Core Insights - The company reported that its total overseas feed sales exceeded 3 million tons in the first half of the year, representing an approximate 18% year-on-year growth [1] - The sales growth breakdown includes a 15% increase in poultry feed, a 14% increase in pig feed, over 30% growth in aquatic feed, and nearly a doubling in ruminant feed [1] - Company executives indicated that the profit per ton for poultry feed is close to 140 yuan, while the profit per ton for pig feed has surpassed 300 yuan [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the intense competition in the domestic poultry feed market and significant competition in the pig feed market, leading to increased challenges for both small and medium-sized feed enterprises as well as larger companies [2] - The announcement from Haida Group indicates that the survival space for medium and large feed enterprises is also being squeezed due to the competitive landscape [2] - The overall environment for feed companies is becoming increasingly difficult, impacting their operational viability [2]

Group 1 - The company has involvement in poultry-related businesses, including feed and egg products [1] - The company invested in Xiaoming Co., Ltd. in 2016, as detailed in its related announcements [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 58.831 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.639 billion yuan, up 24.16% year-on-year. A cash dividend of 2.00 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) is proposed for all shareholders [4][12] - The company's feed sales volume increased significantly, with external sales reaching approximately 13.65 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26%. The breakdown includes aquatic feed sales of about 2.8 million tons (up 16%), poultry feed sales of about 7.3 million tons (up 24%), and pig feed sales of about 3.4 million tons (up 43%). The overseas sales also saw a year-on-year increase of approximately 40% [14] - The company is focusing on improving breeding levels and has seen stable development in its seedling and animal health businesses. The pig breeding business is adopting a model that mitigates risks and locks in profits, while shrimp farming is strategically timed to compete with traditional products [15] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's feed sales gross margin was 10.04% (year-on-year stable), while the breeding business gross margin was 20.26% (up 3.37 percentage points). The company's sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses were 1.418 billion, 1.796 billion, 426 million, and 149 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +12.57%, +20.68%, +6.48%, and -30.37% [13] - The company expects revenue for 2025-2027 to be 128.599 billion, 147.750 billion, and 161.161 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.21%, 14.89%, and 9.08%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 5.025 billion, 5.455 billion, and 6.137 billion yuan, with growth rates of 11.57%, 8.56%, and 12.50% respectively [16][17] Market Position - The company has further increased its market share due to the growth in feed sales and the increase in downstream inventory. The absolute increase in feed sales volume in the first half of 2025 is close to the company's target for the entire year [14] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in its main business, leading to an upward revision of its earnings forecast for 2026-2027 [16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 588.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.5%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 26.4 billion yuan, up 24.2% year-on-year [3][4] - The company is close to achieving its annual feed sales growth target, with an external sales increase of approximately 284 million tons in the first half of 2025, nearing the annual target of over 300 million tons [4][8] - The overseas feed sales maintained a high growth rate of 40% year-on-year, indicating strong market expansion [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a gross profit margin of 9.79% in its feed business, showing a slight year-on-year increase [5] - The company’s net profit for the first half of 2025 was 26.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 30.6% increase after excluding non-recurring items [3] - The projected revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to reach 1397.9 billion yuan, 1580.6 billion yuan, and 1790.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.0%, 13.1%, and 13.3% respectively [8][10] Market Position - The company’s feed sales volume reached approximately 14.7 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 25% [5] - The company’s market share in the industrial feed sector has further increased, with total national industrial feed production reaching 158.5 million tons, up 7.7% year-on-year [5] Product Segmentation - The company’s poultry feed external sales were about 7.3 million tons, growing approximately 24% year-on-year, while pig feed external sales increased by about 43% to 3.4 million tons [5][6] - The company is actively developing a comprehensive service system for pig farming groups, which has led to rapid growth in feed product sales to these clients [7] Future Outlook - The company expects to see steady growth in pig slaughtering volumes, with projections of 660 million heads in 2025, 693 million in 2026, and 728 million in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10%, 5%, and 5% respectively [8] - The company aims to enhance its competitive advantage by expanding its service offerings across the entire aquaculture value chain, including high-quality seedling and health management services [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, driven by growth in feed sales and profitability from futures hedging in the pig farming sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 58.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.64 billion yuan, up 24.2% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 33.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 14% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 1.36 billion yuan, a 7.3% increase year-on-year [1]. Sales Growth - The company's feed sales volume increased by 26% year-on-year to 13.65 million tons in H1 2025, with significant growth in aquatic feed (16%), pig feed (43%), and poultry feed (24%) [2]. - The overseas feed business maintained a high growth rate of 40%, with gross margin rising by 2.54 percentage points to 15.1%, significantly higher than the average gross margin of the company's main business [2]. Market Expansion - The company is actively expanding its feed business in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and Africa, where there is significant potential for growth in meat, egg, and milk consumption [3]. - The company aims to achieve overseas feed sales of 7.2 million tons by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20%, and domestic feed sales of about 39.3 million tons, with a CAGR of around 10% [3]. Valuation and Rating - The company maintains profit forecasts of 5.02 billion yuan, 5.48 billion yuan, and 7.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The target price has been raised to 66.4 yuan, corresponding to a 22 times price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025, reflecting better-than-expected feed sales growth [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 58.8 billion RMB in 2025H1, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.64 billion RMB, up 24.2% year-over-year [1][2]. - The growth in profitability is primarily driven by gains from pig futures hedging and strong growth in overseas feed business, with domestic aquaculture and pig feed businesses showing signs of recovery [1][2]. - The report anticipates continued domestic and international growth in the feed business, leading to an upward revision of the target price to 66.4 RMB, reflecting a 22x PE valuation for 2025 [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the company's feed external sales increased by 26% year-over-year to 13.65 million tons, with significant growth in aquaculture feed (16%), pig feed (43%), and poultry feed (24%) [2]. - The overseas feed business maintained a high growth rate of 40%, with a gross margin increase of 2.54 percentage points to 15.1%, significantly higher than the average gross margin of the main business [2]. Market Outlook - The company is actively expanding into the feed markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with a target of achieving 7.2 million tons in overseas feed sales by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% [3]. - The domestic feed business is expected to recover starting in 2025, supported by rising prices in aquaculture due to declining stocking volumes and a rebound in pig inventory [3]. Profit Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 5.02 billion RMB, 5.48 billion RMB, and 7.04 billion RMB, respectively [4][10]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 3.02 RMB, with a return on equity (ROE) of 19.69% [10][16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 346 million yuan in 2024, with a significant improvement in profitability in 2025 Q1, achieving a net profit of 134 million yuan [4] - The company expects to reach a pig output of 8 million heads in 2025, with the complete cost dropping to 12.9 yuan per kilogram [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 28.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 346 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses [4] - For 2025 Q1, the company reported revenue of 6.865 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, and a net profit of 134 million yuan, also indicating a turnaround [4] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio decreased to 64.4% by the end of March 2025, down 1.87 percentage points from the end of 2023 [4] Production and Cost Analysis - The company’s pig output in 2024 was 6.4046 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, with an average profit of 175 yuan per head [5] - The complete cost of pig farming has been decreasing, falling below 14 yuan per kilogram in December 2024 and further down to 12.9 yuan per kilogram by March 2025 [5] - The company has implemented various measures to improve production efficiency, including breed improvement and enhanced biosecurity measures, leading to better survival rates for piglets [5] Future Projections - The company forecasts pig output to reach 8 million heads in 2025, 8.8 million heads in 2026, and 9.68 million heads in 2027, with corresponding revenues of 29.26 billion yuan, 30.14 billion yuan, and 30.91 billion yuan [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 755 million yuan, with significant growth expected in subsequent years [7] Key Financial Metrics - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 29.26 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.7% [9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 755 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 118.4% [9] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 54.13 in 2024 to 23.46 in 2025, indicating improved valuation metrics [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for 2024, driven by a recovery in the pig farming business, with a year-on-year growth of 64.30% to reach 4.504 billion yuan [4] - The overseas feed business showed remarkable growth, prompting an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and the introduction of a new forecast for 2027 [4] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 11 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.83 billion yuan [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue was 114.601 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.31% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.504 billion yuan, an increase of 64.30% [4][7] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 29.740 billion yuan, up 1.88% year-on-year, and net profit was 880 million yuan, up 79.74% [4] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 25.629 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.60%, with net profit of 1.282 billion yuan, up 48.99% [4] Business Segment Performance - The feed business generated revenue of 91.202 billion yuan in 2024, down 4.95% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 9.74%, up 1.21 percentage points [5] - The company sold 26.52 million tons of feed in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 9%, with a market share increase [5] - The pig farming business generated revenue of 18.826 billion yuan, up 21.52% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 18.28%, an increase of 12.05 percentage points [6] Profit Forecasts - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 5.144 billion yuan, 5.728 billion yuan, and 6.167 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.09 yuan, 3.44 yuan, and 3.71 yuan [4][7] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 17.7, 15.9, and 14.7 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for 2024, driven by a recovery in the pig farming business, with a year-on-year growth of 64.30% to 4.504 billion yuan [4] - The overseas feed business showed remarkable growth, prompting an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 11 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.83 billion yuan [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue was 114.601 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.31% year-on-year, while net profit reached 4.504 billion yuan, an increase of 64.30% [4] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 29.740 billion yuan, up 1.88% year-on-year, and net profit was 880 million yuan, up 79.74% year-on-year [4] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 25.629 billion yuan, an increase of 10.60% year-on-year, and net profit was 1.282 billion yuan, up 48.99% year-on-year [4] Business Segment Performance - The feed business generated revenue of 91.202 billion yuan in 2024, down 4.95% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 9.74%, up 1.21 percentage points [5] - The company sold 26.52 million tons of feed in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 9% [5] - The pig farming business generated revenue of 18.826 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 21.52% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 18.28%, up 12.05 percentage points [6] Profit Forecasts - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 5.144 billion yuan, 5.728 billion yuan, and 6.167 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.09 yuan, 3.44 yuan, and 3.71 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 17.7, 15.9, and 14.7 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Market Position - The company has increased its market share in the domestic feed market, with domestic feed sales reaching 22.06 million tons in 2024, up 5% year-on-year [5] - Overseas feed sales reached 2.36 million tons, a significant increase of 40% year-on-year, with notable growth in aquatic feed and poultry feed [5]