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A500中线的赔率非常高!刘煜辉最新演讲再谈中国资产“倒车接人”的战略机会
聪明投资者· 2025-05-20 07:20
Core Viewpoint - The current global order is undergoing a significant restructuring, with China aiming to increase its financial weight and influence to match its manufacturing and supply chain capabilities, particularly through the rise of the renminbi and renminbi-denominated assets [1][15][37]. Group 1: Global Order and Economic Dynamics - The ongoing trade and tariff conflicts between the US and China represent a structural confrontation over the future global order, rather than mere disputes over tariffs [6][14]. - China's manufacturing dominance is increasingly misaligned with the declining financial hegemony of the US dollar, which is a root cause of current tensions [14][11]. - By 2030, China's manufacturing output is projected to account for 45% of global manufacturing, highlighting the growing disparity between China's industrial strength and the US's financial structure [10][9]. Group 2: Financial Mechanisms and Trade Relationships - The traditional dollar-based financial system is losing its effectiveness, as evidenced by the breakdown of the dollar's closed-loop mechanism in international trade, particularly in transactions between China and countries like Saudi Arabia [12][13]. - The shift towards bilateral and multilateral trade mechanisms is increasing, further weakening the dollar's dominance in global trade [14][15]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations for China - China must adopt a strategy of greater openness, balance, and market orientation to enhance its economic resilience and global standing [30][39]. - The focus should be on improving domestic consumption and ensuring that economic growth benefits a broader segment of the population, thereby driving internal circulation [41][40]. - Establishing a unified market and eliminating discrimination against the private sector are essential steps for fostering a more competitive economic environment [42]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The current market dynamics present opportunities for investors to capitalize on China's core assets, particularly in the context of ongoing strategic competition with the US [63][64]. - The newly established CSI A500 index is seen as a representation of China's core assets, providing a high potential return for long-term investments [64][65].
降息突然升温!A股补涨行情可期
雪球· 2025-03-01 03:42
之前 , 美联储不是很鹰吗 ? 不是都说没见到通胀下行就不着急降息吗 ? 以下文章来源于睿知睿见 ,作者睿知睿见 睿知睿见 . 一个好的投资者,其能量一定的积极的,向上的,乐观的! 别人看着他,就像看着太阳! 他还能用朴 实易懂的语言,传递正确的投资理念! 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:睿智睿见 来源:雪球 本周美国那边的降息预期突然升温 。 2年美债利率跌破新低 , 这个水平暗示着市场在押注美联储在3月降息 。 这只是表面的话术而已 , 鲍威尔这话是说给特朗普听的 。 美联储很清楚通胀的症结在哪里 , 去年四季度 , 鲍威尔就很无奈的暗示了 , 美联储该做的已经 都做了 , 通胀下不来是拜登政府突击式消费带来的 。 特朗普上台面临天量的债务 , 肯定是迫不及待想降息的 。 长按扫码即可免费加入 但他又在搞关税大战 , 这会加剧通胀 。 鲍威尔可不惯着他 。 所以才表示通胀下不来不会降息 。 特朗普难道听不明白吗 ? 很明显 , 这就是在警告特朗普 , 别玩过火了 。 01 缩减开支初见成效 去年在特朗普获胜的时候 , 我就分享过 , 特朗普上台后 ...