Core Viewpoint - The recent tax policy adjustment on bond interest income is expected to impact the bond market, leading to a widening spread between new and old bonds, with financial institutions likely to adjust their investment strategies in response to the changes [1][2][4]. Group 1: Tax Policy Changes - From August 8, new issues of government bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds will be subject to VAT, with a rate of 6% for banks and 3% for asset management products [2][3]. - Existing bonds will continue to be exempt from VAT until maturity, and individuals with monthly sales below 100,000 yuan will remain exempt from VAT [1][3]. Group 2: Impact on Bond Market - The adjustment is anticipated to cause a one-time shock and structural impact on bond market interest rates, with the spread between new and old bonds expected to widen [1][4]. - Financial institutions, particularly banks, may increase their external investment scale to mitigate the tax impact on investment returns [1][6]. Group 3: Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics - The tax changes are likely to lead to a shift in asset allocation, with funds potentially flowing from interest-bearing bonds to credit assets and equities [6][7]. - The expected reduction in after-tax yields for banks is estimated to be between 9 basis points to 14 basis points, while asset management institutions may see a decrease of 4 basis points to 7 basis points [1][6]. Group 4: Future Market Trends - The new tax policy may create a dual pricing mechanism for new and old bonds, with institutions likely to favor older bonds due to their tax advantages [7][8]. - The overall impact on bond yields is projected to be a slight increase of 5 basis points to 10 basis points, with the market dynamics influenced by macroeconomic factors and liquidity levels [7][8].