戴利还关注另一项关键的就业市场领先指标：大量家长向她反映孩子找工作困难。这一现象在近期数据 中也显而易见，数据显示应届大学毕业生的失业率高于普通劳动者。 "这是一个反映就业市场'不稳定性'的指标，"她表示。"就目前而言，鉴于我在经济中看到的情况，我倾 向于进行额外的降息：至于是一次还是两次，目前还很难说。" 这位旧金山联储主席今年不是拥有政策制定权的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)投票成员。 智通财经APP获悉，当地时间周五，旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利表示，基于劳动力市场存在脆弱性的前 提，可能还需要再进行一到两次降息。 戴利表示，她支持美联储上周做出的将联邦基金利率维持在 3.50%-3.75% 目标区间不变的决定。尽管如 此，她在接受采访时说："我认为，可以有理由支持继续行动并进一步下调利率。" 戴利指出，要降低借贷成本，"你必须非常有信心，也就是真正的信心，确信关税的影响会逐渐消 退……通胀确实处于下降轨道上。"她补充道，同时你还"必须真正担心劳动力市场面临的挑战比我们目 前在数据中看到的更为严峻"。 总的来说，她认为物价稳定与充分就业之间的风险"相对平衡"，尽管脆弱性正指向美联储双重使命中的 就业市场一侧 ...

钛媒体App 1月17日消息，美联储理事鲍曼表示，美联储应避免发出暂停降息的信号。各项指标显示劳 动力市场正日益显现脆弱性。（广角观察） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the anticipation of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech and its potential impact on the US dollar index and interest rates [1][2] - The US dollar index is currently trading around 98.60, with expectations of further upward movement if Powell does not counter the market's rising interest rate cut expectations [1] - The US Treasury market is active, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.339% and the 2-year yield to 3.798%, reflecting concerns over persistent inflation and a weak labor market [1] Group 2 - The market is closely monitoring Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting for signals regarding the Fed's next rate actions, with a 77% probability of a rate cut in September indicated by futures markets [1] - The dollar's ability to maintain its upward trend largely depends on Powell's tone; a dovish stance could push the dollar index above 99.320, while a rebuttal to rate cut expectations could lead to a pullback towards the 98.317 support level [2] - The dollar index has broken through the 98.317 resistance level and is now above the 50-day simple moving average, with the next resistance levels identified at 98.950 and the major target range of 99.177-99.320 [2]