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研报掘金丨国盛证券:维持王府井“买入”评级,免税有望受益政策拉动
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-17 06:25
Core Insights - Wangfujing achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.43 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 68.16%. For the first three quarters of 2025, the net profit was 1.24 million yuan, down 71.02% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a significant decline in net profit for Q3 2025 and the first three quarters, indicating ongoing challenges in the retail sector [1] - Adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 10.66 billion yuan, 11.20 billion yuan, and 11.64 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 160 million yuan, 260 million yuan, and 330 million yuan [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Wangfujing is recognized as a benchmark in the domestic retail department store industry, leveraging its substantial industry experience and resources [1] - The company has actively developed its duty-free business since obtaining a duty-free license in 2020, with the opening of the Mannings Wangfujing offshore duty-free port in January 2023 [1] Group 3: Policy Impact - A recent notification from the Ministry of Finance and other departments aims to enhance duty-free store policies to stimulate consumption, which is expected to benefit the company [1] - The company is positioned to capitalize on the anticipated policy-driven growth in the duty-free sector [1]
王府井(600859):奥莱强化性价比,免税有望受益政策拉动
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-11-16 09:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure in its retail operations, particularly in department stores and shopping centers, while its outlet business shows resilience with a revenue increase [2][3] - The company has a strong industry foundation and is actively developing its duty-free business, which is expected to benefit from recent policy support [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.73%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 43 million yuan, down 68.16% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 7.71 billion yuan, a decline of 9.30%, with a net profit of 124 million yuan, down 71.02% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin in Q3 2025 decreased by 2.06 percentage points to 36.24%, influenced by fixed costs and lower revenue [3] Business Segments - Department stores and shopping centers saw revenue declines of 11.36% and 16.56% respectively in the first three quarters of 2025, while the outlet business achieved a revenue increase of 4.88% [2] - The duty-free business generated 180 million yuan in revenue, down 9.25% year-on-year, but is expected to benefit from new policy measures aimed at boosting consumption [2] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 10.66 billion, 11.20 billion, and 11.64 billion yuan respectively, with net profit projections of 160 million, 260 million, and 330 million yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to valuations of 107.0, 65.5, and 52.1 times earnings for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]