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历史第一次:国际金价突破5300美元!背后3大推手浮出水面?我们普通人还能买吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 12:12
王爷说财经讯:你敢信吗?就在2026年1月28日,国际金价创下了载入史册的纪录! 01、历史第一次:现货黄金站上5300美元! 先理清这波暴涨的核心背景。 要知道,2025年国际金价就暴涨超60%,创下1979年以来最大年度涨幅,为今年的疯涨埋下伏笔。 而1月28日的突破,更是让黄金彻底摆脱了以往的温和涨势,进入加速冲刺阶段。 国内市场同步沸腾! 沪金主力合约单日大涨3.58%,A股贵金属板块掀起涨停潮,超30只相关个股涨停或涨超10%,老凤祥、周大福等品牌金饰价纷纷站上1600元/克,不少消费 者感慨"买金像买白菜,却比白菜涨得快"。 现货黄金一日内连破5200、5300美元两大关口,日内涨幅一度超2.5%,续刷历史新高。今年以来金价已狂涨22%,涨幅超900美元,国内金饰价也飙至1600 元/克以上。 黄金这波涨势有多猛?从4000美元到5300美元仅用三个多月,比以往任何一轮涨势都迅猛。为啥黄金突然成了全民追捧的香饽饽?这波狂飙还能持续多久? 手里有黄金的该止盈吗? 第二是地缘局势的持续紧张。 02、黄金飙涨背后的3大推手浮出水面! 黄金能一路狂飙,绝非单一因素推动,三大核心动力缺一不可。 第一是各国央 ...
华安基金陈瑜:黄金中长期支撑逻辑未变,配置价值不应被短期波动掩盖
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-10-28 09:58
Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in the gold market are seen as a natural correction following previous excessive gains, with the long-term macroeconomic support for gold remaining intact [2][3]. Market Analysis - The recent significant decline in international gold prices indicates a short-term adjustment phase, with spot gold hitting a low of $4,072.84 per ounce and COMEX gold futures at $4,090.20 per ounce as of October 27 [2]. - The volatility in the gold market was anticipated, as the trading crowding had reached historical highs, prompting a risk warning from the investment team on October 15 [3]. Long-term Support Factors - A profound shift in the global currency landscape is occurring, with the dollar's reserve status weakening and gold's share in global central bank reserves increasing from 10% in 2019 to 23% by Q2 2025, reflecting concerns over the uncertainty of the global monetary system [3][4]. - Central banks globally are continuing to purchase gold, driven primarily by emerging market central banks, with total gold reserves exceeding 36,000 tons as of Q2 2025, showing a net increase of 19 tons in August alone [3]. - Ongoing issues with U.S. credit, including a national debt surpassing $38 trillion, are enhancing gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation and credit risk, especially in light of declining purchasing power of fiat currencies [4]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to view gold as a long-term asset for macro hedging and value storage rather than a short-term speculative tool, emphasizing its low correlation with traditional assets during systemic risks [5]. - For those who believe in the long-term support for gold, the current market correction presents a potential buying opportunity, while risk-averse investors should exercise caution due to ongoing market volatility [5]. - A systematic investment approach, such as dollar-cost averaging, is recommended for smaller investors to mitigate the psychological impact of short-term fluctuations [5]. Strategic Considerations - A common mistake among investors is conflating long-term allocation with short-term trading, which can lead to losses from trying to time the market [6]. - The analysis of gold investment should now incorporate multiple variables beyond just Federal Reserve policies, including geopolitical risks and central bank purchasing trends, to provide a more comprehensive market outlook [6].