低功耗蓝牙SoC
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申万宏源研究晨会报告-20251205
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-05 00:25
Group 1: Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3876 points, with a slight decrease of 0.06% for the day and a 2.13% decline over the past five days [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 2439 points, down 0.1% for the day and 1.94% over the past five days [1] - Large-cap indices showed a 0.39% increase yesterday but a 1.43% decline over the past month, while mid-cap and small-cap indices also experienced declines [1] Group 2: Industry Performance - Aerospace equipment II sector saw a significant increase of 7% yesterday, with a 9.41% rise over the past month and a 39.23% increase over the past six months [1] - The home appliance components sector increased by 3.83% yesterday but declined by 3.3% over the past month, with a notable 45.83% increase over the past six months [1] - The coal sector, particularly coking coal II, experienced a decline of 4.38% yesterday and a 2.65% decline over the past month, despite a 27.2% increase over the past six months [1] Group 3: Company Analysis - Hengxuan Technology - Hengxuan Technology specializes in low-power Bluetooth SoC chip design, focusing on high-end brand markets and applications in TWS headphones, smartwatches, and AI glasses [10][11] - The company has a market share of approximately 10% in TWS SoC shipments, with a high average selling price (ASP) of nearly 10 yuan per unit, leading the domestic market in revenue [10][11] - Projected revenues for Hengxuan Technology from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 42.53 billion, 54.41 billion, and 67.11 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 30%, 28%, and 23% [10][11]
恒玄科技(688608):低功耗蓝牙SoC领军,从可穿戴设备到AloT
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-18 14:07
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7][6]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in low-power Bluetooth SoC, focusing on wearable devices and AIoT applications. It has established a strong market position with significant revenue growth projections for the coming years [6][7]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 42.53 billion, 54.41 billion, and 67.11 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 30%, 28%, and 23% [7][6]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 7.98 billion, 10.57 billion, and 13.00 billion yuan, indicating robust profitability growth [7][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) for the years 2024 to 2027 is projected as follows: - 2024: 3,263 - 2025: 4,253 - 2026: 5,441 - 2027: 6,711 - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are expected to be 49.9% in 2024, 30.3% in 2025, 27.9% in 2026, and 23.3% in 2027 [5]. - Net profit (in million yuan) is forecasted as: - 2024: 460 - 2025: 798 - 2026: 1,057 - 2027: 1,300 - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 272.5% in 2024, 73.2% in 2025, 32.5% in 2026, and 23.0% in 2027 [5]. Market Position and Product Development - The company has a 10% market share in TWS (True Wireless Stereo) earphone SoC shipments, ranking fourth globally in terms of shipment volume [6][8]. - The BES2800 chip, built on a 6nm process, is designed for high-end applications and has been adopted by major brands like Samsung for flagship products [6][8]. - The company is expanding its product offerings to include smart watch chips, with expected revenue of 1.045 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 116% year-on-year growth [6][8]. Competitive Advantages - The company has developed a platform-based strategy allowing a single chip to be used across multiple product categories, enhancing its competitive edge [28][29]. - The integration of advanced technologies such as AI, low-power consumption, and high-performance capabilities positions the company favorably against international competitors [9][29]. Valuation Metrics - As of November 17, 2025, the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 45 times for 2025 and 34 times for 2026, compared to an average PE of 44 times for comparable companies, indicating a potential upside of 29% [7][6].
恒玄科技(688608):低功耗蓝牙SoC领军,从可穿戴设备到AIoT
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-18 13:56
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in low-power Bluetooth SoC, focusing on wearable devices and AIoT applications, with significant market share in TWS earphones and smartwatches [7][8]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 42.53 billion, 54.41 billion, and 67.11 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 30%, 28%, and 23% [8]. - The company has a strong competitive position due to its advanced technology and established relationships with major brands like Samsung, OPPO, and Xiaomi [7][8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 3,263 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 49.9% [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 798 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 73.2% [6]. - The company maintains a low asset-liability ratio of 7.59% and a high return on equity (ROE) of 10.9% in 2025 [6]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company holds approximately 10% of the global TWS main control chip market, ranking fourth in terms of shipment volume [7]. - The smart wearable chip segment is expected to see significant growth, with revenue projected to reach 10.45 billion yuan in 2024, a 116% increase year-on-year [7]. - The introduction of AI glasses and the development of proprietary ISP technology position the company for future growth in high-performance wearable SoCs [7]. Product Development and Technology - The company has developed a unified software and algorithm framework that enhances customer stickiness and supports multiple product lines [7]. - The BES2800 chip, built on a 6nm process, integrates advanced features such as dual-core Cortex-M55 and self-developed NPU, catering to the needs of AI and low-power applications [7][8]. - The company’s strategy of "one chip for multiple uses" allows for a versatile application of its chips across various devices, enhancing platform reuse [31]. Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned against both domestic and international competitors, with a focus on high-end markets and a strategy to maintain technological leadership [10][38]. - The competitive advantage is bolstered by a strong customer base, with the top five clients accounting for 74% of sales in 2024 [38]. Valuation Metrics - As of November 17, 2025, the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected at 45 times for 2025 and 34 times for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 29% compared to comparable companies [8].