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创业板“激活”第三套上市标准!首单未盈利IPO项目获受理
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 10:14
【大河财立方 记者 王宁宁】创业板第三套上市标准迎来首个未盈利"考生"。 近日,深圳大普微电子股份有限公司(简称大普微)首发上市申请获深交所受理,成为创业板首家获受理的未盈利企业。 6月30日,中国企业资本联盟副理事长柏文喜接受大河财立方记者采访时表示:"此前大普微这样的未盈利创新企业很难通过传统盈利导向的上市标准,第三 套标准启用,向其打开了资本市场大门。" 创业板迎首个未盈利"考生" 创业板实施注册制5年后,深交所受理了首单未盈利IPO项目。6月27日,大普微首发上市申请获受理,成为创业板首家获受理的未盈利企业,保荐机构为国 泰海通证券。 | | 项目详情 | | C | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 深圳大普微电子股份有限公司 | | | 已受理 | | 预计融资金额:18.7785亿 | | 更新时间:2025-06-27 | | | GO | | | | | 已受理 | 已问询 | 上市委会议 | | | 2025-06-27 | | | | | 项目详情 | | | | | 公司全称 | 深圳大普微电子股份有限公司 | | | | 公司简称 | 大普微 | | | | 受 ...
【机构策略】2025年中国股市估值逻辑在内不在外
国泰海通证券认为,2025年中国股市估值逻辑在内不在外,根本动力来自中国产业创新的不断涌现与股 市贴现率的系统性降低,推动增量资金入市。外部局势的缓和,更强化了内部确定性逻辑的延展。因 此,判断7月底之前股市仍有上升空间:1)中国股市的无风险利率实质性降低,中长期资金和民间资本 入市已进入历史转折点。2)人民币由过去的贬值预期转向稳定甚至略升值的预期,也是中国资产重估的 重要推力。3)及时、得当与合理的宏观政策,更重视投资者回报的资本市场基础制度改革,对于改变投 资人面对风险的保守态度具有关键意义。 中信证券认为,相比2014年底和2019年初,当前A股市场从估值上来看可能还不支持纯粹流动性驱动的 行情,但如果美联储在7月意外降息,并且中国央行同步宽松,可能成为引燃市场情绪的一个催化。从 板块轮动来看,活跃资金或正从医药和消费切向科技和金融,红利也开始滞涨。结构性机会仍将是贯穿 中报季的话题,指数型机会可能还需要等三季度末到四季度。 财信证券认为,随着风险事件消退,目前由风险偏好回升驱动的反弹行情演绎较为充分,在经济基本 面、增量政策、流动性尚未出现明显拐点时,市场趋势性行情或需等待。但在中央汇金类"平准基金 ...
AH股溢价率持续走低 资本重构下的估值逻辑生变
AH股溢价率走低的背后,不仅是简单的价格体系变动,更多是投资者的价值投资理念、资本市场开放 与宏观经济转型等多重逻辑交织的必然结果。 当前,我国经济已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段,正处在转变发展方式、优化经济结构、转换增 长动力的攻关期。在此背景下,资本市场的估值逻辑也在发生变化。 港股中包括不少优质互联网科技公司,市场的稀缺性决定了港股市场整体的吸引力。在AI时代,互联 网科技公司在人工智能领域的投入巨大,收效也同样显著。此外,新消费、创新药等公司今年以来在港 股市场表现强势,同样也吸引了资金关注。 值得注意的是,今年以来,以宁德时代为代表的不少A股上市行业龙头公司赴港上市,多家公司在募资 用途中提到将用于海外业务拓展,这符合市场关于中国企业如何突围的认知,从而推动了港股上市公司 的估值抬升。 今年以来,港股市场走势明显强于A股,投资者对于估值更低的港股给予了更多关注。在此背景下, AH股溢价率不断下行,目前AH股溢价指数已跌至130以下。这一趋势性变化折射出中国资本市场的估 值逻辑正在发生变化,A股与H股的估值差正在不断收敛,甚至出现宁德时代等龙头股H股的价格反超A 股的现象。 AH股溢价的由来,主要 ...
科技股估值逻辑生变,“盈利崇拜”逐步转向“技术价值”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 13:09
Core Viewpoint - The valuation logic of technology stocks is shifting from short-term profit indicators like net profit and PE ratios to focusing on technological value, driven by policy support and market dynamics [1][3][4]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Market Dynamics - The Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) has restarted the IPO review process for unprofitable companies, with Wuhan Heyuan Biotechnology Co., Ltd. being the first to undergo review under the new fifth set of standards [1][2]. - The recent "1+6" policy reforms on the STAR Market have increased the inclusivity for unprofitable companies, allowing for a new growth layer that supports technology firms with significant breakthroughs and ongoing R&D investments [2][3]. - There are currently 12 unprofitable companies waiting for IPO approval, indicating a potential acceleration in the acceptance of such firms in the next two years [2]. Group 2: Valuation Methodology Shift - The evaluation of technology companies is increasingly based on their technological innovation and market potential rather than traditional profit metrics [3][5]. - A three-tier model for assessing technological value has been proposed, focusing on short-term R&D intensity, mid-term scarcity and efficiency, and long-term ecological binding [3][4]. - The "Kotevaluation" system aims to reshape the valuation framework by incorporating hard technology attributes, breaking away from the traditional profit-centric valuation [4][5]. Group 3: Market Performance and Trends - The valuation of the STAR Market has seen a significant increase, rising from approximately 117 times at the beginning of the year to 202.78 times by June 25, 2024, driven by policy support and industry growth [6]. - The valuation gap between STAR Market technology stocks and international counterparts is narrowing, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence and biomedicine, where local firms are achieving technological breakthroughs [7][8]. - Future market performance is expected to be more differentiated, favoring companies with genuine technological barriers and commercialization capabilities, while speculative stocks may face continued adjustments [8].
峰瑞资本创始合伙人李丰:新时代早期基金投资机遇丨WAVES新浪潮2025
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-20 06:18
WAVES新浪潮2025邀你一起走向中国创投的「新纪元」。 这是属于中国创投的新纪元。当下的中国创投市场,既是周期筑底的转折点,也是结构性转型的深化期。在政策主导、国资与资本高度集中的新 生态下,唯有顺应趋势、灵活调整,方能在不确定性中捕捉确定性机遇。 6月11-12日,杭州良渚文化艺术中心,36氪WAVES新浪潮2025大会以「新纪元」为主题,汇聚创投领域顶级投资人、新锐企业创始人,以及深 耕科技、创新、商业的科学家、创作者与学者,共同探讨AI技术革新、全球化浪潮与价值重估等前沿议题,拆解他们眼中的商业理想和未来世 界,一起讨论、寻找、走向中国创投「新纪元」。 6月12日下午,在投资人会场峰瑞资本创始合伙人李丰进行了一场独立演讲,主题为「新时代早期基金投资机遇」。以下为演讲全文: 过去两年,早期投资在中国经历了非常多冰与火的考验。冰与火的考验当中的火的那部分,是早期投资这个原来不太受待见或者在金融里边最小的资产类 别,在包括国常会、中央经济工作会议在内的高级别会议上被反复提及,应该说是非常火。 冰的那部分就是,一级市场的投融资在非常多的赛道上都很冷,比如消费、生物医疗,甚至包括一点点硬科技。所以大家都说,一 ...
创业板“激活”第三套上市标准 打开通道迎优质未盈利企业
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-06-18 18:24
6月18日,证监会主席吴清在2025陆家嘴论坛上表示,将在创业板正式启用第三套标准,支持优质未盈 利创新企业上市。 完善更加适配科技创新和产业变革的金融服务体系,资本市场大有可为。这一举措聚焦提升制度的包容 性和适应性,助力加快构建更有利于支持全面创新的资本市场生态。 针对一般企业,有三套上市标准可选择:一是"最近两年净利润均为正,且累计净利润不低于5000万 元";二是"预计市值不低于10亿元,最近一年净利润为正且营业收入不低于1亿元";三是"预计市值不 低于50亿元,且最近一年营业收入不低于3亿元"。针对红筹企业和特殊表决权公司的上市标准有两套, 分别是"预计市值不低于人民币100亿元,且最近一年净利润为正"和"预计市值不低于人民币50亿元,最 近一年净利润为正且营业收入不低于人民币5亿元"。考虑到市场实际情况,按照"稳中求进"原则,创业 板当时明确了暂不实施的过渡期安排。 当前,新一轮科技革命与产业变革加速演进。从国内发展看,在创新驱动发展战略引领下,我国科技创 新正从"点状突破"向"系统集成"跃升。随着资本要素与创新动能的深度耦合,科技创新的"深水区"突 破,对资本市场提出更高要求。 南开大学金融学教 ...
历史上第一次对冲基金有正式估值:“多策略巨头”千禧年估值140亿美元
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-17 02:57
Group 1: Core Insights - Millennium Management is set to be valued at $14 billion as it discusses selling 10% to 15% of its equity in partnership with Petershill Partners [1] - The transaction aims to attract strategic investors, including major contributors to Millennium's funds, positioning it among the highest-valued hedge fund management companies globally [1] - Millennium operates over 320 investment teams under a strict risk framework, similar to other multi-strategy giants like Citadel and Point72 [1] Group 2: Valuation Logic - The $14 billion valuation has sparked a reevaluation of hedge fund valuation logic, traditionally based on management fees and performance incentives [2] - Millennium's revised fee structure, particularly the 1% minimum fee, stabilizes its revenue stream, supporting its high valuation [2] - Despite the high valuation, some private equity advisors argue that even with long-term capital locks, Millennium's management fee multiples are generally lower than those of established private equity firms [2] Group 3: Institutional Preparation - Founder Izzy Englander is preparing for a "post-Englander era" by institutionalizing the company, marking a shift from sole ownership to shared ownership among the core team [3] - The minority stake sale is part of a dual strategy to attract stable external investors and incentivize top talent through equity distribution among senior management [3] - Englander has already implemented measures to solidify the company's capital base and strengthen leadership by recruiting senior management from firms like Goldman Sachs [3] Group 4: Fee Structure and Strategic Partnerships - Millennium has introduced a new fee model requiring investors to pay a minimum fee of around 1% of assets or 20% of investment returns, aligning its revenue structure closer to stable management fees [5] - The company is also in discussions with BlackRock for potential strategic collaboration, which may include a small equity acquisition [5]
蓝莓市场BBMarkets:美联储降息与贸易风险下美元何去何从?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 09:15
Group 1: Core Views - The US dollar index has fallen to a seven-week low of 98.35, reflecting market expectations of a shift in US monetary policy and the complex impact of trade policy fluctuations on the dollar's safe-haven status [1][3] - The expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut has become a key driver suppressing the dollar, with a 75% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September [1][3] - Trade uncertainties, particularly President Trump's recent statements about imposing tariffs, have led to a reassessment of global supply chain risks, further pressuring the dollar [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent US CPI data has come in below market expectations, contributing to the strengthening of rate cut expectations [1] - The market is closely watching upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) and initial jobless claims data, as continued low PPI could indicate deflationary pressures and reinforce the need for Fed easing [3][4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The dollar index is currently trading below the 100-day EMA, with an RSI of 38.80, indicating prevailing bearish momentum [4] - Key support for the dollar index is at the 98.00 level, with potential targets for further declines at 97.70 and 96.55 if this support is breached [4] - A technical rebound could face initial resistance at 99.38, with further challenges at the 100.00 level and the upper Bollinger Band around 100.60 [4]
中信期货晨报:国内商品期货大面积收涨,白银涨幅居前-20250609
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 08:51
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 国内商品期货大面积收涨,白银涨幅居前 ——中信期货晨报20250609 中信期货研究所 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读 本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 1 1、宏观精要 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 金融市场涨跌幅 国内主要商品涨跌幅 | 板块 | 品种 | 现价 | 日度涨跌幅 | 周度涨跌幅 | 月度涨跌幅 | 季度涨跌幅 | 今年涨跌幅 | 板块 | 品种 | 现价 | 日度涨跌幅 | 周度涨跌幅 | 月度涨跌幅 | 季度涨跌幅 | 今年涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...
宋雪涛:房产的估值逻辑正在发生变化
雪涛宏观笔记· 2025-06-09 05:18
老二手房类似"红利股",次新房类似"高估值价值股", 老现房类似"伪成长股",压力最 大,新好房类似"成长股",是推动新房价格回升的主要力量。 文:国金宏观宋雪涛/联系人张馨月 目前百城住宅租金价格环比跌幅有所收窄,5月上海、广州住宅租金环比回升,北京、深圳环比回落; 30个二线城市中,住宅租金环比上涨、持平和下跌的城市分别为16个、1个和13个;成都、天津、武 汉、乌鲁木齐的租金比较坚挺。 当前中国人均住房面积已超过40平方米,与发达国家相当,房地产的功能不再仅仅是满足居民基本居 住需求,还带有改善性目的,从"有房住"向"住得好"转变,房子的估值逻辑也在发生变化。 一、大多数房产 终将成为"价值股" 随着市场的逐步成熟与稳定,大部分房产会逐渐演变为"价值股",稳定、低估值且有一定的租金回报 率。 少数优质的房产,凭借其独特的品质,可能暂时成为"成长股",但这类房产终究是少数。 租售比是房产的PE,租金是房产的EPS,租售比(租金回报率)决定了房产作为投资品的性价比。 目 前 百 城 租 金 回 报 率 在 2.3%-2.4% , 从 投 资 角 度 看 , 租 金 回 报 率 的 合 理 区 间 应 该 在 ...