证券代码：000876 证券简称：新 希 望 债券代码：127015、127049 债券简称：希望转债、希望转 2 新希望六和股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 公司在第三季度，饲料总销量 793 万吨（同比+17%），外销量 658 万吨（同 比+16%）；其中，海外总销量 169 万吨（同比+27%），海外外销量 159 万吨（同 比+28%）：分料种看，禽料外销 419 万吨（同比+10%），猪料外销 150 万吨（同 比+43%），水产料外销 73 万吨（同比+18%），反刍料外销 13 万吨（同比 +27%）。 前三季度累计，饲料总销量 2186 万吨（同比+14%），外销量 1807 万吨（同 比+16%）；其中，海外总销量 472 万吨（同比+21%），海外外销量 443 万吨（同 比+21%）；分料种看：禽料外销 1235 万吨（同比+14%），猪料外销 373 万吨（同 比+24%），水产料外销 153 万吨（同比+18%），反刍料外销 38 万吨（同比 +16%）。 编号：2025-05 | 投资者 | □特定对象调研 | √分析师会议 | | □媒体采访 | | | --- | --- | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price based on the last closing price of 7.41 [1][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown growth in its pig farming business while reducing costs, and its feed sales continue to grow [1][4]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.61 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.2% to 411 million [3][4]. - The company expects further cost optimization in production efficiency and other expenses [3]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.764 billion, a decline of 6.49% year-on-year, with a net profit of 73.46 million, down 74.58% [3]. - The total number of pigs sold in the first three quarters was 2.2823 million, an increase of 6.46% year-on-year [3]. - The comprehensive cost of pig farming in Q3 was 12.78 yuan/kg, down from 13 yuan/kg in the first half of the year [3]. Feed Business Performance - The feed business achieved sales of 2.12 million tons in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 3.62%, with Q3 sales reaching 776,000 tons, up 11.8% [4]. - Pig feed sales increased by 18% to 462,300 tons, while poultry feed sales grew by 8% to 165,500 tons [4]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Due to the anticipated decline in pig prices, the profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered, with expected net profits of 585 million and 979 million respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.43 yuan for 2025 and 0.72 yuan for 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17.23x and 10.29x [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Haida Group (002311.SZ) is rated as a buy due to its strong performance and growth prospects [2] - The company disclosed its semi-annual report for 2025, indicating positive financial health [2] - Feed sales have significantly increased year-on-year, leading to an enhanced market share [2] - The growth rates for poultry feed, pig feed, and aquatic feed have rebounded notably compared to 2024 [2] - The overseas feed business of the company continues to experience high growth [2] - The company is actively expanding its seedling and animal health businesses by developing new product categories [2] - The aquaculture business is showing steady development [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Haida Group (002311.SZ) is rated as a "buy" due to strong performance indicators [2] - The company achieved record-high feed sales, indicating robust demand and effective market strategies [2] - The expansion into overseas markets is accelerating, contributing positively to the company's growth prospects [2] Group 2 - The recovery in pig prices is expected to enhance profitability in the breeding business, providing a favorable outlook for the company's financial performance [2] - The seedling and animal health business is progressing steadily, indicating diversification and stability in revenue streams [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a 12.50% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 588.31 billion yuan, and a 24.16% increase in net profit, amounting to 2.639 billion yuan [7] - The feed business showed strong growth, with a 14.02% increase in revenue to 471.39 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, driven by increased demand from downstream farming [7] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, achieving a 40% year-on-year increase in overseas sales [7] - The company is focused on providing integrated solutions for farmers, including feed, seed, and veterinary products, with a positive growth outlook [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 116,117 million yuan (2023A), 114,601 million yuan (2024A), 126,830 million yuan (2025E), 140,169 million yuan (2026E), and 154,843 million yuan (2027E) [6][8] - Net profit projections are: 2,741 million yuan (2023A), 4,504 million yuan (2024A), 5,105 million yuan (2025E), 5,648 million yuan (2026E), and 6,190 million yuan (2027E) [6][8] - The company’s EPS is expected to grow from 1.66 yuan in 2023A to 3.72 yuan in 2027E [6][8] - The projected PE ratios are 27.1 (2023A), 18.1 (2024A), 18.0 (2025E), 16.3 (2026E), and 14.8 (2027E) [6][8] Market Performance - The company’s stock performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 19%, while the benchmark index (CSI 300) has seen a decline of 6% [4]