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救命稻草竟是中国!加拿大扛不住美国压榨,8年破冰直奔北京
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 13:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Canada's economic challenges and its strategic pivot towards China amid rising U.S. tariffs and domestic economic downturns, highlighting the importance of pragmatic cooperation over ideological divides in global trade dynamics [3][31]. Economic Context - Canada's GDP fell by 0.3% in October 2025, marking the largest decline since December 2022, attributed to the adverse effects of U.S. tariff policies, with expectations of worsening impacts in 2026 [5]. - Over 70% of Canada's exports are directed to the U.S., making its economy highly sensitive to U.S. policy changes, particularly in the energy sector where Canadian oil prices are significantly discounted compared to international rates [7][9]. Trade Relations - Canada has invested 34 billion CAD in the Trans Mountain pipeline to diversify its oil exports, but U.S. plans to take control of Venezuelan oil could further reduce Canadian oil imports [9]. - A trade war has escalated between Canada and China, with Canada imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles and China retaliating with anti-dumping investigations and tariffs on Canadian agricultural products [14][16]. Public Sentiment - A significant portion of the Canadian public (62%) supports the removal of high tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, indicating a shift in public opinion towards favoring trade agreements with China [16]. Energy Cooperation - In the first 11 months of 2025, Canada exported nearly 100 million barrels of oil to China, with the Trans Mountain pipeline generating substantial revenue, reducing the price discount on Canadian oil to under 10 CAD [18]. Global Trade Dynamics - The visit of Canadian Prime Minister Carney to China reflects a broader trend of countries seeking pragmatic relations with China despite U.S. pressures, as seen with leaders from Argentina and the UK also planning visits [20][22]. - The article emphasizes that the U.S. tariff policies have inadvertently increased costs for American companies, highlighting the competitive advantages of Chinese manufacturers in the electric vehicle sector [24]. Future Outlook - The upcoming discussions between Canada and China will focus on critical issues such as trade tariffs and agricultural exports, with the potential to reshape bilateral relations and global trade dynamics [33].