↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 王博雅投资 来源：雪球 一、引言 对于投资纳斯达克的朋友而言，市盈率PE是大家最关心的指标之一。大部分时候，我们可以利用它来判断指数是贵了还是便宜了。 在之前，我基于自费购买的数据计算了纳指100全部公司及指数最新的滚动市盈率，同时还计算了2026财年前瞻市盈率。 最近，纳指100迎来了新一轮的下跌，估值重新回落到了中等偏高。 表1 纳斯达克100及其主要成分股最新滚动市盈率及其前瞻市盈率（2025.11.21） 在此，让我们一起看看纳指100及其主要成分股最新滚动市盈率和最新前瞻市盈率。 | Pr 름 | 名称 | 权重 % | 市值 亿美元 | 最新 滚动利润 | 最新 漆动 | 最新 前瞻 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 亿美元 | T 可: 23 | 市密区 | | 1 | 纳指100 | 100 | 17162 | 458 | 37.5 | 29.3 | | 1 | 英伟达 | 9.81 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Buffett Indicator," a key valuation metric praised by Warren Buffett, suggests that the overall valuation of the U.S. stock market is currently relatively cheap, supporting the view that the strong rebound in U.S. stocks since April may continue in the long term despite the ongoing trade tensions initiated by the Trump administration [1][3]. Valuation Metrics - The "Buffett Indicator," which measures the total market value of U.S. stocks against the U.S. GDP, currently stands at 180%, the lowest level since early September, indicating that U.S. stock valuations are relatively inexpensive [1][3]. - This indicator is calculated by dividing the total market capitalization of the Wilshire 5000 Index by the U.S. GDP, and it remains above the typical levels seen during market bottoms, such as the near 100% level during the COVID-19 pandemic sell-off in early 2020 [1][5]. Market Reactions - The S&P 500 index has rebounded by 12% since reaching a low in April, prompting traders to consider whether to continue betting on upward momentum or to buy on dips [3][4]. - Berkshire Hathaway, led by Buffett, has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 index, showcasing its status as a "safe haven" during market turmoil, with a market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion [6][7]. Investor Sentiment - Investors are preparing for upcoming earnings seasons and Federal Reserve meetings, which could influence the trends of U.S. and global stock markets [4]. - The importance of quantitative valuation metrics has increased this year as investors seek to determine if stock prices have become more attractive relative to fundamentals due to tariff-induced sell-offs [3][5]. Berkshire Hathaway's Position - Berkshire Hathaway's stock has risen nearly 17% this year, outperforming the S&P 500, which has declined by nearly 5% [7]. - The company holds a record cash reserve of $334.2 billion, enhancing its appeal as a safe investment during volatile market conditions [6][7].