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华安期货:11月4日黄金白银震荡调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 03:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in gold and silver prices, highlighting the impact of various economic factors and market conditions on these precious metals [1][3]. Market Performance - COMEX gold futures increased by 0.43% to $4013.7 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures decreased by 0.52% to $47.91 per ounce [1]. Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in October and indicated a halt in balance sheet reduction [3]. - Recent ADP employment data shows signs of improvement in the U.S. labor market [3]. - Progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations has led to a recovery in market risk appetite [3]. Global Demand for Gold - Global gold demand reached a record high in Q3, with central banks net purchasing a total of 220 tons, representing a 28% increase quarter-over-quarter [3]. Fiscal Outlook - The IMF forecasts that the expanding budget deficit will lead to an increasing debt burden ratio for the U.S. [3]. Tax Policy Changes - A new tax policy for investment gold has been introduced, changing the tax chain to "upstream tax refund, downstream full taxation" [3]. Industry Demand - Positive demand outlook in the electronics and photovoltaic sectors [3]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to experience fluctuations and adjustments, with upcoming attention on U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI and China's foreign exchange reserves [3].