Core Viewpoint - The electrolyte market has seen a significant price increase due to tight supply of key additives like lithium hexafluorophosphate, VC, and FEC, driven by sustained growth in downstream demand [2][3] Demand - The energy storage sector is expected to drive a new lithium battery cycle, with Q1 2026 anticipated to remain strong despite seasonal trends. Historical large-scale lithium cycles have been primarily demand-driven, with the upcoming period from 2025 to 2027 expected to be driven by global energy transition [2][3] - According to CESA's database, China's new overseas orders/cooperation in energy storage reached 214.7 GWh from January to September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 131.75%. As these orders materialize, Q1 2026 is expected to be robust [2][3] Supply Elasticity - The supply elasticity in the electrolyte segment is the lowest, while structural demand and supply resonance exist in copper foil, separators, and high-end lithium iron phosphate. The negative electrode supply faces high energy consumption constraints [3] - New capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium iron phosphate is slow to build due to environmental regulations and construction timelines of approximately 1 to 1.5 years for hexafluorophosphate and about 1 year for lithium iron phosphate. The demand for fourth-generation lithium iron phosphate products is strong [3] - The graphite anode segment has high energy consumption characteristics, with an expansion period of about 1 year. Other segments like copper foil also face significant environmental pressures. The wet separator market is expected to gain market share due to energy storage demand, remaining tight [3] Investment Recommendations - The company is optimistic about the lithium battery upcycle driven by energy storage demand and suggests focusing on companies such as CATL, EVE Energy, Tiankang Materials, Dafa, Putailai, Shanta Technology, Fulin Precision, Wanrun New Energy, Sungrow Power, Haibo Sichuang, Huasheng Lithium Battery, Shida Shenghua, and Enjie [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The electrolyte market has seen a significant price increase due to tight supply conditions driven by sustained growth in downstream demand for key additives like lithium hexafluorophosphate, VC, and FEC [3] - The energy storage sector is expected to drive a new round of lithium battery cycles, with a projected 50% growth in energy storage demand in 2026. In the first nine months of 2025, China's new energy storage overseas orders reached 214.7 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 131.75% [3] - The supply elasticity in the electrolyte segment is the lowest, while structural demand and supply resonance exist in copper foil, separators, and high-end lithium iron phosphate. The expansion cycle for negative electrode graphite is approximately one year due to high energy consumption [3] Summary by Sections Demand - The new lithium battery cycle is driven by energy storage, with expectations for a strong off-season in Q1 2026. Historical large-scale cycles have been primarily demand-driven, with significant growth anticipated in the upcoming years due to global energy transition and domestic energy storage policies [3] Supply - The supply chain for key materials like lithium hexafluoride and iron lithium is characterized by slow new capacity additions due to environmental regulations and high energy consumption. The market for wet-process separators is expected to grow due to energy storage demand, maintaining a tight supply situation [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that will benefit from the energy storage demand cycle, including Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Tianci Materials, and others [3]

Core Insights - The battery theme index in China has shown a slight increase of 0.14% as of November 6, 2025, with notable gains from companies like Keda and Aters, indicating a positive trend in the battery sector [1][4] - The battery ETF managed by Jiashi has a current scale of 1.409 billion yuan, reflecting a robust trading volume and a net value increase of 3.80% over the past three years [4] - The solid-state battery technology is emerging as a significant development direction, with advancements in technology and commercial orders expected to drive growth in various applications [4] Market Performance - The top ten weighted stocks in the battery theme index account for 56.8% of the index, with major players including Sunshine Power and CATL [4] - The performance of individual stocks varies, with CATL showing a 1.11% increase, while others like EVE Energy and Tianqi Lithium experienced declines [6] - The Jiashi battery ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 39.76% since its inception, highlighting its potential for high returns [4] Industry Outlook - The energy transition and domestic energy storage policies are expected to drive a new cycle of lithium battery demand from 2025 to 2027, with a projected 50% growth in energy storage demand by 2026 [4] - The industry is witnessing continuous progress in solid-state battery technology, which is anticipated to play a crucial role in future applications such as humanoid robots and eVTOLs [4]