欢迎加入交易理想国知识星球 文 | 交易理想国知识星球 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 本周（2025年7月7日--7月11日）交易理想国知识星球共发布68条内容，以下是筛选出的本周精华内容摘要，完整版内容可扫码查看。 2025大宗商品上半场 根据期货日报的官方数据，2025年期货大赛大约16万人参赛，截止到7月4日，累计盈利人数比例20%左右。 短期呈现二八定律。 如果把时间线拉长到三年，累计盈利比例应该会在千分之一，如果时间线拉长到十年，这一比例会来到万分之一，这或许还是保守估计。 十年一梦，梦由此出.... 现实残酷，游戏规则大数定律决定了大多数人将失败告终。 2024年国内期货成交量619万亿，粗略估算总体手续费800亿左右，按照50万左右中型账户算，期货市场每年消失的账户大概14万左右。 过去二十年期货市场消失的50万级别账户保守估计200万个，而截止到2025年，全国期货活跃的期货账户也就260万左右，和股票账户差了两个 数量级。 农产品受到影响不及工业品，不过法案中提到要削减"补充营养援助计划"SNAP，将获取食物券的年龄门槛从54岁提高到64岁，预计削减2300 亿美元支出。这项措施要 ...

编辑 陈维城 校对 赵琳 此次活动中，中国汽研还发布了IVISTA中国智能汽车指数与C-AHI中国汽车健康指数2026版规程框架、 IVISTA 网联智能与隐私安全专项测评2023版修订版规程、CIEVC智能网联新能源汽车复杂高寒环境测 评2025版规程及2025"极北寒测"实施计划等。 周玉林表示，面对新形势新要求，汽车指数的升级与深化，一是响应国家战略的迫切需要，汽车产业需 向智能化、绿色化方向深度转型；二是汽车技术的快速迭代对测评技术提出了前所未有的挑战，汽车指 数必须持续创新测评方法，拓展测评维度，提升测评的精度；三是做好消费者权益的坚实后盾，提振消 费信心。 新京报贝壳财经讯（记者白昊天）7月12日，中国汽车工程研究院股份有限公司党委书记、董事长周玉 林在2025中国汽研汽车指数技术专委会活动中表示，中国汽研已累计完成了60余个平台近500款车型的 深度测评，在中国汽研安全指数测试中，车内乘员测试项5年内从2019年的41%提升至91%，这意味着 中国汽车技术正持续进步。 周玉林介绍，在智能指数的测试中，自主品牌的导航辅助功能搭载率达到90%，记忆泊车搭载率达到 88.8%，显著高于非自主品牌。在健 ...

智通财经7月11日电，国内商品期市夜盘收盘涨跌参半，黑色系普遍上涨，焦炭上涨1.96%，焦煤上涨 1.32%；能源品中低硫燃料油上涨1.21%，燃油上涨0.52%；化工品中沥青上涨0.72%，苯乙烯上涨 0.12%；油脂油料中豆油上涨0.35%，棕榈油上涨0.30%。黑色系中铁矿石下跌0.07%，螺纹钢下跌 0.10%，热轧卷板下跌0.15%；化工品中橡胶下跌0.42%，PVC下跌0.48%；农副产品中玉米淀粉下跌 1.05%，玉米下跌1.25%。 国内商品期市夜盘收盘涨跌参半 黑色系普遍上涨 ...

交易咨询业务：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 能源化工周报—PVC 2025年7月11日 研究员：兰雪 交易咨询：Z0018543 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 免责声明：本报告的信息均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不做任何 保证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考， 报告中的信息或意见并不构成所述证券或期货的买卖出价或征价，投资者据此做出 的任何投 资决策与本公司和作者无关。 http://www.eafutures .com 地址：上海市虹口区东大名路1089号26层2601-2608单元 目录 1 供给 2 需求 3 库存、价差 4 价格、成本、利润 基本面要点： 东亚期货 3 • 价格：PVC周度均价：电石法 元/吨，环比 ，乙烯法 元/吨，环比 %。 4890 1.88% 5050 1 • 供给：PVC生产企业开工率 %，环比 %，同比 % ,其中电石法 %，环比 %，同比 %；乙烯法 %，环 比 %，同比 %。PVC产量 万吨，环比 %，同比 %。 76.97 -0.61 8.04 79.21 -1.97 5.74 71.02 3.62 ...

Financial Performance (LTM 1Q 2016) - Westlake Chemical Corporation reported Net Sales of $4335 million[6] - The company's EBITDA was $1217 million[6] - Net Income attributable to Westlake was $623 million[6] - Olefins contributed $822 million to EBITDA, representing 67% of the total[6] - Vinyls contributed $410 million to EBITDA, representing 33% of the total[6] Strategic Advantages and Growth Drivers - The company leverages a strong ethane and other NGL advantage due to fundamental structural advances in supply[13] - Significant product integration allows the company to capture the full value chain[13] - Westlake is well-positioned for continued profitable growth due to its ongoing financial strength and flexibility[13] - Westlake has one of the highest LDPE product mix percentages in North America[30] - Global PVC demand is growing, supporting exports[45]

Financial Performance - Westlake Chemical Corporation reported net sales of $6.936 billion and EBITDA of $1.291 billion [4] - Net income attributable to Westlake Chemical Corporation was $456 million [4] - Olefins contributed $750 million to EBITDA, representing 53% of the total, while Vinyls contributed $658 million, accounting for 47% [4] Strategic Acquisitions and Synergies - The acquisition of Axiall has created a diverse, vertically-integrated chemicals leader, enhancing margin stability and growth opportunities [7] - Westlake expects to realize $120 million in synergy savings and cost reductions in 2017, with a total of $200 million expected by 2018 [7] Ethylene and Feedstock Advantages - Westlake has a short position in ethylene, providing cost advantages in the coming years due to its all-ethane feedstock capability [11, 12] - The company's ethylene plants are fully capable of using ethane and have some NGL flexibility, with the European business (Vinnolit) providing further feedstock diversification [22] Polyethylene Product Mix - Westlake has an advantaged polyethylene product mix, with LDPE accounting for 58% and LLDPE for 42% of its capacity [24] - The company focuses on LDPE, which has a higher average margin advantage compared to other PE grades [24] PVC and Global Presence - The Axiall acquisition has given Westlake a global PVC presence with facilities in North America, Europe, and Asia [36] - Westlake/Vinnolit is a leading specialty PVC producer with a global capacity of approximately 4,000 KMT in 2016 [48]

Financial Performance - Westlake's Net Sales reached $7766 million[5] - The company's EBITDA was $1631 million[5] - Net Income attributable to Westlake was $601 million[5] - Olefins EBITDA was $796 million, accounting for 47% of the total[5] - Vinyls EBITDA was $915 million, representing 53% of the total[5] Strategic Initiatives and Growth - The acquisition of Axiall has created a diverse, vertically-integrated chemicals leader[8] - Westlake expects to realize $120 million in synergy savings and cost reductions in 2017 and a total of $200 million by 2018 from the Axiall acquisition[8] - Westlake has a polyethylene capacity of 2600 million lbs[13] Market Position and Advantages - Westlake is the second largest producer of PVC in North America and the third largest globally[47] - Westlake is the third largest producer of Chlor-Alkali in North America and the third largest globally[47] - Westlake has one of the highest LDPE product mix percentages in North America[29]

Financial Performance & Strategy - Westlake Chemical Corporation reported Net Sales of $7766 million, EBITDA of $1631 million, and Net Income of $601 million (attributable to WLK) for the Last Twelve Months (LTM) ending in 3Q 2017[5] - The company's EBITDA is split between Olefins (47% or $796 million) and Vinyls (53% or $915 million)[5] - The acquisition of Axiall is expected to enhance margin stability and synergy savings of $120 million are expected in 2017, with a total of $200 million by 2018[8] - Strategic investments and capital projects totaling over $6 billion have been made recently to drive integration and specialty focus[61] Market Position & Advantages - Westlake is a leading integrated plastics materials company, holding the 2 position in North American PVC capacity and 3 globally, as well as the 3 position in North American Chlor-Alkali capacity and 3 globally[8] - The company remains 1 in North American LDPE capacity[8] - Westlake has a short position in ethylene, providing cost advantages, and has NGL feedstock flexibility and infrastructure[12, 15] - Westlake has one of the highest LDPE product mix percentages in North America, with LDPE accounting for 58% and LLDPE accounting for 42% of its capacity[25] Global Presence & Demand - The Axiall acquisition provides Westlake with a global PVC presence, including facilities in North America, Europe, and Asia[37] - Global PVC demand is growing, with a CAGR of 3.1% from 2000-2016 and an expected CAGR of 3.2% from 2017-2021[54] Financial Discipline & Growth - Westlake is committed to maintaining solid investment-grade credit metrics and has been deleveraging since the Axiall acquisition[66] - Westlake Partners (WLKP) provides a lower cost of capital to fund growth, with four levers of distributable cash flow (DCF) growth[70]

Financial Performance - Westlake Chemical Corporation reported Net Sales of $8,041 million for the full year 2017[6] - The company's EBITDA for the full year 2017 was $1,841 million[6] - Net Income attributable to Westlake Chemical for the full year 2017 reached $1,304 million[6] - Olefins contributed $805 million to the EBITDA, representing 42% of the total[6] - Vinyls contributed $1,096 million to the EBITDA, accounting for 58% of the total[6] Strategic Positioning and Growth - Westlake is a leading integrated plastics materials company, holding strong positions in North American and global markets for PVC and Chlor-Alkali[3, 7] - Synergy savings and cost reductions from the Axiall acquisition reached $170 million in 2017, with expectations to achieve a total of $250 million[7] - The company is expanding its global capacity with 750 million lbs of PVC, 200 million lbs of VCM, 60 million lbs of Caustic Soda, and 55 million lbs of Chlorine[13] - Westlake's ethylene plants are fully capable of using ethane and have some NGL flexibility, providing cost advantages[22] Product Mix and Market Focus - Westlake has a unique focus on LDPE, which has a higher margin advantage compared to other PE grades[24, 25] - The company's LDPE capacity represents a significant percentage of its total PE capacity in North America[27] - Westlake/Vinnolit is a leading specialty PVC producer with a global capacity of approximately 4,000 KMT in 2016[46, 47]

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