2、业绩验证，行业景气度转化为利润：2025年三季报显示，科创人工智能ETF（589520）30只成份股中，20家上市公司实现盈利，22家归母净利同比正增 长，业绩表现强劲； 消息面上，11月25日晚间，阿里巴巴发布2026财年第二季度财报，云收入同比增长34%，AI相关产品收入连续9个季度实现三位数同比增长；本季度资本开 支为315亿元，过去四个季度在AI+云基础设施的资本开支约1200亿元。 中信证券指出，阿里持续坚定投入AI基础设施，标志着国产算力的自主可控进程正在稳步推进，国产算力有望迎来行业拐点。建议关注国产算力投资机 遇，聚焦卡位精准、长期竞争力凸显的龙头。 此外，阿里巴巴首款自研旗舰双显AI眼镜——夸克AI眼镜2025年新品发布会定于11月27日举行。值得关注的是，阿里夸克AI眼镜采用了科创人工智能ETF标 的指数恒玄科技的BES2800芯片。 业内人士指出，今年年初，DeepSeek-R1模型横空出世，低成本实现前沿模型效果，引发市场对算力投资的担忧，当时AI算力板块集体下跌，然而这也成为 了国产AI弯道超车的重要着力点，延迟于事件催化，后市迎来了一波AI科技拉动的上涨行情。如今，国产AI应用 ...

Core Insights - AI concept stocks have shown strong performance for three consecutive days, with the domestic AI industry chain-focused ETF (589520) reaching a peak increase of 1.94% during trading [1] - Alibaba's Q2 FY2026 report revealed a 34% year-on-year growth in cloud revenue, with AI-related product revenue achieving triple-digit growth for nine consecutive quarters [3] - The current period is identified as a "golden window" for the AI sector, driven by policy support, strong earnings, and the need for domestic AI capabilities [4] Group 1: Market Performance - The AI concept stocks have been performing strongly, with significant gains in stocks such as Chipone Technology and Espressif Systems, which rose over 6% and 4% respectively [1] - The AI-focused ETF (589520) has seen a notable increase, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [1] Group 2: Company Developments - Alibaba's capital expenditure for AI and cloud infrastructure reached approximately 315 billion yuan in the last quarter, totaling around 1200 billion yuan over the past four quarters [3] - The upcoming launch of Alibaba's self-developed Quark AI glasses, which utilize a chip from a key ETF component, highlights the company's commitment to AI innovation [3] Group 3: Industry Trends - The AI sector is experiencing a strategic "golden window" due to government policies aimed at enhancing technological self-reliance and security [4] - The performance of the AI-focused ETF indicates a strong recovery potential, with 20 out of 30 component companies reporting profits and 22 showing year-on-year net profit growth [4] - The geopolitical landscape, particularly the U.S.-China tech rivalry, emphasizes the importance of achieving self-sufficiency in AI technology [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7][6]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in low-power Bluetooth SoC, focusing on wearable devices and AIoT applications. It has established a strong market position with significant revenue growth projections for the coming years [6][7]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 42.53 billion, 54.41 billion, and 67.11 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 30%, 28%, and 23% [7][6]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 7.98 billion, 10.57 billion, and 13.00 billion yuan, indicating robust profitability growth [7][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) for the years 2024 to 2027 is projected as follows: - 2024: 3,263 - 2025: 4,253 - 2026: 5,441 - 2027: 6,711 - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are expected to be 49.9% in 2024, 30.3% in 2025, 27.9% in 2026, and 23.3% in 2027 [5]. - Net profit (in million yuan) is forecasted as: - 2024: 460 - 2025: 798 - 2026: 1,057 - 2027: 1,300 - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 272.5% in 2024, 73.2% in 2025, 32.5% in 2026, and 23.0% in 2027 [5]. Market Position and Product Development - The company has a 10% market share in TWS (True Wireless Stereo) earphone SoC shipments, ranking fourth globally in terms of shipment volume [6][8]. - The BES2800 chip, built on a 6nm process, is designed for high-end applications and has been adopted by major brands like Samsung for flagship products [6][8]. - The company is expanding its product offerings to include smart watch chips, with expected revenue of 1.045 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 116% year-on-year growth [6][8]. Competitive Advantages - The company has developed a platform-based strategy allowing a single chip to be used across multiple product categories, enhancing its competitive edge [28][29]. - The integration of advanced technologies such as AI, low-power consumption, and high-performance capabilities positions the company favorably against international competitors [9][29]. Valuation Metrics - As of November 17, 2025, the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 45 times for 2025 and 34 times for 2026, compared to an average PE of 44 times for comparable companies, indicating a potential upside of 29% [7][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][23]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.95 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.66% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 5.42%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.97 billion yuan, marking a year-over-year increase of 39.11% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 72.19% [2][4]. - The company continues to lead in the wearable SoC market, with new opportunities emerging in edge-side applications. The BES2800 chip has been rapidly adopted across various applications, enhancing the company's market position [8][9]. - The company is expected to launch the next-generation BES6000 chip in the first half of 2026, which is anticipated to further strengthen its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving smart eyewear market [8][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 43.06 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 31.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 7.41 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 61.0% [4][9]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 37.03%, an increase of 2.34 percentage points year-over-year, while the net margin was 19.78%, up by 4.76 percentage points year-over-year [8][9]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 2.73 yuan in 2024 to 9.55 yuan by 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [4][9].

Market Performance - The main board led the gains with notable stocks such as Jin'an Guoji (+10.03%), Yue Media (+10.02%), and Sanliu Ling (+10.02%) [1] - The ChiNext board saw significant increases with Fushi Holdings (+20.09%) and Haixia Innovation (+20.02%) [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation board was led by Foxit Software (+20.00%) and Hehe Information (+14.14%) [1] - Active sub-industries included SW General Software (+4.85%) and SW Marketing Agency (+4.66%) [1] Domestic News - Yiyuan Silicon has formed a multi-dimensional layout in the storage sector, with its etching equipment components entering the supply chain of storage clients, including Yangtze Memory Technologies [1] - Hengxuan Technology announced that its BES2800 chip is used in Alibaba's Quark AI glasses, featuring significant performance and power efficiency improvements [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has accepted the IPO application of Shenghe Jingwei, which provides customized advanced packaging services for various types of chips [1] - The IaaS market in China's public cloud is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by mid-2025, with a year-on-year growth rate close to 20%, driven by AI model training and cloud vendors' strategic overseas expansion [1] Company Announcements - Lian Micro announced it received a government subsidy of 30 million yuan, accounting for 11.29% of its audited net profit for the last fiscal year [2] - New Xiang Micro reported a government subsidy of 1.88 million yuan, which has been received [2] - Gai Lun Electronics reported a revenue of 315 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.71%, with a net profit of 41.99 million yuan, turning from loss to profit [2] - Chengdu Huami reported a 13.69% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q3, with net profit increasing by 83.21% and a 121.80% increase in non-recurring net profit, indicating significant improvement in core business profitability [2] International News - Ansem Semiconductor's vGaN technology sets a new benchmark for power semiconductor efficiency, reducing losses by nearly 50% and significantly shrinking device sizes [2] - SEMI forecasts a 5.4% year-on-year increase in global silicon wafer shipments in 2025, driven by strong demand for AI-related products [2] - Samsung Electronics has begun delivering HBM3E chips to NVIDIA, with all production of the next-generation HBM4 chips sold out, highlighting a strong recovery in the global memory market driven by AI server demand [2] - Kyoto University and Japan's JNC have developed next-generation deep blue OLED materials, achieving a quantum yield of 93% and a lifespan exceeding 1000 hours, breaking industry bottlenecks [2]

Core Viewpoint - Hengxuan Technology announced that Alibaba's Quark AI glasses utilize the company's BES2800 chip, which significantly enhances performance, power consumption, and technological innovation [1] Group 1 - The BES2800 chip is manufactured using 6nm FinFET technology [1] - The chip integrates a multi-core CPU/GPU, NPU, large-capacity storage, low-power Wi-Fi, and dual-mode Bluetooth [1] - The advancements in the BES2800 chip lead to substantial improvements in performance and power efficiency [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth driven by the increasing market share in the smart wearable sector and the successful launch of new products like the BES2800 chip [2][3] - The gross margin has significantly improved, with a gross margin of 39.27% in the first half of 2025, up by 6.08 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is expanding its chip applications beyond wearables into new markets such as wireless microphones and smart glasses, enhancing its growth potential [3] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 2,176 million yuan in 2023 to 7,535 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from 124 million yuan in 2023 to 1,602 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [1] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to rise from 2.0% in 2023 to 16.3% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [1] Market Position and Product Development - The BES2800 chip is gaining traction in various applications, including TWS headphones and smartwatches, contributing to the company's market share growth [3] - The company is investing heavily in R&D, with R&D expenses reaching 395 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 22.77% increase year-on-year [3] - The upcoming 6000 series chip is designed for the smart glasses market, aiming to meet the demands of AI-driven hardware with high performance and low power consumption [8]

Group 1 - Shanghai Municipal Economic and Information Commission has announced the implementation of the national "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, focusing on enhancing intelligent computing power supply services [1] - The initiative supports the research and application of high-performance training, inference chips, and edge chips for artificial intelligence, as well as the construction of foundational AI hardware and software systems [1] - The demand for edge AI computing power is expected to rise due to the increasing market share of AI smart glasses and AI smartphones, with the edge AI industry market size in China projected to exceed 1.9 trillion yuan by 2028 [1][1] Group 2 - Xincheng Technology plans to acquire a 53.31% stake in Bluetooth chip design company Furui Kun to create a leading self-developed SoC IP platform in the industry [2] - Hengxuan Technology's BES2700 and BES2800 chips have been mass-produced in projects involving customer smart glasses, wireless microphones, and recording pens [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by new product launches and market expansion in wearable technology [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.938 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.58% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 305 million yuan, up 106.45% year-on-year - The non-recurring net profit was 284 million yuan, reflecting a 153.37% increase year-on-year - In Q2 2025, revenue was 944 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.48% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.09% - The net profit for Q2 was 114 million yuan, down 4.79% year-on-year and 40.02% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Gross Margin and Incentives - The gross margin improved in Q2, reaching 40.12%, an increase of 1.67 percentage points from the previous quarter - The revenue growth was attributed to new customer acquisitions in the smartwatch market, the introduction of new products like BES2800, and expansion into new markets such as wireless microphones and AI glasses - The company announced a restricted stock incentive plan for 2025, proposing to grant up to 230,800 shares to 112 employees, primarily targeting technical and business personnel [2]. Product Development and Market Expansion - The BES2800 chip, utilizing 6nm technology, has been widely adopted in TWS headphones, smartwatches, and smart glasses - The company successfully onboarded new clients in the smartwatch sector, including Xiaotianzi and Songtuo, and has commenced mass production - The new 6000 series is expected to be sampled in the first half of 2026, indicating a proactive approach to market demands [3]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains an "outperform" rating, with expectations for significant profit growth driven by the expansion into new applications and the mass production of the BES2800 platform - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 794 million, 1.097 billion, and 1.503 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 72.4%, 38.2%, and 37.0% respectively - The current market PE ratios are projected to be 67.1, 48.6, and 35.4 times for the years 2025-2027 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in R&D expenses, indicating a commitment to high-end product development despite short-term profit pressures [1][2][4]. Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.6% [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 940 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.1% [1]. - The decline in Q2 revenue is attributed to the significant pull-in effect from national subsidies in Q1 and supply chain adjustments causing shipment delays [1]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for Q2 2025 reached 40.1%, an increase of 6.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Net profit for Q2 2025 was 110 million yuan, down 4.8% year-on-year and down 40.0% quarter-on-quarter, indicating profit pressure despite improved gross margins [1][2]. - R&D expenses in Q2 2025 amounted to 230 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.5%, with an R&D expense ratio of 24.2% [2]. Product Development and Market Expansion - The new generation smart wearable chip, BES2800, is widely applied in TWS headphones, smartwatches, and smart glasses, enhancing the company's technological leadership [2]. - The company successfully onboarded new clients in the smartwatch market, with rapid growth in chip shipments for smartwatches in H1 2025 [3]. - The company is expanding its chip applications into low-power wireless scenarios, including smart glasses and wireless microphones, indicating a shift towards becoming a platform chip company [3]. Future Outlook and Investment Recommendations - Despite a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressures due to high R&D investments, the company's high-end strategy is establishing a competitive advantage across multiple sectors [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 4.59 billion, 6.01 billion, and 7.50 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.5%, 31.1%, and 24.7% respectively [4]. - Net profit projections for the same years are 830 million, 1.22 billion, and 1.61 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 81.3%, 46.5%, and 31.7% respectively [4].