供给侧国家治理

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“反内卷”强化供给侧国家治理预期,有望推动实现更高质量增长
Orient Securities· 2025-07-07 02:33
Group 1: Policy Implications - The "anti-involution" initiative aims to address chaotic low-price competition among enterprises, guiding improvements in product quality and enhancing national governance expectations[5] - The initiative emphasizes quality enhancement, technological investment, and protection of workers and small enterprises, focusing on "increasing quantity and improving quality" rather than merely price concerns[5] - Recent high-level discussions and meetings have repeatedly highlighted the importance of breaking "involution-style" competition to achieve high-quality development, with various industries responding positively[5] Group 2: Industry Responses - Industries under profit pressure, such as traditional sectors like cement and steel, are beginning to respond to the "anti-involution" measures, with some companies agreeing to production cuts[5] - The government is expected to implement further nationwide optimizations in procurement and bidding systems, enhancing the allocation of public resources[5] - Local government investment attraction models are anticipated to evolve, moving away from unsustainable fiscal subsidies towards regions with strong industrial chains and research infrastructure[5] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The "anti-involution" approach is not about suppressing competition but rather facilitating a transformation in corporate governance and investment attraction practices, leading to long-term improvements in governance expectations[5] - The current policy shift is expected to prioritize quality and technological advancements, contrasting with previous supply-side reforms that focused on capacity reduction and deleveraging[5] - The establishment of a high-quality development assessment system will likely reduce the emphasis on GDP growth metrics while enhancing the focus on new and old kinetic energy conversion[5]