通胀持续性

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美元面临关键考验 焦点转向美联储政策信号
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-22 03:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the anticipation of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech and its potential impact on the US dollar index and interest rates [1][2] - The US dollar index is currently trading around 98.60, with expectations of further upward movement if Powell does not counter the market's rising interest rate cut expectations [1] - The US Treasury market is active, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.339% and the 2-year yield to 3.798%, reflecting concerns over persistent inflation and a weak labor market [1] Group 2 - The market is closely monitoring Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting for signals regarding the Fed's next rate actions, with a 77% probability of a rate cut in September indicated by futures markets [1] - The dollar's ability to maintain its upward trend largely depends on Powell's tone; a dovish stance could push the dollar index above 99.320, while a rebuttal to rate cut expectations could lead to a pullback towards the 98.317 support level [2] - The dollar index has broken through the 98.317 resistance level and is now above the 50-day simple moving average, with the next resistance levels identified at 98.950 and the major target range of 99.177-99.320 [2]
新西兰联储:新西兰经济复苏速度、通胀持续性和关税影响的进一步数据将影响官方现金利率的未来走势。
news flash· 2025-07-09 02:04
Core Viewpoint - The future trajectory of the official cash rate in New Zealand will be influenced by further data on the speed of economic recovery, the persistence of inflation, and the impact of tariffs [1] Economic Recovery - The speed of economic recovery in New Zealand is a critical factor that will affect monetary policy decisions [1] Inflation Persistence - Ongoing inflation trends will play a significant role in determining the future direction of interest rates [1] Tariff Impact - The effects of tariffs on the economy will also be a key consideration for the New Zealand central bank in its assessment of the official cash rate [1]
英国央行行长贝利:必须警惕通胀的持续性。
news flash· 2025-07-01 07:10
Core Viewpoint - The Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, emphasizes the need to remain vigilant regarding the persistence of inflation [1] Group 1 - The Bank of England is closely monitoring inflation trends to assess their long-term implications [1] - Bailey indicates that inflationary pressures may not be temporary and could require sustained policy responses [1] - The central bank's approach will be data-driven, focusing on economic indicators to guide future decisions [1]
英国央行行长贝利:英国劳动力市场正在疲软。利率路径逐渐下行。必须观察通胀的持续性。
news flash· 2025-07-01 07:08
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England's Governor Bailey indicates that the UK labor market is showing signs of weakness, suggesting a potential shift in economic conditions [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The labor market in the UK is currently experiencing fatigue, which may impact overall economic performance [1] - There is a gradual downward trend in the interest rate path, reflecting a response to changing economic conditions [1] - Continuous observation of inflation's persistence is deemed necessary to assess future economic strategies [1]
英国央行委员Greene:抗通胀进程正在进行。通胀持续性指标仍过高。劳动力市场出现了一些疲软。家庭可能对通胀更加敏感。
news flash· 2025-05-12 10:42
Core Viewpoint - The process of combating inflation is currently underway, but persistent indicators of inflation remain too high [1] Group 1: Inflation Indicators - Persistent indicators of inflation are still elevated, indicating ongoing inflationary pressures [1] - The labor market has shown signs of weakness, which may impact inflation dynamics [1] Group 2: Consumer Sensitivity - Households may be more sensitive to inflation, suggesting potential changes in consumer behavior and spending patterns [1]