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海大集团(002311):饲料主业景气延续,内外销量较快增长
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-07-29 07:29
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a 12.50% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 588.31 billion yuan, and a 24.16% increase in net profit, amounting to 2.639 billion yuan [7] - The feed business showed strong growth, with a 14.02% increase in revenue to 471.39 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, driven by increased demand from downstream farming [7] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, achieving a 40% year-on-year increase in overseas sales [7] - The company is focused on providing integrated solutions for farmers, including feed, seed, and veterinary products, with a positive growth outlook [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 116,117 million yuan (2023A), 114,601 million yuan (2024A), 126,830 million yuan (2025E), 140,169 million yuan (2026E), and 154,843 million yuan (2027E) [6][8] - Net profit projections are: 2,741 million yuan (2023A), 4,504 million yuan (2024A), 5,105 million yuan (2025E), 5,648 million yuan (2026E), and 6,190 million yuan (2027E) [6][8] - The company’s EPS is expected to grow from 1.66 yuan in 2023A to 3.72 yuan in 2027E [6][8] - The projected PE ratios are 27.1 (2023A), 18.1 (2024A), 18.0 (2025E), 16.3 (2026E), and 14.8 (2027E) [6][8] Market Performance - The company’s stock performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 19%, while the benchmark index (CSI 300) has seen a decline of 6% [4]