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2026年机械行业投资策略:价值反转,科技赋能
Investment Strategy Overview - The mechanical sector has shown strong performance in 2025, with a 32% increase, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 14 percentage points [3][11] - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes "value reversal" and "technology empowerment" as the main themes for 2026, focusing on original innovation and breakthroughs in key technologies [4] Emerging Industries - Robotics is expected to accelerate commercialization in 2026, with attention on Tesla's humanoid robot product iterations and changes in the domestic supply chain [5][27] - Unmanned logistics is gaining traction globally, driven by reduced labor costs and improved economic efficiency, positioning it as a key player in manufacturing upgrades [5][38] - The low-altitude economy is being supported by government initiatives, with a focus on logistics and emergency rescue applications [42][43] Economic Drivers - The PCB industry is experiencing increased demand for drilling equipment due to the expansion of AI PCB production [50] - The tool industry is seeing a cyclical price transmission, with a notable recovery expected in Q3 2025 [66] - The lithium battery sector is witnessing explosive growth in demand, with global shipments projected to reach 5,127 GWh by 2030 [69] - The gas turbine market is experiencing significant demand growth, driven by AI infrastructure expansion [79] Equipment Updates - The engineering machinery sector is seeing unexpected growth in excavator sales, with a 7.77% year-on-year increase in October 2025 [88] - The railway investment is entering a critical phase, with fixed asset investments expected to reach historical highs in 2025 [99] Key Companies - Notable companies in the robotics sector include Tesla, Huawei, and various startups like UBTECH and Figure AI, which are rapidly advancing their product offerings [30][31] - In the PCB equipment market, companies like Dazhu CNC and Ding Tai High-Tech are maintaining strong market positions with significant revenue growth [51][54] - The gas turbine supply chain includes major players like Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Siemens Energy, with a focus on domestic component replacement [79]
板块盈利修复进行时,推荐价值反转+科技赋能:——机械行业2025年三季报业绩前瞻
6 M M F - 1 - 2025 年 10 月 14 日 证券分析师 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 李蕾 A0230519080008 lilei@swsresearch.com 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 研究支持 胡书捷 A0230524070007 husj@swsresearch.com 苏萌 A0230122080001 sumeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 何佳霖 (8621)23297818× hejl@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 H传寸/分别幸 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 板块盈利修复进行时,推荐价 表 1:机械行业重点公司 2025Q3 业绩预测 转+科技赋能 机械行业 2025 年三季报业绩前瞻 F = 1.6 ● 机器人&零部件:人形机器人产业化进程持续推进,看好长期产业趋势。2024 年以来全 球机器人产业链扩容,人形机器人进入工厂进行场景测试;英伟达、华为入局,机器人 从硬件走向系统,包括特种机器人在内的各种 ...