2025.12. 11 本文字数：1486，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 朱洁树 《崩盘：小冰期与大明王朝的衰落》 [加] 卜正民 著 陈佳臻 译 后浪/汉青堂·九州出版社 2025年7月 加拿大汉学家卜正民是海外明清史研究的代表人物，对全球史情有独钟，也是一个讲故事的高手。他 曾写过《维米尔的帽子：17世纪和全球化世界的黎明》，借维米尔等画家笔下的海獭皮帽、青花瓷 等物品，串联起17世纪全球贸易网络。 在《崩盘：小冰期与大明王朝的衰落》中，卜正民从价格史入手，将明代及清初连续三百年的历史纳 入自然史和全球史的框架中进行考察。他发现，明朝后期出现的历次危机，几乎都与气候变化以及由 其引起的物价上涨相关。 约14世纪，北半球的气候开始转寒，在17世纪达到顶点，这段时期被称为"小冰期"。在这三个世纪 内，间歇性的干冷以及17世纪40年代左右的持续性干冷摧毁了明朝的农业根基，使其从永乐年间的 局部性饥荒滑向崇祯朝全国性的粮食体系崩溃。尤其是在华北地区，持续的干旱导致粮食价格高企， 北方粮价达到南方的十倍以上，远远超出人们所能承受的上限，最终导致明代价格体系完全崩溃，随 之而来的就是大明王朝的崩溃。 白银问 ...

加拿大汉学家卜正民是海外明清史研究的代表人物，对全球史情有独钟，也是一个讲故事的高手。他曾 写过《维米尔的帽子：17世纪和全球化世界的黎明》，借维米尔等画家笔下的海獭皮帽、青花瓷等物 品，串联起17世纪全球贸易网络。 在《崩盘：小冰期与大明王朝的衰落》中，卜正民从价格史入手，将明代及清初连续三百年的历史纳入 自然史和全球史的框架中进行考察。他发现，明朝后期出现的历次危机，几乎都与气候变化以及由其引 起的物价上涨相关。 约14世纪，北半球的气候开始转寒，在17世纪达到顶点，这段时期被称为"小冰期"。在这三个世纪内， 间歇性的干冷以及17世纪40年代左右的持续性干冷摧毁了明朝的农业根基，使其从永乐年间的局部性饥 荒滑向崇祯朝全国性的粮食体系崩溃。尤其是在华北地区，持续的干旱导致粮食价格高企，北方粮价达 到南方的十倍以上，远远超出人们所能承受的上限，最终导致明代价格体系完全崩溃，随之而来的就是 大明王朝的崩溃。 白银问题是近三十年全球史及明史研究的重点，有学者认为，明朝因白银大量流入而扩大了货币供应并 引起价格上涨。卜正民并不认同这种观点，他认为明朝巨大的经济体量，以及政府购买的特殊限制，使 有限流入的白银不足以引 ...

Group 1 - The First Financial Annual Humanities Book Selection started in 2017 and introduced a mid-year humanities book list for the first time during the Shanghai Book Fair this year [1] - The top ten books of the 2025 First Financial Mid-Year Humanities Book List include titles such as "The Nine Incense Sticks of Global History," "Life Like Morning Frost: Law, Society, and Women in 'Dream of the Red Chamber'," and "The Arab Sands" [1][26] - The editor-in-chief of First Financial, Yang Yudong, emphasized the importance of humanities reporting in financial media, stating that it reflects the spirit of humanity and is essential for understanding human history and social dynamics [2][1] Group 2 - Yang Yudong highlighted the need for long-termism and idealism in society, which cannot be found in short videos but only in books, reinforcing the necessity of humanities and social science reporting [2] - The book "The Nine Incense Sticks of Global History" by Yang Bin explores the interconnectedness of seemingly distant historical events and their impact on Chinese history, advocating for a global perspective in understanding Chinese culture [4][5] - "Life Like Morning Frost" by Ke Lan examines the intersection of literature and law in the context of "Dream of the Red Chamber," providing a new understanding of female characters through the lens of Qing Dynasty legal and social conditions [7][8] Group 3 - "The Violin Maker of Delft" by Ramón Andrés delves into the cultural, artistic, and scientific milieu of 17th-century Europe, using the life of a lesser-known artist to explore broader historical themes [10][11] - "The End of Fantasy: A Biography of Mu Dan" by Yi Bin presents the life and struggles of the poet Mu Dan, highlighting his contributions to modern Chinese poetry and translation [13][14] - "Source Code: Bill Gates' First Autobiography" reflects on Gates' early life and influences, emphasizing the importance of family and education in shaping his career [16][17] Group 4 - "Abao" tells the true story of a Miao woman who was trafficked and later wrote about her experiences to inspire her daughters, showcasing resilience and the power of storytelling [19][20] - "The Shadow of the Sun: A Journey into Africa" by Ryszard Kapuściński offers a unique perspective on African life and culture through the author's extensive travels and observations over 30 years [22][23][24] - "Finding the Right Words: A Story of Literature, Grief, and the Brain" explores the author's journey with her father's Alzheimer's disease, blending personal narrative with medical insights [30][31] Group 5 - "The Men Left Behind" by Richard V. Reeves discusses the challenges faced by men in modern society, including educational and occupational disparities, and suggests structural changes to address these issues [33][34]