养殖业务

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海大集团(002311):境内外饲料销量高增,养殖业务表现稳健
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2025-07-30 06:06
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 58.831 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.639 billion yuan, up 24.16% year-on-year. A cash dividend of 2.00 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) is proposed for all shareholders [4][12] - The company's feed sales volume increased significantly, with external sales reaching approximately 13.65 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26%. The breakdown includes aquatic feed sales of about 2.8 million tons (up 16%), poultry feed sales of about 7.3 million tons (up 24%), and pig feed sales of about 3.4 million tons (up 43%). The overseas sales also saw a year-on-year increase of approximately 40% [14] - The company is focusing on improving breeding levels and has seen stable development in its seedling and animal health businesses. The pig breeding business is adopting a model that mitigates risks and locks in profits, while shrimp farming is strategically timed to compete with traditional products [15] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's feed sales gross margin was 10.04% (year-on-year stable), while the breeding business gross margin was 20.26% (up 3.37 percentage points). The company's sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses were 1.418 billion, 1.796 billion, 426 million, and 149 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +12.57%, +20.68%, +6.48%, and -30.37% [13] - The company expects revenue for 2025-2027 to be 128.599 billion, 147.750 billion, and 161.161 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.21%, 14.89%, and 9.08%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 5.025 billion, 5.455 billion, and 6.137 billion yuan, with growth rates of 11.57%, 8.56%, and 12.50% respectively [16][17] Market Position - The company has further increased its market share due to the growth in feed sales and the increase in downstream inventory. The absolute increase in feed sales volume in the first half of 2025 is close to the company's target for the entire year [14] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in its main business, leading to an upward revision of its earnings forecast for 2026-2027 [16]