1月20日消息，据韩媒报道，根据最新数据，合计占全球NAND产能 60%以上的两大原厂三星电子和SK 海力士，今年将缩减在闪存上的晶圆投片量，这可能会进一步加剧NAND供应的短缺！ 这种策略已立竿见影地反映在价格上，TrendForce预测，2026年第一季度NAND闪存合约价将环比大涨 33%至38%，并特别指出三星与SK海力士保守的生产基调是主要推手。 转自：国芯网 声明：本文仅为信息交流之用，不构成任何投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 加入"中国IC独角兽联盟"，请点击进入 是说芯语转载，欢迎关注分享 合作洽谈，进入公众号：服务—>商务合作 据悉，三星电子计划今年累计投入468万片NAND晶圆，而2025年是 490 万片；SK海力士今年产能规模 为170万片，而2025年是 190 万片。两家企业今年合计产能同比下降约 6.2%。 业界分析认为，三星与SK海力士之所以在需求看好时选择减产，主要基于三大核心考量，首先DRAM 目前的盈利远高于NAND闪存，因此大厂在设备投资的顺序上，自然更倾向于盈利能力更强的DRAM， 导致NAND闪存的产能扩充受到排挤。 其次随着AI数据中心对大容量SSD的需求激增 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reduction in NAND flash production by major South Korean manufacturers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which together account for over 60% of global NAND capacity, potentially exacerbating supply shortages in the market [2][4]. Group 1: Production Capacity and Trends - Samsung Electronics plans to invest a total of 4.68 million NAND wafers this year, while SK Hynix aims for 1.7 million wafers, resulting in a combined year-on-year capacity decrease of approximately 6.2% [4]. - The shift in production focus from NAND to DRAM is driven by higher profitability in DRAM, leading to reduced investment in NAND capacity [4]. - The demand for large-capacity SSDs in AI data centers is prompting manufacturers to transition production lines from TLC to QLC architectures, which naturally reduces output during the conversion process [4]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The rise of domestic manufacturers, particularly Yangtze Memory Technologies, which is expected to increase NAND flash production significantly starting in 2025, is influencing the production strategies of South Korean firms [4]. - The reduction in supply of general-purpose NAND flash for mobile devices and PCs is a strategic move to counteract low-price competition from Chinese manufacturers [4]. - TrendForce predicts a significant increase in NAND flash contract prices, with a forecasted rise of 33% to 38% in Q1 2026, attributing this to the conservative production stance of Samsung and SK Hynix [4].