Group 1 - Morgan Stanley forecasts weak performance for major engineering and construction companies in mainland China in Q2 2025, with this trend likely to continue into the second half of the year [1] - The firm has lowered net profit forecasts for China Railway and China State Construction by 18% to 30% for 2025 to 2026 [1] - China Railway's H-share rating has been downgraded from "Overweight" to "Market Perform," with the target price reduced from HKD 5.6 to HKD 4.6; the A-share rating remains "Market Perform," with the target price lowered from CNY 7 to CNY 5.8 [1] - China State Construction's rating has been downgraded from "Overweight" to "Underweight," with the target price reduced from HKD 6.5 to HKD 4.7 [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley remains more optimistic about China Railway's H-shares compared to China State Construction due to its higher exposure in the infrastructure sector, which is expected to benefit more significantly if stimulus policies are introduced [1]