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圣诞订单飙升120% 专家解析外贸“618”背后的机遇与挑战
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 13:21
Core Insights - The article highlights a surge in Christmas-related exports from China, driven by a significant increase in orders from U.S. buyers due to a temporary tariff "window" [1][3] Group 1: Export Trends - U.S. buyers' demand for Christmas accessories has surged by 120% year-on-year since June, with toy orders increasing sixfold, indicating an early peak in Christmas orders [1] - Zhejiang Yiwu's Christmas goods exports reached 310 million yuan from January to April 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 107.4%, with April alone seeing exports of 190 million yuan, up 106.4% [1] Group 2: Tariff Policy Impact - The U.S.-China tariff agreement on May 14, which suspended 24% of reciprocal tariffs, has led to a concentrated release of orders from U.S. buyers, shifting orders originally planned for Q3 to June [3] - Companies are ramping up production to meet the surge in orders, with reports of factories working overtime, such as a craft company in Guangxi increasing sales by 20%-30% during the promotion period [3] Group 3: Short-term Growth Risks - Experts warn that the current spike in orders reflects a reaction to policy uncertainty, with concerns that demand may decline after the 90-day tariff window closes [4] - The phenomenon of "front-loading" orders may lead to a significant drop in demand post-window, as companies may face a backlog of orders once the initial surge subsides [4] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations for Companies - Companies are advised to diversify their supply chains and reduce reliance on single markets, exploring opportunities in emerging markets under RCEP and the Belt and Road Initiative [5] - Enhancing product competitiveness through technological upgrades and sustainable practices is recommended to build a differentiated competitive advantage in international markets [5] - Establishing a regular policy risk monitoring mechanism is crucial for companies to navigate the complexities of international trade and potential regulatory changes [5][6]
中美关税休战第一周,外贸人从惊魂未定到订单爆火
36氪· 2025-05-16 14:55
以下文章来源于硬氪 ,作者欧雪 硬氪 . 专注全球化、硬科技报道。36kr旗下官方账号。 变化似乎发生在一夜之间。 文 | 欧雪 编辑 | 袁斯来 来源| 硬氪(ID:south_36kr) 封面来源 | Pexels 有生意已经变得有些萧条的货代,忽然收到近百封邮件。客户都在催促他们"赶紧安排出货。"有些地区的货仓预定已经到了五月底。"空运的价格是在上 涨,还能订到。船公司可能会滞后点。"一位跨境物流服务商告诉硬氪。 所有人都在抢时间。 5月12日,中美经贸高层经过密集磋商,终于就关税问题达成阶段性共识。 从美方举措来看,美国宣布此前对规定中国商品加征的24%关税进入90天暂停期、保留10%关税。同时,4月8日和4月9日相关行政令涉及的加征关税也被 取消。还有,此前美国还因"芬太尼问题"对中国商品加征20%关税,所以在达成共识后,美国对中国商品加征的关税为30%。 "这90天是B2B企业难得的缓冲期。"新东方工贸CEO朱秋城告诉硬氪。货主们都在抓紧利用90天的关税政策窗口期发货付运,消化此前因高关税政策积压 的库存。 贸易追踪商Vizion数据显示,5月5日到5月14日,从中国到美国的集装箱运输平均预订量飙 ...