光伏技术进步
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通威刘汉元:原来进口设备和国产设备从外观就能区别,现在全部国产化
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 03:17
Core Viewpoint - The solar photovoltaic (PV) industry in China has made significant advancements in domestic production capabilities, transitioning from 100% reliance on imported equipment to complete domestic manufacturing within a decade [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The production equipment for solar cells has evolved to the point where there is no visible difference between domestic and imported equipment, indicating a high level of technological parity [1] - The purity of polysilicon produced by Tongwei has improved dramatically, achieving a purity level of 11 nines (99.999999999%) from an initial level of 2 nines (99%) [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Cost Reduction - Tongwei's polysilicon production has scaled from 1,000 tons to nearly 1 million tons, showcasing substantial growth in production capacity over the years [1] - The cost of polysilicon has decreased from 1 million yuan per ton to 30,000 yuan per ton, representing a reduction to 3% of the original production cost [1]
通威股份(600438):2024年报及2025年一季报点评及近况更新:一季度亏损收窄,产品竞争力继续增强
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-05-19 11:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 25.37 CNY [6][13]. Core Views - The company has a solid industry position, and as the industry stabilizes, its performance is expected to improve. The first quarter losses have narrowed, and both the battery and polysilicon businesses are enhancing quality and efficiency [3][13]. - The company achieved a revenue of 91.994 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 33.9%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.039 billion CNY [5][13]. - The company is the top seller of battery cells, with a sales volume of 87.68 GW in 2024, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year, and has maintained its position as the global leader in shipment volume for eight consecutive years [13]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to recover to 97.675 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 6.2% [5][14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve to -2.745 billion CNY in 2025, with a significant recovery forecasted in subsequent years [5][14]. - The company's cash cost of production for polysilicon has decreased to 27,000 CNY per ton (excluding tax) [13]. Operational Highlights - The company has successfully integrated key equipment and technologies, leading to a reduction in comprehensive electricity consumption and silicon consumption [13]. - The company is advancing its technology roadmap, with plans to enhance the efficiency of its products and maintain a multi-technology development strategy [13].