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国庆长假投资攻略出炉!把握黄金、原油等机会,让资金“人闲钱不闲”!
市值风云· 2025-09-29 10:07
Core Viewpoint - As the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival approach, investors are advised to strategically allocate assets in anticipation of market movements during the extended holiday period, particularly focusing on safe-haven assets like gold and oil, while also utilizing short-term financial instruments for continuous trading opportunities [3]. Group 1: Gold Asset Allocation - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00% to 4.25% is a key driver for gold prices [4]. - Market expectations indicate a 93% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October, which has led to increased interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [4][5]. - Gold prices have recently surpassed $3,745, reaching a historical high, with the relative strength index (RSI) hitting 89.72, the highest level in 45 years [6]. - Gold ETFs have shown significant returns, with an average yield of 38.1% for those tracking the gold 9999 index, while gold stock ETFs have yielded an average of 74.9% this year [7][8]. Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is currently experiencing weakness, with OPEC+ agreeing to lift voluntary production cuts, leading to a decline in oil prices since 2021 due to strong supply growth and weak demand outlook [14]. - Despite falling oil prices, refining companies may see improved profits, potentially boosting their stock prices [16]. - The average return for oil ETFs this year has been disappointing, at only 2.1%, with limited active management options available in the market [17][18]. Group 3: Holiday Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to utilize short-term financial tools during the holiday to maximize idle funds, such as combining treasury reverse repos with money market funds for enhanced returns [27][28]. - Short-term bond ETFs are also recommended, with historical annualized returns around 6%, providing better liquidity compared to reverse repos [29]. - Some funds have implemented purchase limits to manage liquidity during the holiday period, indicating a cautious approach to large inflows and subsequent outflows [31][34].