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华鲁恒升(600426):二季度归母净利润环比提升,长期投资价值强化
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the next 6-12 months [2][4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 15.764 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.569 billion, down 29.47% year-on-year. However, the second quarter showed a sequential growth in net profit of 21.95% [4][9]. - The report highlights improvements in management efficiency and competitive positioning, particularly through the optimization of operations at the Jingzhou and Dezhou bases, reinforcing the long-term investment value of the company [4][9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted, with expected EPS of RMB 1.68, RMB 2.06, and RMB 2.19 respectively. The current PE ratios are projected at 15.9x, 13.0x, and 12.2x for the respective years [6][8]. - The company’s sales gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 18.01%, down 3.19 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by weak market demand and price fluctuations in key products [9][10]. - The report details the sales volume and revenue for various segments, noting a significant increase in fertilizer sales by 24.93% year-on-year, while other segments experienced declines [9][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 530 million, representing 33.76% of the net profit for the first half of 2025, and has initiated a share buyback program with a budget of RMB 200-300 million [9][10].