来源：智通财经网 泉峰控股(02285)午后涨近12%，截至发稿，涨11.5%，报23.86港元，成交额1.03亿港元。 招商证券发布研报称，美联储连续三次降息、叠加26年主席换届，30年期住房抵押贷款利率下行有望推 动美国地产周期反转，叠加26Q1零售商从被动去库到主动补库，终端销售景气推升，预计巨星科技/泉 峰控股等26年迎来经营改善。 值得注意的是，泉峰控股旗下EGO欧洲公司此前收购荷兰Royal Reesink集团旗下SDL的全部股份。此次 并购是泉峰控股推进欧洲市场战略的关键举措。通过融合SDL的本地化优势与泉峰的全球资源，EGO在 欧洲户外动力设备领域的竞争力与品牌影响力将得到进一步提升。据悉，EGO作为锂电OPE领域头部品 牌，已占据用户心智。 ...

值得注意的是，泉峰控股旗下EGO欧洲公司此前收购荷兰Royal Reesink集团旗下SDL的全部股份。此次 并购是泉峰控股推进欧洲市场战略的关键举措。通过融合SDL的本地化优势与泉峰的全球资源，EGO在 欧洲户外动力设备领域的竞争力与品牌影响力将得到进一步提升。据悉，EGO作为锂电OPE领域头部品 牌，已占据用户心智。 招商证券发布研报称，美联储连续三次降息、叠加26年主席换届，30年期住房抵押贷款利率下行有望推 动美国地产周期反转，叠加26Q1零售商从被动去库到主动补库，终端销售景气推升，预计巨星科技 （002444）/泉峰控股等26年迎来经营改善。 泉峰控股(02285)午后涨近12%，截至发稿，涨11.5%，报23.86港元，成交额1.03亿港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand for lithium battery outdoor power equipment (OPE) products due to tariff adjustments and a potential increase in end-user demand following interest rate cuts [1][2] Group 1: Short-term Outlook - The impact of tariffs is becoming clearer, and with customer inventory depletion, a replenishment demand is anticipated [1] - The company has shown resilience in operations, with a revenue increase of 11.9% year-on-year to $912 million in the first half of 2025 [1] - The recent adjustment in tariffs, particularly the reduction of the fentanyl tax from 20% to 10%, is expected to improve revenue elasticity [1] Group 2: Long-term Growth Potential - The EGO brand, as a leading player in the lithium battery OPE sector, is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing penetration of lithium battery technology [2] - The company is actively expanding into commercial and riding-style products, as well as innovations like robotic lawn mowers and converting gas-powered equipment to electric, which could open new growth avenues [2] - Profit forecasts remain stable, with expected net profits of $148 million, $174 million, and $201 million for 2025-2027, corresponding to EPS of $0.29, $0.34, and $0.39 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.35 [5][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from overseas interest rate cuts, with clear medium to long-term growth prospects. Short-term disruptions from tariffs are becoming clearer, and a subsequent inventory replenishment demand is anticipated, which is expected to boost sales of lithium battery outdoor power equipment (OPE) products [1][2]. - The company has a strong competitive moat in the mid-to-high-end lithium battery OPE sector, with its EGO brand being a leading name in the market. The company is likely to benefit from the increasing penetration of lithium batteries and is actively expanding into commercial and riding-style products, indicating a smooth growth trajectory in the medium to long term [1][3]. Summary by Sections Short-term Outlook - The company has implemented various measures to address tariff disruptions, leading to expected revenue elasticity. Recent adjustments to tariffs, including a reduction in the fentanyl tax rate from 20% to 10%, are seen as marginal improvements. The company has shown resilience in operations, with a revenue increase of 11.9% year-on-year to USD 912 million in the first half of 2025 [2]. Long-term Growth Potential - As a leading global brand in electric tools and lithium battery OPE, EGO has been increasing its market share and deepening user recognition. The trend of rising lithium battery OPE penetration is clear, and the company is expected to maintain robust sales despite short-term disruptions. The expansion into new product lines such as commercial and riding-style products, as well as battery platform extensions, is anticipated to create new growth avenues [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains its profit forecast, projecting net profits for 2025-2027 to be USD 148 million, USD 174 million, and USD 201 million, respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are USD 0.29, USD 0.34, and USD 0.39. The target price is based on a 13x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing ramp-up of overseas production capacity [4][9].

Core Viewpoints - The company's own brand business remains strong, with revenue growth driven by customer stocking and pre-orders in Q1 2025, leading to an increase in operating net profit margin and a 54.61% year-on-year profit growth due to one-time gains from the divestiture of Quan Feng Automotive [1] - The company is actively expanding production capacity in Vietnam to mitigate tariff risks, and the anticipated improvement in terminal demand during the US interest rate cut cycle is expected to benefit the company's brands, particularly EGO [1][4] Revenue and Profit Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of $912 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.85%, with profit reaching $95.271 million, up 54.61% [1][2] - The OBM business revenue grew by 16.2%, accounting for 77.5% of total revenue, with OPE revenue at $602 million, a 22.8% increase, primarily driven by EGO [2][3] - The company’s gross margin improved to 33.31%, up 0.37 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the higher proportion of the high-margin EGO brand and a decrease in raw material costs [3] Regional Revenue Breakdown - North America showed strong demand with H1 2025 revenue of $651 million, a 17.9% increase, while Europe and China saw modest growth and decline, respectively [2] - Revenue from China decreased by 8.4% to $59 million, indicating market challenges [2] Cost and Profitability Analysis - The company’s total expense ratio was 24.02%, up 0.93 percentage points year-on-year, with specific increases in sales and management expenses [3] - Adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was $76.031 million, a 23.39% increase, with an adjusted net profit margin of 8.33% [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating the transfer of production capacity from Nanjing to Vietnam to reduce the impact of US-China trade tariffs, with significant capacity increases expected in H2 2025 [4] - The relocation of the Steinheim factory from Germany to Nanjing is anticipated to be completed by the end of 2025, enhancing long-term competitiveness [4] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are $2.020 billion, $2.266 billion, and $2.526 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.91%, 12.17%, and 11.43% respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are $126 million, $158 million, and $191 million, with corresponding growth rates of 11.95%, 25.68%, and 20.99% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue and net profit growth driven by the OPE business and North American market demand [1][2]. Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of $910 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, primarily due to robust end-user sales and pre-orders related to US-China tariff tensions [1]. - The OPE segment showed significant growth, with revenue rising 22.8% to $602 million, while the electric tools segment experienced a slight decline of 2.5% [1]. - The company's own brand (OBM) business continued to perform well, with revenue increasing 16.2%, accounting for 77.5% of total revenue [1]. - North America was the main growth driver, with revenue increasing by 17.9% [1]. Profitability Metrics - The company reported an adjusted net profit of $76.03 million in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.4%, reflecting solid core operating performance [2]. - The gross margin improved to 33.3%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher sales proportion of high-margin EGO products, lower raw material costs, and price increases [2]. - Selling expenses increased due to marketing and channel expansion investments, while R&D expenses grew by 6.8% year-on-year [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company completed the sale of its stake in Qianfeng Automotive, focusing on its core OPE and electric tools business [3]. - To mitigate external risks, the company is accelerating the transfer of some production capacity from Nanjing to Vietnam, aiming to avoid US-China trade tariffs and enhance long-term operational efficiency [3]. - Capital expenditures in the reporting period amounted to $56.3 million, primarily for land acquisition for the Vietnam factory [3]. - Inventory turnover days improved from 178 days in the previous year to 161 days, indicating a healthy inventory situation [3]. Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the lithium OPE sector, supported by a strong brand matrix and ongoing investments in smart and robotic technologies [3]. - The company adjusted its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to $0.27 and $0.34, respectively, and introduced a new forecast for 2027 at $0.38, corresponding to PE ratios of 10.5, 8.3, and 7.4 times [3]. - A target price of HKD 27.5 was set based on DCF valuation, indicating strong long-term growth potential [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 27.5 [2][9] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of USD 910 million for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, and a net profit of USD 95 million, up 54.6% year-on-year [2][9] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by strong terminal sales and pre-orders due to the US-China tariff tensions, with the OPE segment showing a remarkable revenue increase of 22.8% to USD 602 million [9] - The adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025 was USD 76.03 million, reflecting a 23.4% year-on-year growth, supported by an increase in gross margin to 33.3% [9] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2024: USD 1,774 million - 2025: USD 2,000 million - 2026: USD 2,230 million - 2027: USD 2,447 million - The expected year-on-year growth rates are 28.6% for 2024, 12.7% for 2025, 11.5% for 2026, and 9.7% for 2027 [4][10] - The net profit forecast is: - 2024: USD 112 million - 2025: USD 138 million - 2026: USD 174 million - 2027: USD 197 million [4][10] Strategic Developments - The company has divested from non-core assets, focusing on its main business areas, which include OPE and power tools, and is accelerating the transfer of some production capacity to Vietnam to mitigate trade risks [9] - Capital expenditures for the reporting period amounted to USD 56.3 million, primarily for land acquisition for the Vietnam factory [9] - The company has improved its operational efficiency, with inventory turnover days decreasing from 178 days to 161 days year-on-year [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Xingsheng International is optimistic about Quan Feng Holdings (02285) as a high-quality overseas brand, benefiting from the dual resonance of the current 30-year recovery in the US real estate market and the left side of the 5-year inventory cycle, with expected demand growth in the next 2-3 years [1] - The company is expected to see a recovery in profit margins as its export capacity to the US from Vietnam will be largely covered by next year, indicating strong demand-side growth [1] - The firm maintains a "buy" rating, forecasting revenue growth of +3.6% in 2025, +12.0% in 2026, and +8.5% in 2027, with adjusted net profit changes of -3.0% in 2025, +3.3% in 2026, and +23.7% in 2027 [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of $912 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, driven by strong demand for its proprietary brand EGO and preemptive stocking by North American clients in response to tariffs [2] - The sales of outdoor power equipment reached $602 million, up 22.8% year-on-year, while electric tools sales declined by 2.5% to $306 million, primarily due to reduced OEM orders and weak demand in the Chinese real estate market [2] - The company's gross margin improved to 33.3%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin EGO revenue, lower raw material costs, and favorable exchange rates [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Xingzheng International highlights the potential of Quan Feng Holdings (02285) as a premium overseas brand, benefiting from the dual resonance of the U.S. real estate recovery and the inventory cycle, with expected demand growth in the next 2-3 years [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of $912 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, driven by strong demand for its proprietary EGO brand and preemptive stocking by North American clients due to tariffs [2] - The sales of outdoor power equipment reached $602 million, up 22.8% year-on-year, while electric tools sales declined by 2.5% to $306 million, impacted by reduced OEM orders and weak demand in the Chinese real estate market [2] - The company's gross margin improved to 33.3%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin EGO revenue, lower raw material costs, and favorable exchange rates [2] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 3.6%, 12.0%, and 8.5% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, while adjusted net profit is projected to change by -3.0%, +3.3%, and +23.7% during the same period [1] - The company is focusing on product category expansion and new product launches, with R&D expenses increasing by 6.8% in the first half of 2025, resulting in approximately 100 new products, over 90% of which are lithium battery products [2] - EGO holds the number one market share in multiple categories of lithium battery outdoor power equipment in North America and is accelerating its flagship store expansion in Europe [2]

Group 1 - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, lowering them to $1.4 billion, $1.6 billion, and $2.2 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.9%, 18.7%, and 35.3% [1] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was $910 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, driven by a 22.8% increase in OPE, while electric tools saw a decline of 2.5% [1][2] - The company expects a conservative revenue guidance for H2 2025 due to high base effects from H2 2024 and cautious customer orders amid macro uncertainties, but net profit may remain resilient due to stable gross margins and strict cost control [2] Group 2 - The adjusted operating net profit for H1 2025 was $750 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.3%, benefiting from a 0.4 percentage point increase in gross margin to 33.3% [2] - By the end of 2025, the company plans to meet 60% of U.S. market demand through existing leased facilities, with expectations to cover 80-90% by the end of 2026 through new production areas and self-built factories [2] - The company has made significant progress with ACE Hardware, achieving over 90% store penetration for the EGO brand, and online sales growth continues to outpace other channels [2]