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欧洲在全球AI竞赛中的致命短板——能源!
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-10 09:33
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs warns that despite the European energy crisis potentially ending by 2027, Europe faces significant energy security vulnerabilities in the AI era, which could hinder its global competitiveness in AI [1] Group 1: Fossil Fuel Dependency - The report indicates that Europe's energy dependency is being reshuffled rather than reduced, with nearly half of its energy still imported, contrasting sharply with the U.S., which has become a net energy exporter [2] - Future energy imports will shift from Russia to the U.S. and Qatar, which are projected to account for 55% of global LNG exports by 2030, introducing geopolitical risks [2] Group 2: Low-Carbon Supply Chain Vulnerabilities - Europe is highly dependent on external sources for critical materials like rare earths and magnets, essential for wind turbines, electric vehicles, semiconductors, and AI systems, with its market share in rare earths being only about 2% [3] - The nuclear energy sector is entirely reliant on imported uranium, with 11% of the EU's energy consumption coming from nuclear power, and 75% of the uranium sourced from Canada, Kazakhstan, and Russia [3] Group 3: Weak Electrical Infrastructure - The aging electrical grid in Europe, averaging 50 years old, poses a significant challenge, as it is nearing the end of its design life and is fragmented, leading to large price discrepancies and vulnerability to outages and cyberattacks [5] - The rise of AI places additional pressure on the already strained electrical grid, with over 90% of data center operators citing power availability as their top concern, indicating that the weak infrastructure is a physical bottleneck for embracing the AI revolution [6]