【环球时报驻加拿大特约记者 陶短房】据加拿大广播公司8日报道，加总理马克·卡尼下周将访问中国，与中方讨论贸易、能源和安全问题。若成 行，这将是2017年以来加拿大总理首次访问中国。加媒认为，此次访问力图修复加中关系，意义重大。加拿大农业部门期待卡尼访华缓解贸易紧 张局势。加拿大《环球新闻》评论称："对于萨斯喀彻温省的农民来说，这次旅行真是盼星星盼月亮。" 《华尔街日报》评论说，卡尼此行也有努力减少对美贸易依赖的意图。报道称，美国对钢铁、铝、汽车和木材产品等加征高额关税，使加拿大经 济承压。"贸易不确定性已促使企业缩减或推迟投资和招聘计划，而即将到来的美国对现有《美墨加协定》的重新评估就凸显了这种不确定性。" 美国占加拿大出口总额的75.9%，远超其第二大贸易伙伴中国。加拿大前外交官科林·罗伯逊撰文称，加中应该加强交流，但"应该降低预期"。罗 伯逊认为，卡尼访华是一次对加中关系的"谨慎重启"，"加拿大至少需要可预测性"。 《环球新闻》援引萨斯喀彻温省油菜籽公司政策经理戴尔·莱夫特维奇的话称："我们非常希望能够真正缓解贸易紧张局势，并允许更多油菜籽出 口到中国，因为中国是我们最大的客户之一。"萨斯喀彻温省农业生产 ...

Group 1 - The core outcome of the recent US-China talks resulted in a reduction of tariffs on Chinese goods to 47%, with both sides making concessions on three key issues [1] - The US made significant concessions, including the cancellation of a 10% tariff on fentanyl, a one-year suspension of a 24% reciprocal tariff, and a temporary halt on export control regulations for one year [1] - In response, China adjusted its countermeasures, suspended some export controls, and began researching more detailed solutions, including a commitment to purchase 12 million tons of US soybeans this quarter and at least 25 million tons annually for the next three years [1][3] Group 2 - Canada's Prime Minister Carney met with Chinese leaders at the APEC summit, indicating a turning point in Canada-China relations, which had been strained since 2018 [5] - Canada has imposed a 75.8% anti-dumping deposit on canola seeds from China, significantly increasing export costs for Canadian farmers, while also facing retaliatory tariffs from the US [7] - Carney's government is pushing for a "de-Americanization" strategy, signing free trade agreements with Indonesia and preliminary agreements with the UAE and EU in various sectors [11][13] Group 3 - Canada aims to double its exports to non-US markets over the next decade, targeting over 300 billion CAD in export value, while remaining open to continued trade discussions with the US [15] - The shift in Canada's trade strategy reflects a broader trend of countries seeking to diversify their economic partnerships, indicating a potential decline in US dominance in global trade [15][17]

Core Insights - Recent trade negotiations between Canada and the U.S. have gained attention following Trump's abrupt termination of talks, leading Canada to initiate anti-dumping investigations against Chinese companies within 24 hours, indicating a calculated political and economic strategy [1][3] Trade Relations - Canada relies heavily on the U.S. for trade, with exports to the U.S. consistently accounting for 75.9% of its total exports. In 2022, the trade volume between the two countries exceeded $1 trillion, with key industries like steel, aluminum, and automotive tightly integrated into U.S. supply chains [1] U.S. Tariff Concerns - Trump's halt in negotiations was ostensibly due to a protest against a CAD 75 million anti-tariff advertisement from Ontario, but it also relates to the legality of tariffs, as the U.S. Supreme Court is set to review compliance issues that could result in the government needing to refund nearly $1 trillion in tariffs [3] Canadian Strategy - Canada's anti-dumping investigation against Chinese firms is seen as a risky balancing act, aiming to demonstrate loyalty to the U.S. while seeking leverage in negotiations. However, past experiences, such as the significant drop in electric vehicle exports to China, highlight the potential backlash from such actions [3][5] Domestic Impact - The investigation into truck body components poses significant risks, as nearly 40% of parts required by Canadian truck manufacturers come from China. Imposing anti-dumping duties could increase costs, adversely affecting consumers and exacerbating inflationary pressures [5] Geopolitical Positioning - Canada’s role in the trade dynamics is increasingly precarious, as the U.S. seeks to leverage allies to pressure China. As a member of the "Five Eyes" alliance, Canada’s position is crucial in diminishing China's market share in North America while providing a model for other allies [5] Future Challenges - Canada faces the challenge of navigating its foreign policy to maintain a balance between U.S. pressures and its economic interests with China. The current anti-dumping investigation could jeopardize Canada's strategy to diversify exports away from the U.S. and may lead to economic repercussions if not managed carefully [7]

Core Points - Canada has announced a reduction in tariffs on imports from China following a visit by Foreign Minister Anand, marking a shift in diplomatic relations after a period of trade tensions [1][3] - The Canadian government is reassessing its relationship with China, especially in light of increasing protectionism from the United States, which has led to significant economic impacts on Canadian industries [1][5] Group 1: Trade Relations - The trade relationship between Canada and China has been strained due to high tariffs imposed by Canada on Chinese electric vehicles and steel products, which prompted retaliatory measures from China [1][3] - Canada is the largest exporter of canola, with over half of its exports going to China, and the closure of the Chinese market has severely impacted Canadian farmers [3][5] Group 2: Economic Impact - The trade tensions have resulted in a decline of over 8% in manufacturing output and nearly a one-third reduction in agricultural exports in Canada during the first half of the year [5] - High inflation rates in Canada, coupled with rising energy and food prices, have created significant political pressure on the government to adjust its trade policies [5] Group 3: Policy Shift - The Canadian government is moving from a "freeze" to a "restart" in its policy towards China, indicating a willingness to recalibrate relations and enhance cooperation in various sectors [3][6] - Public opinion in Canada has shifted, with support for tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles dropping from over 60% to less than half, providing a social basis for policy adjustment [5][6] Group 4: International Context - The changing international landscape, characterized by unilateralism and trade protectionism, is prompting middle powers like Canada to seek strategic balance, with China being a key partner in this context [8] - The recognition that cooperation with China is necessary rather than risky is growing among Canadian industries and public opinion [8]

Core Viewpoint - Canada is adjusting its import tariff policy on steel and aluminum products, selectively reducing tariffs on certain products from the US and China amidst the ongoing US-China trade tensions [1][4]. Group 1: Tariff Policy Adjustments - Canada is making significant changes to its tariff policy by selectively exempting certain steel and aluminum products from the US and China [1][4]. - The decision to reduce tariffs comes after Canada faced backlash from its previous decision to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, which negatively impacted its canola exports and local farmers [3][4]. Group 2: Economic and Diplomatic Implications - The tariff reductions aim to alleviate pressure on domestic industries and maintain supply chain stability, particularly in key sectors related to public health and national security [4]. - Canada's strategy reflects a balancing act between appeasing the US and mitigating the economic consequences of its earlier decisions, raising questions about the effectiveness of this approach in stabilizing its economy and diplomatic relations [4].

Group 1 - Canada has decided to reduce tariffs on certain steel and aluminum products imported from China and the U.S. to alleviate domestic pressure amid trade disputes [1][2] - The Canadian government has issued a new exemption measure aimed at protecting workers and families from retaliatory measures, particularly in downstream industries [2] - The exemption applies to specific steel and aluminum products that Canada does not produce, which are essential for public health, national security, manufacturing, agriculture, and food [1][2] Group 2 - The Canadian government previously imposed tariffs on a range of steel and aluminum products from the U.S. and China as a retaliatory measure, following similar actions from the U.S. [2] - China has responded to Canada's tariffs by initiating anti-dumping investigations and imposing tariffs on Canadian canola, canola oil, seafood, and pork, increasing pressure on the Canadian agricultural sector [2] - There is growing pessimism regarding Canada's economic outlook, with over half of Canadians believing the economy will weaken in the next six months, largely due to the ongoing trade conflicts [4]

Group 1 - Canada has reduced tariffs on certain steel and aluminum products imported from China and the U.S. to alleviate domestic pressure [1] - The Canadian government has provided exemptions to several companies to avoid the costs of retaliatory tariffs on products that are in short supply or needed under existing contracts [1] - The new exemption measures aim to protect workers and families from the impact of retaliatory measures, particularly in downstream industries [1] Group 2 - China's response to Canada's tariff reductions includes anti-dumping investigations and increased tariffs on Canadian canola seeds, canola oil, seafood, and pork, putting pressure on Canada's agricultural sector [2] - Canadian Prime Minister Carney has sent officials to China for exploratory talks, indicating an effort to repair relations, although challenges remain in persuading China to lift measures against Canadian canola [2] - There is a growing pessimism regarding economic growth in Canada, with over half of Canadians believing the economy will weaken in the next six months, and reports of significant layoffs due to tariffs [2]

Group 1 - The Premier of Manitoba, Ginew, has requested the federal government to eliminate the 100% tariff on electric vehicles imposed on China, citing disproportionate impacts on Western Canada due to a "dual-line trade war" [1] - The electric vehicle tariff was implemented in alignment with the U.S. last year to protect the Canadian automotive industry, but retaliatory measures from China have severely affected Canadian canola prices and the pork production sector [1] - A pork producer in Manitoba reported an annual negative impact of CAD 19 million (approximately 97 million RMB) due to these tariffs [1] Group 2 - Saskatchewan, the largest canola-producing province, saw its exports to China drop to CAD 9.6 million in August, a 76% decrease compared to the same period last year, with China previously being the second-largest export destination for its agricultural products [1] - The Premier of Saskatchewan, Moe, emphasized the need for Canada to improve relations with China and reduce reliance on the U.S. market, advocating for continued dialogue between Canada and China [1][2] - A recent poll indicated that only 44% of Canadians support the electric vehicle tariff, down from 63% the previous year, while opposition has risen from 27% to 47% [2] Group 3 - The Canadian Minister of Finance's office is currently evaluating the decision to impose tariffs on electric vehicles, although no timeline for this assessment has been disclosed [3] - Prime Minister Gainey mentioned that Canada is seeking to deepen relations with China in areas such as agriculture and climate [3]

Core Points - The letter from Manitoba's Premier calls for the cancellation of the 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles, highlighting the severe impact of the trade war on Canada's western agricultural provinces [1][4] - The joint appeal from the premiers of Manitoba and Saskatchewan reflects Canada's struggle to find its position amid the U.S.-China rivalry [1][5] Trade Impact - Saskatchewan's canola seed exports to China fell by 76% in August, indicating significant damage to the agricultural economy [4] - The retaliatory measures from China have led to a sharp decline in canola prices and have also adversely affected the pork production industry [4] Policy Dilemma - The Canadian federal government's tariff policy on China is part of a complex geopolitical strategy, continuing the high tariffs established during the Trudeau administration [5] - The current government under Prime Minister Carney has maintained these tariffs while attempting to negotiate relief on steel and aluminum tariffs with the U.S. [5] Public Sentiment - Public support for the electric vehicle tariff has dropped significantly, with only 44% of Canadians in favor, down from 63% the previous year [7] - The agricultural provinces, which are suffering from the trade war, have a contrasting view compared to the steel, aluminum, and automotive sectors that generally support the tariffs [7] Diplomatic Solutions - China's Ambassador to Canada indicated that the tariffs on Canadian agricultural products are retaliatory measures against Canada's tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and steel [8] - A clear path for resolution was suggested, stating that if Canada removes the tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, China would reciprocate by lifting tariffs on Canadian products [8] Strategic Autonomy - Canada is seeking to strengthen trade relations with China and India while navigating its complex relationship with the U.S. [9] - The Canadian Foreign Minister emphasized the importance of maintaining stable relations with major economies, prioritizing Canadian interests in foreign policy [9] - The recent actions of the premiers signal a need for Canada to protect its economic interests amid geopolitical tensions [9]

Core Points - The Premier of Manitoba, Kelvin Goertzen, has requested the Canadian federal government to eliminate the 100% tariff on electric vehicles imported from China, citing significant negative impacts on bilateral trade and the western regions of Canada [1][3]. - The trade tensions have led to a substantial decline in Canadian canola prices and have severely affected the pork production industry, with Saskatchewan's canola exports to China dropping by 76% year-on-year in August [3][5]. - The Chinese Ambassador to Canada, Wang Di, indicated that China would reciprocate by removing tariffs on Canadian products if Canada cancels the tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, suggesting a potential path to ease trade relations [5][7]. Industry Impact - The imposition of a 100% additional tax on all electric vehicles imported from China since October 1 of the previous year has strained bilateral trade relations, affecting multiple provinces and severely damaging agricultural exports [5]. - There is a growing internal demand within Canada to lift the tariffs in order to alleviate the challenges faced by various industries, particularly in agriculture [7].