties, but net profit may remain resilient due to stable gross margins and strict cost control [2] Group 2 - The adjusted operating net profit for H1 2025 was $750 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.3%, benefiting from a 0.4 percentage point increase in gross margin to 33.3% [2] - By the end of 2025, the company plans to meet 60% of U.S. market demand through existing leased facilities, with expectations to cover 80-90% by the end of 2026 through new production areas and self-built factories [2] - The company has made significant progress with ACE Hardware, achieving over 90% store penetration for the EGO brand, and online sales growth continues to outpace other channels [2]

机械设备/通用设备 泉峰控股（02285.HK） 2025 年 09 月 01 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 数据来源：聚源 -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 泉峰控股 恒生指数 相关研究报告 《2025H1 彰显韧性提振预期，产能外 迁利于业绩释放—港股公司信息更新 报告》-2025.7.24 《短期盈利或承压，产能外迁后利润 有望显著释放—港股公司信息更新报 告》-2025.3.28 《品牌及产品竞争力稳固，加速产能 迁移或能缓解担忧—港股公司信息更 新报告》-2024.8.29 短期压力或随顺周期缓释，越南产能或提升确定性 | 日期 | 2025/8/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 22.440 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 24.800/10.700 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 114.68 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 114.68 | | 总股本(亿股) | 5.11 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 5.11 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 33.8 | 股价走势图 ——港股公司信息更新报告 | 张可 ...

Core Viewpoint - Company forecasts a net profit of $90 million to $100 million for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 46% to 62% [1] - Adjusted net profit, excluding non-recurring gains from the disposal of equity in Qianfeng Automotive, is expected to be $70 million to $80 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14% to 30% [1] - The strong profit performance is attributed to the steady growth of the EGO brand, divestiture of non-core assets, and favorable currency fluctuations [1] Business Operations - Despite concerns over US-China trade tariffs, the company demonstrates operational resilience through proactive measures [1] - In 2024, North America is projected to generate $1.293 billion in revenue, accounting for 72.9% of total revenue, with OPE products previously subject to a 7.5% tariff [1] - New tariffs of 20% on fentanyl and 10% on reciprocal goods have been introduced, prompting the company to implement strategies such as preemptive overseas inventory stocking and adaptive pricing [1] Asset Divestiture - The company signed an agreement to sell its stake in Qianfeng Automotive for 570 million RMB, which is expected to yield an investment gain of $20 million [2] - The divestiture will eliminate the negative impact of joint venture losses, which were $18.3 million and $17.3 million in 2023 and 2024, respectively [2] Long-term Outlook - The company is recognized as a leading brand in electric tools and lithium battery outdoor power equipment (OPE), with the EGO brand showing strong growth momentum [2] - The market share in the US is expected to increase by 2 percentage points in 2024, with a deepening user perception [2] - The shift from traditional gasoline OPE to lithium battery OPE is anticipated to continue, driven by improved product performance and reduced total ownership costs [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of $148 million, $174 million, and $201 million for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of $0.29, $0.34, and $0.39 [2] - The target price is set at HKD 27.06, based on a 12x target PE for 2025, reflecting the ongoing ramp-up of overseas production capacity [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 27.06 [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of USD 90 million to 100 million for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 46% to 62%. Adjusted net profit, excluding non-recurring gains from the disposal of automotive equity, is projected to be USD 70 million to 80 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14% to 30% [1][5]. - The company's strong profit performance is attributed to the steady growth of its proprietary brand business represented by EGO, divestiture of non-core assets, and favorable currency fluctuations. Despite external tariff disruptions, the company's operational resilience remains prominent [1][2]. Summary by Sections Main Business Operations - The company has shown resilience in operations despite concerns over US-China trade tariffs, with North American revenue expected to reach USD 1.293 billion in 2024, accounting for 72.9% of total revenue. New tariffs of 20% on fentanyl and 10% on reciprocal tariffs have been introduced since 2025. To mitigate tariff risks, the company has implemented proactive measures such as pre-stocking in overseas warehouses, adaptive pricing strategies, and accelerated overseas capacity expansion [2]. Asset Divestiture - The company signed an agreement to sell its automotive equity for RMB 570 million, which is expected to generate an investment gain of USD 20 million. The divestiture will eliminate the negative impact of equity losses from joint ventures, which amounted to USD 18.3 million and USD 17.3 million in 2023 and 2024, respectively, thereby enhancing the profitability on the balance sheet [3]. Long-term Outlook - As a leading global brand in electric tools and lithium battery outdoor power equipment (OPE), the company’s EGO brand has shown strong growth momentum, with a projected 2 percentage point increase in market share in the US for 2024. The trend towards lithium OPE is clear, driven by improved product performance and reduced total cost of ownership. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend, especially in the developed markets of North America and Europe, where OPE consumption is considered essential [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts, projecting net profits of USD 148 million, USD 174 million, and USD 201 million for 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of USD 0.29, USD 0.34, and USD 0.39. The target price is set at 12 times the expected PE for 2025, resulting in a target price of HKD 27.06 [5][9].