Core Viewpoint - As of October 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $3.3433 trillion, marking a $4.7 billion increase from September, the highest level since December 2015, with reserves remaining above $3.3 trillion for three consecutive months [1] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - The increase in foreign exchange reserves in October was influenced by major economies' monetary policies, macroeconomic data, and a rising dollar index, which led to an overall increase in global financial asset prices [1] - The dollar index rose approximately 1.95% in the past month, while the euro, yen, and pound depreciated against the dollar by 1.7%, 4%, and 2.2% respectively [1] - Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in October, the dollar index strengthened due to market expectations cooling on further rate cuts, alongside improved China-U.S. trade relations and increased geopolitical uncertainty [1] Group 2: Asset Prices and Economic Outlook - Global stock and bond markets strengthened in October, supporting China's foreign exchange reserves, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield declining by about 5 basis points due to the Fed's rate cut and government shutdown concerns [2] - The outlook for China's foreign exchange reserves remains stable, supported by the country's strong economic fundamentals and potential for growth [2] Group 3: Gold Reserves - As of October, China's official gold reserves increased to 7.409 million ounces, a rise of 30,000 ounces, marking the lowest increase since November 2024 [2] - The People's Bank of China has been gradually increasing gold reserves since March, with monthly increments below 100,000 ounces, signaling a strategy to optimize international reserves [2] - The gold market has experienced volatility, with prices briefly exceeding $4,300 per ounce before a rapid correction, indicating potential slowing in central bank purchases due to reaching target levels [3]

不过，王青同时提到，受前期美元幅度巨大、对美联储降息等利空因素充分消化，以及未来美元降息路 径较为温和等影响，与8月末相比，9月末美元指数仅下跌0.03%，基本保持不变。这意味着此前因美元 大幅贬值、带动我国外储中非美元资产估值上升的影响在9月显著消退，是当月外储规模升幅较上月收 窄的一个原因。 经济观察网国家外汇管理局周二公布统计数据显示，截至2025年9月末，我国外汇储备规模为33387亿美 元，较8月末上升165亿美元，升幅为0.5%。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，9月末外储规模出现一 定幅度上升，主要受全球金融资产价格上涨带动。王青表示，受美联储重启降息等带动，9月全球主要 股指普遍上行，美债收益率走低，美债价格上扬，这些都会带动我国外储投资的金融资产估值增加。 ...