《自然》期刊最新发布的一项综合性研究分析指出， 若全球持续目前的高排放轨迹，至2300年，高达59%的南极冰架可能完全消失 ，由此或引发全 球海平面上升达10米的严重后果。 该模型分析同时表明，若能将全球升温控制在2℃以内，冰盖的损失将大幅减少。 这一结果凸显了实现低碳排放路径的极端紧迫性，直接关系到南极冰架的保护以及全球沿海地区的安危。 ...

Group 1: China's Role in Global Energy Transition - China plays a crucial role in the global energy transition as a leading provider of solar panels and battery technologies, holding the largest market share in these technologies [1][19] - The country has consistently exceeded its renewable energy targets, achieving a 1,200 GW installed capacity goal originally set for 2030 by 2024, showcasing rapid progress in clean energy deployment [1][17] - If current emission reduction momentum is maintained, China may achieve its carbon peak target 3-5 years ahead of schedule [1][18] Group 2: Global Climate Goals and Technological Advancements - Despite potential impacts from U.S. policy changes, global deployment of solar and wind energy continues to accelerate, with significant cost reductions in renewable energy technologies [2][3] - Achieving the Paris Agreement's goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C remains feasible, contingent on rapid advancements in energy transition technologies [4][5] - Key tasks in the energy transition include decarbonizing the power system, electrification, and addressing residual emissions, with the power system decarbonization being critical [2][4] Group 3: Investment and Market Dynamics - Global investments in solar, wind, and battery technologies remain robust, with nearly $1 trillion still flowing into these sectors despite some slowdown [6][7] - The oil demand is expected to peak in the early 2030s, driven by the acceleration of vehicle electrification and declining oil consumption in power generation and residential heating [10][13] - Natural gas, particularly LNG, is positioned to play a key transitional role in the energy structure, especially as a cleaner alternative to coal [14] Group 4: Belt and Road Initiative and Energy Cooperation - The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to prioritize solar and battery storage projects, providing transformative opportunities for regions like Africa to bypass traditional fossil fuel infrastructure [2][20] - Distributed "photovoltaic + storage" systems can offer sustainable and cost-effective energy solutions for areas lacking local fossil fuel resources, reinforcing China's position as a leading supplier of clean energy technology [20]